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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 46.3

Home Win Probability

Penn State 99%

Market (Bovada)

Penn State -42

Edge: Penn State -42 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
00000
Penn StatePenn State
721211463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-021-028-035-049-056-063-0
Penn StateMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMASPSMASMASPSMASPSMASPSMASMASMASPSMASPSMASMASPSMASPSMASPSTO839ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT710ydTD33ydPUNT517ydTD871ydPUNT528ydTD780ydPUNT4-12ydTD735ydPUNT31ydEND33ydPUNT3-8ydTD551ydPUNT620ydTD854ydTD38ydTO66ydTD449ydPUNT524ydTD580ydDOWNS1348ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Penn State
StatisticMassachusettsPenn State
Passing9-2316-23
Pass Yards45162
Rush Yards64246
Total Yards109408
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-187-9
Penalties9-816-60
Possession32:5827:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
6/14, 25 YDS
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
14 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
George Johnson
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
16/23, 162 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Nicholas Singleton
15 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Theo Johnson
4 REC, 66 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the PSU 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 5 yds to the PSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 8 yds to the MASS 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the MASS 43

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.84

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 11 yds fumbled, recovered by MASS Tyler Rudolph

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton and Adisa Isaac for a loss of 8 yards to the MASS 24

4th & 18Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds, downed at the PSU 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PSU 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.86

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 45

2nd & 12Penalty+10 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass up the middle incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the MAS45. PENALTY MAS Pass Interference on RUTHERFORD, Isaiah enforced 10 yards to the MAS45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Nicholas Singleton run for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 49

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.98

Drew Allar sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the PSU 43

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 15

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 13

4th & 7Punt Return Touchdown+56 ydsPPA -6.68

Daequan Hardy 56 Yd Punt Return (Alex Felkins Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for no gain to the MASS 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 16 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for no gain to the MASS 41

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Kaytron Allen run for 18 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the MASS 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 8 yds to the MASS 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.06

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 21 yds to the MASS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 9 yds to the MASS 3

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the MASS 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Drew Allar run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Cam Miller for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 22

2nd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Penn State Penalty, Roughing the Passer enforced (15 Yards) to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.75

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Chop Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 40

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 13 yds to the PSU 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Kaytron Allen run for 17 yds to the PSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Drew Allar pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 12 yds to the MASS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Kaytron Allen run for 10 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the MAS0. PENALTY MAS Pass Interference on RUTHERFORD, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the MAS21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 9 yds to the MASS 12

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the MASS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Wells) to the MASS 9

1st & 19Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.16

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 3

2nd & 25Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.02

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 2

3rd & 26Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 6

4th & 22Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the MASS 28

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the MASS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the MASS 14

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the MASS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 3 yds to the MASS 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Chop Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 23

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MASS 29

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 26

4th & 9Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Dominic DeLuca blocked by Dominic DeLuca Gerrell Johnson return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 6 yards to the MASS 44

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds to the PSU 47

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Cam Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the MASS 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Daequan Hardy at the PSU 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 7 yds to the MASS 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the MASS 43

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.41

Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALLEN, Kaytron rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the MAS30 (BROWN, JB). PENALTY MAS Offsides enforced 5 yards from the MAS35 to the MAS30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.18

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 30 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.42

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 16 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 40

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MASS 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 48

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Nicholas Singleton run for 10 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the MASS 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the MASS 22

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 18 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ahmad Haston pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ahmad Haston pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Ahmad Haston pass complete to George Johnson III for 8 yds to the MASS 33

4th & 2Punt Return Touchdown+68 ydsPPA -7.10

Daequan Hardy 68 Yd Punt Return (Sander Sahaydak Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 29

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Coziah Izzard) to the MASS 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Ahmad Haston run for 7 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ahmad Haston run for no gain to the MASS 41

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Matt Smith) to the MASS 36

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 5 yards to the MASS 31

3rd & 20Interception+15 ydsPPA +0.25

Ahmad Haston pass intercepted for a 1ST down Penn State Penalty, Block below the waist enforced (15 Yards) to the MASS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nahji Logan) to the MASS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Beau Pribula run for 15 yds to the MASS 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the MASS 14

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

PRIBULA, Beau pass to the left incomplete intended for EVANS, Omari thrown to the MAS0. PENALTY MAS Offsides on DYSON, Donovan declined MAS Pass Interference on BOYKIN, Noah enforced 12 yards to the MAS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Trey Potts run for 2 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HASTON, Ahmad pass to the left incomplete intended for SIMPSON, Anthony thrown to the MAS30. PENALTY PSU Roughing the Passer on LYONS, Jameial enforced 15 yards from the MAS35 to the MAS50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the PSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Ahmad Haston run for 6 yds to the PSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the PSU 34

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.25

Jalen John run for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 36 Jalen John fumbled, recovered by MASS Jalen John

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ahmad Haston pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the PSU 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Beau Pribula run for 5 yds to the PSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Beau Pribula run for 3 yds to the PSU 28

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Tank Smith run for 2 yds to the PSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.85

Tank Smith run for 39 yds to the MASS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Beau Pribula run for 31 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen John run for 2 yds to the MASS 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.44

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 9 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Ahmad Haston run for 7 yds to the MASS 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jalen John run for 2 yds to the MASS 41

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.56

Jalen John run for 7 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen John run for 5 yds to the PSU 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ahmad Haston run for 2 yds to the PSU 45

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.48

Ahmad Haston run for 7 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Zuriah Fisher) to the PSU 33

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the PSU 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the PSU 29

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Ethan Mottinger) to the PSU 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ahmad Haston pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

Ahmad Haston pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

[SG] Kneel down by PRIBULA, Beau at PSU30 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
72%
29 plays
2nd
22%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play