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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
ArkansasArkansas
21
-Final
24
AlabamaAlabama
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 21.8

Home Win Probability

Alabama 88%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -19.5

Edge: Alabama -19.5 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
607821
AlabamaAlabama
7143024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-614-621-624-624-1324-21
AlabamaArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAPUNT35ydPUNT35ydFG727ydPUNT519ydFG849ydTD375ydPUNT39ydTD1083ydPUNT3-7ydTD564ydPUNT39ydPUNT723ydEND26ydPUNT632ydPUNT38ydFG777ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT33ydTD1077ydPUNT3-9ydTD969ydPUNT30ydPUNT827ydEND1026yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Alabama
StatisticArkansasAlabama
Passing14-2410-21
Pass Yards150238
Rush Yards100177
Total Yards250415
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-146-14
Penalties2-135-45
Possession30:1129:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
14/24, 150 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
AJ Green
6 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Andrew Armstrong
4 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
10/21, 238 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jase McClellan
16 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Kobe Prentice
2 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jaylen Key
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 4 yds to the ARK 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the ARK 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 59 yds, downed at the ALA 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 13

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 13

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 16

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

James Burnip punt for 52 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 4 yds to the ARK 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the ARK 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Rashod Dubinion

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.63

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ty Washington for 24 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ALA 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the ALA 37

4th & 7Field Goal Good+55 yds

Cam Little 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ALA 20

2nd & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Jase McClellan run for 18 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ALA 43

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.99

Jalen Milroe sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 37

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the ALA 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 14 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.78

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 21 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.26

KJ Jefferson sacked by Trezmen Marshall for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 45

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 8 yds to the ALA 37

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

AJ Green run for 6 yds to the ALA 31

4th & 3Field Goal Good+49 yds

Cam Little 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.49

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ALA Jalen Milroe

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +7.27

Kobe Prentice 79 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the ARK 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 49 yds, downed at the ALA 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.80

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 44 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ARK 36

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.39

Jalen Milroe sacked by Jashaud Stewart and Hudson Clark for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 43

3rd & 16Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.42

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 25 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the ARK 13

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 10

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ARK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ARK 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 63 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 21 yds to the ARK 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the ARK 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 27

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.47

KJ Jefferson sacked by Jah-Marien Latham for a loss of 11 yards to the ARK 16

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jalen Hale

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the ALA 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.65

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 14 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Jam Miller run for 16 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 29 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon Wilson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the ARK 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds to the ARK 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 50 yds, downed at the ALA 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the ALA 17

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Justice Haynes run for 10 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the ALA 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 16 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Jalen Milroe sacked by Landon Jackson and Jaheim Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 45

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Milroe sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 39

4th & 22Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the ARK 11

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the ARK 16

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Malik Benson for 4 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Jase McClellan run for 12 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Jase McClellan run for 15 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ARK 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the ARK 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 19

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 70 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 11

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.83

Roydell Williams run for 16 yds to the ALA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Jam Miller run for 19 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.58

Roydell Williams run for 35 yds to the ARK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the ARK 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Will Reichard 30 yd FG GOOD

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 15 yds to the ARK 15

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.72

KJ Jefferson sacked by Terrion Arnold for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 6

2nd & 19Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

AJ Green run for 10 yds to the ARK 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.15

KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for a loss of 5 yards to the ARK 11

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jalen Hale

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the ARK 18

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 7 yds to the ARK 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.63

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds to the ALA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

KJ Jefferson run for 22 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

AJ Green run for 2 yds to the ALA 23

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the ALA 20

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Caleb Downs) to the ALA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 5 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 25

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Jalen Milroe sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the ALA 16

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

James Burnip punt for 54 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 1 yd to the ARK 31

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 29

2nd & 12Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.07

KJ Jefferson run for 23 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 6 yds to the ALA 42

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.34

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 25 yds to the ALA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.26

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 14 yds for a TD (KJ Jefferson pass to Andrew Armstrong for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the ALA 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Malik Benson

4th & 10Punt+67 yds

James Burnip punt for 59 yds, return by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 16 Arkansas Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the ARK 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rashod Dubinion run for no gain to the ARK 8

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 12

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.58

AJ Green run for 19 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 46

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.22

KJ Jefferson sacked by Dallas Turner and Justin Eboigbe for a loss of 11 yards to the ARK 35

4th & 19Punt+11 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 41 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 11 yds to the ALA 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 5 yds to the ALA 42

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Ja'Corey Brooks) to the ALA 41

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 43

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 14 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the ARK 41

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the ARK 35

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, False Start (Jase McClellan) to the ARK 35

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 37

2nd & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 39

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
18%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th