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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
AuburnAuburn
18
-Final
48
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 15.7

Home Win Probability

LSU 83%

Market (Bovada)

LSU -11

Edge: LSU -11 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
073818
LSULSU
173141448

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425610-017-020-720-1027-1034-1841-1848-18
LSUAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBTD475ydPUNT3-10ydFG1166ydPUNT32ydTD665ydTD875ydFG957ydPUNT517ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-7ydTO416ydPUNT828ydEND1-1ydFG855ydTD639ydPUNT35ydTD467ydTD1084ydTD1175ydDOWNS423ydTD748ydEND744yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and LSU
StatisticAuburnLSU
Passing15-2720-27
Pass Yards154325
Rush Yards139238
Total Yards293563
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-126-9
Penalties5-4212-100
Possession25:4734:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Payton Thorne
12/23, 102 YDS
rushing
Jeremiah Cobb
10 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Brandon Frazier
3 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense
LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
20/27, 325 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Logan Diggs
18 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kyren Lacy
4 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 9 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.98

Logan Diggs run for 35 yds to the AUB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the AUB 29

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.15

Malik Nabers 29 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Damian Ramos Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, False Start (Kam Stutts) to the AUB 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Payton Thorne pass complete to Caleb Burton III for 7 yds to the AUB 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Luke Deal

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the AUB 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AUB Jarquez Hunter

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 53 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for no gain to the LSU 15 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Logan Diggs run for 8 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.19

Jayden Daniels run for 26 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the AUB 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.83

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 17 yds to the AUB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the AUB 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the AUB 7

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 12

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Damian Ramos 30 Yd Field Goal

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for 22 yds to the AUB 22

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 4 yds to the AUB 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Koy Moore, broken up by Andre' Sam

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Lance Heard) to the LSU 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.84

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 49 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the AUB 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the AUB 8

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.31

John Emery Jr. run for 6 yds to the AUB 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

John Emery Jr. 2 Yd Run (Damian Ramos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Payton Thorne pass complete to Camden Brown for 15 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Camden Brown for 12 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Thorne, Payton pass incomplete to Hooks, Shane, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Alexander, Zy) 10 yards to the LSU35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Payton Thorne run for 16 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Shane Hooks

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Mekhi Wingo) to the LSU 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the LSU 12

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Robby Ashford pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 10 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jarquez Hunter 2 Yd Run (Alex McPherson Kick)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jayden Daniels sacked by Eugene Asante for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 11 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.82

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 22 yds to the AUB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 13 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the AUB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers, broken up by Donovan Kaufman

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 9 yds to the AUB 13

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 18

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Damian Ramos 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the AUB 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the AUB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the AUB 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Rivaldo Fairweather, broken up by Zy Alexander

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Shane Hooks

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the LSU 20

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Jayden Daniels run for 13 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the LSU 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers, broken up by Nehemiah Pritchett

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy, broken up by Kayin Lee

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the AUB 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Zy Alexander

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 19

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, False Start (Avery Jones) to the AUB 14

3rd & 16Penalty-7 yds

Thorne, Payton rush for 17 yards to the AUBURN31, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Wade, Dillon) 7 yards to the AUBURN7, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the AUB 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the AUB 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the AUB 34

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -3.95

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted D.J. James return for 3 yds to the AUB 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 20

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the AUB 26

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Robby Ashford run for 10 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jeremiah Cobb run for no gain to the AUB 36

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.26

Jeremiah Cobb run for 13 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Shane Hooks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Shane Hooks, broken up by Paris Shand

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Payton Thorne sacked by Mekhi Wingo for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 47 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Izavion Miller) declined

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 47 yds, downed at the LSU 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the AUB 26 Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Frazier) to the AUB 16

1st & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Robby Ashford run for 9 yds to the AUB 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.77

Robby Ashford pass complete to Brandon Frazier for 39 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Jeremiah Cobb run for 13 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the LSU 18

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Brandon Frazier

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.83

Robby Ashford sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 25

4th & 12Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Jefferson) to the LSU 20

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 yds

Alex McPherson 38 Yd Field Goal

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Alex McPherson kickoff for 64 yds , Kaleb Jackson return for 60 yds to the AUB 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the AUB 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the AUB 31

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Daniels, Jayden pass complete to Nabers, Malik for 5 yards to the AUBURN26, PENALTY LSU illegal motion (Nabers, Malik) 5 yards to the AUBURN36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 8 yds to the AUB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the AUB 24

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jalen McLeod and Marcus Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 25

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.50

Kyren Lacy 25 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Damian Ramos Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 4 yds to the AUB 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +2.92

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 57 yds to the AUB 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the AUB 9

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the AUB 3 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (Logan Diggs) to the AUB 13

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Josh Williams 13 Yd pass from Jayden Daniels (Damian Ramos Kick)

2nd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 62 yds , Brian Battie return for 28 yds to the AUB 31 Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Micah Riley) to the AUB 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the AUB 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.64

Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 13 yds to the AUB 33 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Sage Ryan) to the AUB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brian Battie run for no gain to the AUB 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.53

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 32 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the LSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Payton Thorne pass complete to Caleb Burton III for 4 yds to the LSU 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Rivaldo Fairweather

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 8 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the LSU 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Brandon Frazier 3 Yd pass from Robby Ashford (Robby Ashford Pass to Brandon Frazier for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.20

Jayden Daniels run for 23 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the AUB 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 7 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 6 yds to the AUB 29

2nd & 4Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.27

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the AUB 27 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lance Heard) to the AUB 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.47

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 22 yds to the AUB 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the AUB 15

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the AUB 6

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the AUB 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Logan Diggs 5 Yd Run (Damian Ramos Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 60 yds , Jarquez Hunter return for 20 yds to the AUB 25

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thorne, Payton pass incomplete to Fair, Jay (Ryan, Sage), PENALTY LSU roughing passer (Shand, Paris) 15 yards to the AUBURN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 6 yds to the AUB 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Rivaldo Fairweather, broken up by Jordan Jefferson

4th & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the AUB 48

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

John Emery Jr. run for 17 yds to the AUB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the AUB 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the AUB 11

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.06

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the AUB 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 9 yds to the AUB 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Josh Williams 1 Yd Run (Damian Ramos Kick)

2nd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for 23 yds to the AUB 23

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Jeremiah Cobb run for 11 yds to the AUB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Nick Mardner

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the AUB 37

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the AUB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jeremiah Cobb run for 11 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jeremiah Cobb run for 6 yds to the LSU 33

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
53%
30 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th