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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 38

Home Win Probability

Michigan 98%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -33.5

Edge: Michigan -33.5 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
70007
MichiganMichigan
021171452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-728-738-745-752-7
MichiganIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICINDMICPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-11ydTO1260ydPUNT33ydTD777ydTD1177ydPUNT520ydTD1187ydPUNT3-6ydTD646ydEND1-1ydTD465ydPUNT3-13ydTD552ydTO3-10ydFG45ydDOWNS1126ydTD851ydTO1-5ydTD936ydDOWNS1351ydEND16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Michigan
StatisticIndianaMichigan
Passing14-2919-22
Pass Yards140244
Rush Yards92163
Total Yards232407
Turnovers40
3rd Down6-156-11
Penalties5-472-20
Possession27:1332:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Tayven Jackson
7/13, 52 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Trenten Howland
5 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jaylin Lucas
5 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
14/17, 222 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Benjamin Hall
9 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Colston Loveland
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the IU 49

3rd & 7Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.77

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 14 yards to the MICH 37

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 6 yds to the IU 30

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the IU 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 10 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 15 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 7 yds to the MICH 36

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tayven Jackson pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 5 yds to the MICH 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 10 yds to the MICH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the MICH 10

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Christian Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 11

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 16

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -3.60

Tayven Jackson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MICH 47

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.87

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Lanell Carr Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MICH 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 33 yds, downed at the IU 23

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the IU 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Brendan Sorsby run for 16 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the IU 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 6 yds to the MICH 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the MICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Donaven McCulley pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 44 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.54

J.J. McCarthy sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.02

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 13 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 13 yds to the IU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the IU 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.77

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 15 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

J.J. McCarthy run for 1 yd to the IU 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.05

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 15 yds to the IU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the IU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the IU 38

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Trent Howland run for 6 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the MICH 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.43

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 17 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.30

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 23 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 14 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.25

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 18 yds to the IU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the IU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the IU 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for no gain to the IU 25

2nd & 10Penalty-37 yds

SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the right complete for 37 yards to MCCULLEY, Donaven caught at the MIC38 and advanced to the MIC38, End of Play. PENALTY IU Face mask on CARPENTER, Zach enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the IU25 to the IU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the IU 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Indiana Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Marcus Burris Jr.) to the IU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the IU 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 7 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 16 yds to the IU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the IU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tommy Doman kickoff for 62 yds , return for no gain to the IU 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

[NH] Kneel down by SORSBY, Brendan at IU10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

J.J. McCarthy run for 11 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 8 yds to the IU 46

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.01

Blake Corum run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 49

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, False Start (Tyler Morris) to the MICH 46

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +6.28

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 54 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the IU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Jaylen Harrell for a loss of 13 yards to the IU 12

4th & 23Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the IU 43

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.01

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the IU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.36

J.J. McCarthy run for 22 yds to the IU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the IU 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 7 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the IU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.32

Tayven Jackson sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the IU 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the IU 13

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.71

J.J. McCarthy sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the IU 17

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

J.J. McCarthy run for 7 yds to the IU 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

James Turner 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 7 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 33

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.21

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Christian Turner run for 7 yds to the MICH 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the MICH 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cam Camper for 8 yds to the MICH 32

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Rayshaun Benny for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.54

Brendan Sorsby sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Tyler Morris for 9 yds to the IU 42

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Benjamin Hall run for 8 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the IU 29

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.34

Benjamin Hall run for 19 yds to the IU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Benjamin Hall run for 3 yds to the IU 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the IU 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tayven Jackson) to the IU 20

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.18

Tayven Jackson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Benjamin Hall run for 5 yds to the IU 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Benjamin Hall run for 2 yds to the IU 29

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Benjamin Hall run for 8 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Benjamin Hall for no gain to the IU 21

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Benjamin Hall run for 12 yds to the IU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Benjamin Hall run for 2 yds to the IU 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Benjamin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 8

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 4 yds to the IU 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Karmello English for 4 yds for a TD (Adam Samaha KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Trent Howland run for 12 yds to the IU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Trent Howland run for 11 yds to the IU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Trent Howland run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 40

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the IU 47

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.82

David Holloman run for 5 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

David Holloman run for no gain to the MICH 48

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

David Holloman run for 1 yd to the MICH 47

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the MICH 40 Brendan Sorsby fumbled, recovered by IU Mike Katic

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.63

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Danny Hughes run for 6 yds to the MICH 37

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
14 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play