Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Illinois 65%

Market (Bovada)

Illinois -3

Edge: Illinois -3 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
3143020
IllinoisIllinois
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-107-177-20
IllinoisNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBDOWNS1474ydFG1186ydPUNT314ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydTD1479ydTD125ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydTD576ydPUNT511ydMISS729ydEND1-2ydPUNT632ydTO318ydFG48ydPUNT3-10ydMISS44ydDOWNS630ydTO1138ydPUNT35ydTO3-4ydTO55ydTO714ydDOWNS1267ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Illinois
StatisticNebraskaIllinois
Passing12-2429-47
Pass Yards154289
Rush Yards15821
Total Yards312310
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-154-15
Penalties10-703-30
Possession37:1722:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Heinrich Haarberg
12/24, 154 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Heinrich Haarberg
18 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Fidone Jr.
3 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Isaac Gifford
0.5 TFL, 3 PD
Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
29/47, 289 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaden Feagin
5 CAR, 15 YDS
receiving
Patrick Bryant
4 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILL 20

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Reggie Love III run for 10 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 8 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 6 yds to the ILL 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.54

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 20 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NEB 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 11 yds to the NEB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the NEB 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the NEB 12

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the NEB 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the NEB 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the NEB 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the NEB 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the NEB 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the NEB 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the NEB 1

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.48

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Marcus Washington for 39 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 48

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 49

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.05

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 21 yds to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the ILL 31

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Anthony Grant run for 12 yds to the ILL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the ILL 18

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the ILL 17

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the ILL 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

Tristan Alvano 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ILL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the ILL 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 28 yds, downed at the NEB 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Joshua Fleeks run for 1 yd to the NEB 34

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the NEB 29

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the NEB 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Jaidyn Doss

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the ILL 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the ILL 35

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Altmyer run for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 36 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by ILL Luke Altmyer Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the ILL 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Heinrich Haarberg run for 6 yds to the NEB 40

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.53

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the ILL 41 for a 1ST down Illinois Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alec Bryant) to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 5 yds to the ILL 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.49

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 6 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Anthony Grant

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the ILL 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.86

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Ty Hahn for 21 yds to the ILL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 11 yds to the ILL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the ILL 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Heinrich Haarberg run for 25 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brian Buschini kickoff for 48 yds , Hank Beatty return for no gain to the ILL 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the ILL 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the ILL 21

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Luke Altmyer sacked by John Bullock for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 17

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the NEB 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Malachi Coleman

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the ILL 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.78

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 20 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Luke Altmyer sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 6 yds to the ILL 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 5 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 46 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 7 yds to the NEB 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the ILL 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 18 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the NEB 43

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.02

Luke Altmyer sacked by Jimari Butler and Princewill Umanmielen for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Reggie Love III for 10 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Caleb Griffin 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

David Olano kickoff for 65 yds , Tommi Hill return for 22 yds to the NEB 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 14 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the NEB 45

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the ILL 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the ILL 41

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Bryce Benhart) to the ILL 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Nate Boerkircher

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the ILL 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the ILL 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 17 yds to the ILL 31, Griffin Moore fumbled, recovered by NEB Tommi Hill, return for 10 yds to the ILL 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the ILL 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the ILL 12

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 yds

Tristan Alvano 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 9 yards to the ILL 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.08

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 15

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Kaden Feagin

4th & 20Blocked Punt+7 yds

Hugh Robertson punt blocked by Blaise Gunnerson for a 1ST down blocked by Blaise Gunnerson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the ILL 22

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Heinrich Haarberg run for 4 yds to the ILL 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Tristan Alvano 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for no gain to the ILL 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.29

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 21 yds to the ILL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for no gain to the ILL 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for 5 yds to the ILL 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the ILL 44

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the ILL 44

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.62

Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the ILL 33

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the ILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Emmett Johnson run for 4 yds to the ILL 21

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Emmett Johnson run for 12 yds to the ILL 9 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the ILL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the ILL 17

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the ILL 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Janiran Bonner for 5 yds to the ILL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.47

Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the ILL 12 Emmett Johnson fumbled, recovered by ILL Kenenna Odeluga

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 5 yds to the ILL 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 45

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Heinrich Haarberg run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEB 41 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NEB Heinrich Haarberg

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.17

Heinrich Haarberg pass intercepted Xavier Scott return for no gain to the ILL 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 6 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Illinois Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ILL 26

1st & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 25

2nd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 6 yds to the ILL 31

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return+54 ydsPPA +0.15

Luke Altmyer pass intercepted Quinton Newsome return for 39 yds to the NEB 30 Nebraska Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the ILL 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the ILL 23

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Heinrich Haarberg run for 6 yds to the ILL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the ILL 16

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILL 21

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Heinrich Haarberg run for 13 yds to the ILL 8

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the ILL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILL 10

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.52

Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Alec Bryant and Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 14

2nd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 yds

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 15 Anthony Grant fumbled, recovered by ILL James Kreutz

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Tip Reiman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 18 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Ashton Hollins for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 11 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 6 yds to the NEB 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Griffin Moore

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 7 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 8 yds to the NEB 18

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.66

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 20

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.49

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 15

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.08

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 12

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
9 plays
75%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play