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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 16.3

Home Win Probability

Florida 84%

Market (Bovada)

Florida -18.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +18.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
707014
FloridaFlorida
71471038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-721-728-731-1438-14
FloridaVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOPUNT525ydTD993ydPUNT34ydTO10ydTD289ydPUNT524ydDOWNS941ydTD761ydDOWNS771ydPUNT727ydPUNT38ydTD871ydEND522ydPUNT32ydPUNT416ydTD1491ydTD675ydFG754ydDOWNS611ydTD436ydPUNT35ydEND738yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Florida
StatisticVanderbiltFlorida
Passing19-3434-41
Pass Yards276280
Rush Yards64215
Total Yards340495
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-105-12
Penalties5-478-70
Possession23:0236:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Ken Seals
19/34, 276 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sedrick Alexander
8 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Will Sheppard
3 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
Graham Mertz
30/36, 254 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Montrell Johnson
18 CAR, 135 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Arlis Boardingham
7 REC, 99 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 19 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ken Seals pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.10

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 18 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 4 yds to the FLA 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the FLA 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.58

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 34 yds to the VAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(09:11) MERTZ, Graham pass short to the left incomplete intended for BOARDINGHAM, Arlis thrown to the VAN15, clock 09:10. PENALTY VAN Offsides on ZUNK, Linus enforced 5 yards from the VAN19 to the VAN14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Ricky Pearsall run for 14 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Kahleil Jackson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ken Seals run for 4 yds to the VAN 15

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.81

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 85 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 9 yds to the FLA 32

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 8 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 8 yds to the FLA 48

2nd & 2Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Graham Mertz sacked by Devin Lee and Nate Clifton for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the FLA 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the VAN 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ken Seals pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(01:58) SEALS, Ken pass up the middle incomplete intended for SHEPPARD, Will thrown to the VAN35, clock 01:48. PENALTY UFL Roughing the Passer on BANKS, Caleb enforced 15 yards from the VAN23 to the VAN38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ken Seals pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 9 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ken Seals pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Sedrick Alexander run for 9 yds to the FLA 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.24

Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 8 yds fumbled, recovered by FLA Jalen Kimber

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the FLA 48

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the VAN 46

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.39

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 28 yds to the VAN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the VAN 10

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Treyaun Webb run for 8 yds to the VAN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 2 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ken Seals pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Jayden McGowan run for 16 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.46

Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 52 yds to the FLA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 3 yds to the FLA 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ken Seals pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Ken Seals pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 11 yds to the FLA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 7 yds to the FLA 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 19 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FLA 27

2nd & 25Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Graham Mertz pass complete to Andy Jean for 2 yds to the FLA 29

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Graham Mertz pass complete to Treyaun Webb for 2 yds to the FLA 31

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 63 yds, downed at the VAN 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 3 yds to the VAN 14

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 5 yds to the FLA 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.86

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 19 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 9 yds to the VAN 37

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(01:12) MERTZ, Graham pass to the right incomplete intended for PEARSALL, Ricky thrown to the VAN30, clock 01:10. PENALTY VAN Personal Foul on BARR, Ethan enforced 15 yards from the VAN37 to the VAN22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 5 yds to the VAN 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the VAN 14

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

(00:55) MERTZ, Graham pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Kahleil thrown to the VAN0, clock 00:53. PENALTY VAN Roughing the Passer on CLIFTON, Nate enforced 15 yards from the VAN00 to the UFL15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ken Seals run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 15 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ken Seals pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ken Seals run for 6 yds to the VAN 49

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Ken Seals sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 47

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Graham Mertz sacked by Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 19

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 22

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FLA 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Jayden McGowan run for 9 yds to the VAN 40

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(11:35) SEALS, Ken pass short up the middle incomplete intended for BALL, Justin thrown to the VAN45, clock 11:30. PENALTY UFL Pass Interference on MOTEN, R.J. enforced 15 yards to the UFL45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 47

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ken Seals pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ken Seals run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 48

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aeneas DiCosmo) to the VAN 47

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, downed at the FLA 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 23 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Ricky Pearsall run for 9 yds to the FLA 41

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 12 yds to the VAN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the VAN 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 3 yds to the VAN 36

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.91

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 7 yds to the VAN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Florida Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Graham Mertz) to the VAN 41

2nd & 22Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 7 yds to the VAN 34

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.53

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 20 yds to the VAN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the VAN 9

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 12 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 5 yds to the VAN 42

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Sedrick Alexander run for 10 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.05

Ken Seals pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 27 yds to the FLA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ken Seals pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Ken Seals pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 21 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Treyaun Webb run for 11 yds to the FLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.60

Treyaun Webb run for 43 yds to the VAN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Graham Mertz pass complete to Treyaun Webb for 2 yds to the VAN 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Graham Mertz pass complete to Treyaun Webb for 2 yds to the VAN 18

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Florida Penalty, Illegal Block (Arlis Boardingham) to the VAN 28

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 33

3rd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 11 yds to the VAN 22

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Trey Smack 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ken Seals pass complete to Logan Kyle for 8 yds to the VAN 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ken Seals pass complete to Kamrean Johnson for 6 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 1 yd to the VAN 40

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the VAN 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.47

Ken Seals sacked by Derek Wingo for a loss of 9 yards to the VAN 36

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA -0.29

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the VAN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 15

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 15 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ken Seals run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ken Seals pass complete to Kamrean Johnson for 5 yds to the VAN 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Max Brown pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 13 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Max Brown pass complete to Marcus Burke for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Max Brown pass complete to Marcus Burke for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Bradley Mann) to the VAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Eddie Battle run for no gain to the VAN 35

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Eddie Battle run for 2 yds to the VAN 33

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 38

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Max Brown pass complete to Taylor Spierto for 10 yds to the VAN 28

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
3 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play