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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Jacksonville State by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Jacksonville State 64%

Market (Bovada)

Jacksonville State +7

Edge: Jacksonville State +7 (14.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 10, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
01071431
Jacksonville StateJacksonville State
733013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-1010-1713-1713-31
Jacksonville StateLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBJSLIBPUNT3-8ydTO3-6ydPUNT36ydTD1172ydFG1662ydMISS1462ydTD780ydFG1153ydTO942ydTO421ydEND1-2ydPUNT613ydTD1289ydFG1354ydTD675ydPUNT35ydTD1679ydDOWNS855ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Jacksonville State
StatisticLibertyJacksonville State
Passing12-2114-31
Pass Yards177184
Rush Yards245140
Total Yards422324
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-157-15
Penalties7-657-65
Possession37:4322:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Kaidon Salter
12/21, 177 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Quinton Cooley
28 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Treon Sibley
3 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jacksonville State
passing
Logan Smothers
8/18, 115 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Anwar Lewis
15 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Perry Carter
5 REC, 83 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 21

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kaidon Salter) to the LIB 16

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 33 yds

1st & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JVST 45

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jacksonville State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Brown) to the JVST 44

2nd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Zion Webb pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 18 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper WEBB, Zion rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the LIB49 (CARTER, Joseph). PENALTY LIB Offsides on WHITEHEAD II, Bryan enforced 5 yards from the JSU46 to the LIB49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Logan Smothers run for no gain to the LIB 49

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Anwar Lewis run for 7 yds to the LIB 37

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Logan Smothers run for no gain to the LIB 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Logan Smothers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 9 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LIB 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.94

Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 25 yds to the LIB 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LIB 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Logan Smothers run for 1 yd for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Billy Lucas run for no gain to the LIB 25

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the LIB 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the JVST 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the JVST 45

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Jacksonville State Penalty, Offsides (Chris Hardie) to the JVST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SALTER, Kaidon pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for DANIELS, CJ thrown to the JSU0. PENALTY JSU Pass Interference on PERRY, Fred enforced 15 yards to the JSU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the JVST 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the JVST 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the JVST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the JVST 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Nick Brown 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the JVST 30

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Logan Smothers run for 9 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.84

Anwar Lewis run for 25 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the LIB 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.78

Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 11 yds to the LIB 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Anwar Lewis run for 6 yds to the LIB 18

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the LIB 15

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.09

Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the LIB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the LIB 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Alen Karajic 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Billy Lucas run for 18 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Billy Lucas run for no gain to the LIB 49

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Kaidon Salter run for 12 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Jacksonville State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the JVST 34

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the JVST 31

2nd & 2Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.47

Quinton Cooley run for 25 yds to the JVST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the JVST 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the JVST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.21

Logan Smothers pass complete to Jordan McCants for 28 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Reggion Bennett run for 2 yds to the LIB 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 14 yds to the LIB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Reggion Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Logan Smothers run for no gain to the LIB 22

4th & 11Field Goal Good+39 yds

Alen Karajic 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 4 yds to the LIB 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 17

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.51

Kaidon Salter run for 15 yds to the LIB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds to the LIB 41

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.47

Quinton Cooley run for 21 yds to the JVST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 7 yds to the JVST 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the JVST 29

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (CJ Daniels) to the JVST 34

3rd & 6Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.99

Kaidon Salter sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the JVST 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Anwar Lewis run for 6 yds to the LIB 47

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Anwar Lewis run for no gain to the LIB 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Logan Smothers pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 15 yds to the LIB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.13

Logan Smothers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

[NHSG] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at LIB2 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Max Morgan kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the JVST 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Smothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 10

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 8 yds to the JVST 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Logan Smothers pass complete to Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the JVST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Anwar Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 21

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the JVST 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 65 yds, downed at the LIB 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 14

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Aaron Bedgood run for 8 yds to the LIB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Quinton Cooley run for 8 yds to the LIB 30

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.99

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the LIB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the LIB 48

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Kaidon Salter sacked by Ricky Samuel for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.77

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 28 yds to the JVST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Aaron Bedgood run for no gain to the JVST 27

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 27 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Ashton Frye pass complete to Perry Carter for 18 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Anwar Lewis run for 1 yd to the JVST 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Ashton Frye pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 8 yds to the LIB 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Ashton Frye run for no gain to the LIB 47

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Anwar Lewis run for 11 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ashton Frye run for 5 yds to the LIB 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ashton Frye pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Ashton Frye run for 6 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ashton Frye run for 4 yds to the LIB 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ashton Frye pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ashton Frye pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Alen Karajic 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aaron Bedgood run for 5 yds to the LIB 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 19 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jacksonville State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Fred Perry) to the JVST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the JVST 24

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (Chase Mitchell) to the JVST 29

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.49

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 29 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the JVST 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ashton Frye run for 4 yds to the JVST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ashton Frye pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 49 yds, downed at the LIB 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the LIB 27

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.47

Quinton Cooley run for 15 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Aaron Bedgood run for 4 yds to the LIB 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the JVST 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the JVST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Liberty Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Daniels) to the LIB 45

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.13

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Billy Lucas for 15 yds to the JVST 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 8 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the JVST 29

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 30

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the JVST 24

4th & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 12 yds to the JVST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the JVST 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the JVST 5

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ashton Frye pass complete to Sterling Galban for 4 yds to the JVST 40

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

FRYE, Ashton pass to the right incomplete intended for GALBAN, Sterling thrown to the JSU46. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on BISHOP, Brandon enforced 15 yards to the LIB45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.76

Ashton Frye pass complete to Anwar Lewis for 19 yds to the LIB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ashton Frye run for 11 yds to the LIB 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Anwar Lewis run for 11 yds to the LIB 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ashton Frye pass incomplete

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ashton Frye pass complete to J'Wan Evans for 2 yds to the LIB 2

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.86

Ashton Frye run for a loss of 7 yards to the LIB 9 Ashton Frye fumbled, recovered by JVST Ashton Frye

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.60

Ashton Frye pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the LIB 15

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NH] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at LIB19 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

[NH] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at LIB18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Jacksonville State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play