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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 6.2

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 63%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky -2

Edge: Kentucky -2 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
01731838
KentuckyKentucky
1407021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-714-1014-2021-2021-2821-3521-38
KentuckyMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISPUNT30ydTD965ydTO415ydTD963ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydTD664ydPUNT31ydFG1356ydPUNT53ydTD861ydEND18ydTO14ydFG617ydPUNT3-10ydMISS626ydTD771ydTD970ydUncategorized3-12ydTD334ydTO431ydPUNT525ydTO3-7ydFG44ydDOWNS755ydEND2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Kentucky
StatisticMissouriKentucky
Passing20-3014-27
Pass Yards206120
Rush Yards118179
Total Yards324299
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-145-13
Penalties6-6514-122
Possession31:0728:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
19/29, 167 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cody Schrader
20 CAR, 71 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Theo Wease
6 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Devin Leary
14/27, 120 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
20 CAR, 128 YDS
receiving
Jordan Dingle
2 REC, 32 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 25

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 39 yds, downed at the UK 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 43

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.14

Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Ray Davis run for 14 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Barion Brown run for 17 yds to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 7 yds to the MIZ 6

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 4 yds to the MIZ 7

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.73

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Brady Cook pass intercepted by Maxwell Hairston at UK 37

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Ray Davis run for 17 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Izayah Cummings run for 5 yds to the MIZ 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the MIZ 15

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

DAVIS, Ray rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the MIZ8 (HOPPER, Ty'Ron). PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Eli enforced 10 yards from the MIZ15 to the MIZ25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Ray Davis run for 11 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Devin Leary run for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Cook sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 36 yds, downed at the MIZ 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.05

Brady Cook run for 25 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the UK 44

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the UK 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UK 33

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.26

run for a loss of 6 yards to the UK 39 fumbled, recovered by MIZ Brady Cook

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +5.95

Luke Bauer pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 39 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 2 yds to the UK 29

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Dane Key) to the UK 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the UK 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the UK 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.44

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zion Childress) to the UK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 5 yds to the UK 12

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Luther Burden III run for 6 yds to the UK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the UK 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Harrison Mevis 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the UK 41

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Ray Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 40

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 33 yds

3rd & 9Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.79

Devin Leary sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the UK 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 9 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 5 yds to the UK 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the UK 26

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 39

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.07

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds Barion Brown fumbled, recovered by MIZ Dreyden Norwood

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the UK 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 11 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the UK 14

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 15

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 1 yd to the UK 14

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 yds

Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 21

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

LEARY, Devin pass deep up the middle complete for 25 yards to KEY, Dane caught at the UK38 and advanced to the UK46 (CARLIES, Jaylon). PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Eli enforced 10 yards from the UK21 to the UK11 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.06

Devin Leary sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 10

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Berry Wilson punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.73

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 17 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the UK 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the UK 29

4th & 4Blocked Field Goal+46 yds

Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tre'vonn Rybka, spotted at UK 36.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 24

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd to the UK 25

3rd & 14Penalty+10 yds

Missouri Penalty, Defensive Holding (Sidney Williams) to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.69

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 31 yds to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 9 yds to the MIZ 39

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.62

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 38

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the UK35. PENALTY UK Pass Interference on PHILLIPS, Andru enforced 15 yards to the UK47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 6 yds to the UK 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 5 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 12 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.47

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 22 yds to the UK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the UK 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (C. Schrader Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 29

2nd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.14

Devin Leary sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 11 yards to the UK 18

3rd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.07

Devin Leary run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 13 Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by UK Devin Leary

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 26 yds, downed at the UK 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the UK 34

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the UK1. PENALTY UK Pass Interference on PHILLIPS, Andru enforced 15 yards to the UK19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Cody Schrader run for 19 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.40

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 21 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LEARY, Devin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the MIZ5. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on NORWOOD, Dreyden enforced 15 yards to the MIZ20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the MIZ 15

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

LEARY, Devin pass to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Tayvion thrown to the MIZ1. PENALTY UK Holding enforced 10 yards from the MIZ15 to the MIZ25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -2.76

Devin Leary pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 18

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

COOK, Brady pass deep to the right intercepted by CHILDRESS, Zion at the MIZ45 intended for WEASE, Theo. Childress return for 0 yards to the MIZ45, End of Play, clock 08:43. PENALTY UK Offsides on WALKER, Deone enforced 5 yards from the MIZ18 to the MIZ23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Cody Schrader run for 12 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 33

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 37

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MIZ 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the UK 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Devin Leary sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 16

3rd & 17Interception-15 ydsPPA +0.34

Devin Leary pass intercepted Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Barion Brown) to the UK 16

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 19

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the UK 17

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the UK 12

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Harrison Mevis 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Harrison Mevis kickoff for 54 yds , return for no gain to the UK 42

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.75

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 28 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 12 yds to the MIZ 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Ray Davis run for 10 yds to the MIZ 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

run for 1 yd to the MIZ 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -3.79

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 4 yds to the MIZ 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

[NH] Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MIZ2 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

[NH] Kneel down by COOK, Brady at MIZ2 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
63%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play