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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
LSULSU
49
-Final
39
MissouriMissouri
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Missouri 49%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri +6.5

Edge: Missouri +6.5 (8.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
710102249
MissouriMissouri
15107739

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842568-08-715-722-722-1022-1725-1725-2032-2732-3539-42
MissouriLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISLSUMISMISLSUPUNT35ydTD987ydTD1174ydTD675ydPUNT37ydTD657ydFG1144ydTO35ydTD645ydEND942ydMISS948ydFG861ydPUNT33ydTD245ydTD675ydMISS954ydPUNT3-9ydTD792ydTD570ydTD575ydDOWNS523ydPUNT3-1ydTD20ydMISS531ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Missouri
StatisticLSUMissouri
Passing15-2330-47
Pass Yards259411
Rush Yards274116
Total Yards533527
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-124-11
Penalties11-8311-63
Possession32:2027:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
15/21, 259 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Logan Diggs
24 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Nabers
6 REC, 146 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
30/47, 411 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Cody Schrader
13 CAR, 114 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Luther Burden III
11 REC, 149 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the LSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 57 yds, downed at the MIZ 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 10 yds to the MIZ 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.44

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 35 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the LSU 18

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.17

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 18 yds for a TD (B. Cook Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.93

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 39 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Logan Diggs run for 13 yds to the MIZ 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 27

1st & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Jayden Daniels run for 19 yds to the MIZ 8

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the MIZ 8

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the MIZ 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

Missouri Penalty, Delay of Game (2 Yards) to the MIZ 3

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the MIZ 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the MIZ 1 for a 1ST down Missouri Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the MIZ 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the MIZ 1

2nd & 0Penalty0 yds

Daniels, Jayden rush for no gain to the MISSOURI1, PENALTY MISSOURI face mask 0 yards to the MISSOURI1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 22 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 44 Brady Cook fumbled, recovered by MIZ Nathaniel Peat

2nd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 19 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Brady Cook pass complete to Daniel Blood for 16 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Cody Schrader run for 21 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Harrison Mevis kickoff for 65 yds , Kaleb Jackson return for 30 yds to the LSU 35 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 20

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Jayden Daniels sacked by Darius Robinson and Realus George Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 17

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 24

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the LSU 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 30 yds, downed at the MIZ 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the MIZ 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 23 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 33

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.42

Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 20 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 9 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 8

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 9 yds Brian Thomas Jr. fumbled, recovered by LSU

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the LSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 11 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Logan Diggs run for 12 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the MIZ 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the MIZ 21

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 31

4th & 11Field Goal Good+48 yds

Damian Ramos 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MIZ 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brady Cook pass intercepted Harold Perkins Jr. return for no gain to the MIZ 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Logan Diggs run for 8 yds to the MIZ 37

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 47

2nd & 12Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.39

Logan Diggs run for 34 yds to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the MIZ 10

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the MIZ 6

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 3 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 4 yds to the MIZ 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the MIZ 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.55

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LSU 44

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 46

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Nathaniel Peat run for 10 yds to the LSU 44

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.94

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 11 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Harrison Mevis 50 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 14 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 40

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Brady Cook run for 12 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Brady Cook run for 16 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 5 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+44 yds

Harrison Mevis 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Harold Perkins Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 11 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.98

Jayden Daniels run for 27 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.81

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 21 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the MIZ 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Damian Ramos 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 4 yds to the MIZ 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.81

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 42 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 6 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 4Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.16

Cody Schrader run for 52 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Luther Burden III run for no gain to the LSU 17

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 27

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the LSU 24

3rd & 17Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the LSU 19

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 17 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 20 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Logan Diggs run for 15 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Missouri Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Johnny Walker Jr.) to the MIZ 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the MIZ 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 9 yds to the MIZ 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Daylan Carnell) to the MIZ 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 12

1st & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Malik Nabers run for 1 yd to the MIZ 11

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 16

2nd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 21

3rd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Damian Ramos 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 17

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.10

Brady Cook sacked by Maason Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 11

4th & 19Punt+81 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 73 yds, downed at the LSU 16 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the LSU 8

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Daniels sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 7

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the LSU 9

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.92

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 35 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 7 yds to the MIZ 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.71

Jayden Daniels run for 35 yds for a TD (Jayden Daniels pass to Malik Nabers for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.93

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 42 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 14 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Cody Schrader run for 11 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the LSU 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 5Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.41

Jayden Daniels run for 31 yds to the MIZ 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 29 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 9 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 46

3rd & 6Sack-26 ydsPPA -2.27

Brady Cook sacked by Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 26 yards to the MIZ 28 Brady Cook fumbled, recovered by MIZ

4th & 32Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.39

Brady Cook pass complete to Daniel Blood for 4 yds to the MIZ 48 lat. to Theo Wease Jr. for 16 yds to the MIZ 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the MIZ 46

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.70

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 11 yards to the LSU 43 Jayden Daniels fumbled, recovered by LSU Jayden Daniels

3rd & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Logan Diggs run for 8 yds to the MIZ 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+17 ydsPPA -6.80

Brady Cook pass intercepted for a TD Major Burns return for 17 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 53 yds , Marquis Johnson return for 20 yds to the MIZ 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.47

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 31 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Marquis Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tyler Stephens

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Harrison Mevis 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 36

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
4 plays
50%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play