Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 5, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 21

Home Win Probability

Liberty 89%

Market (Bovada)

Liberty -21.5

Edge: Sam Houston +21.5 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sam HoustonSam Houston
1006016
LibertyLiberty
7140021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-1021-1021-16
LibertySam Houston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBSHSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBSHLIBTD574ydTD1285ydTO21ydFG44ydTD977ydPUNT34ydPUNT937ydPUNT33ydTD462ydTO440ydPUNT35ydEND1-2ydPUNT530ydPUNT621ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTD668ydMISS757ydPUNT620ydMISS1164ydPUNT33ydPUNT423ydDOWNS1596ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sam Houston and Liberty
StatisticSam HoustonLiberty
Passing27-4211-19
Pass Yards255257
Rush Yards72191
Total Yards327448
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-147-14
Penalties3-258-79
Possession27:2432:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sam Houston
passing
Keegan Shoemaker
27/41, 255 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Keegan Shoemaker
7 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Noah Smith
13 REC, 97 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Kaidon Salter
11/19, 257 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quinton Cooley
17 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
C.J. Daniels
5 REC, 157 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Aaron Bedgood run for 3 yds to the LIB 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.63

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Aaron Bedgood run for 10 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.58

Quinton Cooley run for 28 yds to the SHSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Kaidon Salter run for 10 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 2 yds to the SHSU 17

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.15

Malik Phillips run for 8 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST down Liberty Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Bishop) to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Gentry run for 3 yds to the SHSU 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 8 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the LIB 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

run for no gain to the LIB 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.43

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 10 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Keegan Shoemaker run for 12 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 11 yds to the LIB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

SHOEMAKER, Keegan pass to the left incomplete intended for EVANS, Simeon thrown to the LIB0. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on HODGE, Preston enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the LIB2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the LIB 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper SHOEMAKER, Keegan rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the LIB0, TOUCHDOWN SHS, score nullified by penalty, clock 07:35 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, SHS Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the LIB1 to the LIB6. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Noah Smith run for 4 yds to the LIB 2

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LIB 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 7 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 28

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kaidon Salter pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 21

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the LIB 16

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Colby Sessums 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the LIB 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 7 yds to the LIB 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.47

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 32 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Quinton Cooley run for 13 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the SHSU 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 16 yds to the SHSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the SHSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aaron Bedgood run for 3 yds to the SHSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Noah Smith sacked by Brylan Green for a loss of 5 yards to the SHSU 15

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Keegan Shoemaker run for 3 yds to the SHSU 18

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Landan Brown for 6 yds to the SHSU 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 57 yds, downed at the LIB 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Victor Venn for 1 yd to the LIB 20

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 34

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper SALTER, Kaidon rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the LIB40 (DOWNES, Isaiah). PENALTY LIB Holding on GRAY, Xavior enforced 10 yards from the LIB34 to the LIB24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.23

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 39 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JOINTER, JR., James rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the SHS36 (WILLIAMS, Trevor). PENALTY LIB Holding on HENDERSON, Austin enforced 10 yards from the SHS37 to the SHS47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the SHSU 42

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the SHSU 39

3rd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.59

Kaidon Salter sacked by Issiah Nixon for a loss of 5 yards to the SHSU 44

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 2 yds to the SHSU 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 24

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.27

Keegan Shoemaker sacked by CJ Bazile Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 39 yds, downed at the LIB 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the LIB 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 5 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 51 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 41 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Noah Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -2.30

Keegan Shoemaker pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaidon Salter run for no gain to the LIB 20

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 21

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

[NHSG] Kneel down by SHOEMAKER, Keegan at SHS30 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the LIB 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SALTER, Kaidon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BEDGOOD, Aaron broken up by ESCOBAR, Elias at the SHS45. PENALTY LIB Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MITCHELL, Chase enforced 5 yards from the LIB11 to the LIB6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

James Jointer Jr. run for 10 yds to the LIB 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aaron Bedgood run for 4 yds to the LIB 20

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

James Jointer Jr. run for 6 yds to the LIB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the LIB 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the SHSU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the SHSU 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Aaron Bedgood run for 3 yds to the LIB 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 17 yds to the SHSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.41

Keegan Shoemaker run for 29 yds to the LIB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Keegan Shoemaker run for no gain to the LIB 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Landan Brown for 2 yds to the LIB 20

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.32

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 20 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Kaidon Salter run for 10 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Aaron Bedgood run for 18 yds to the SHSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.66

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 41 yds to the SHSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

James Jointer Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 7

2nd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.06

Aaron Bedgood run for a loss of 9 yards to the SHSU 16

3rd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

James Jointer Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 17

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Nick Brown 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Landan Brown run for 1 yd to the SHSU 21

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Keegan Shoemaker run for 8 yds to the SHSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

run for 2 yds to the SHSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tobias Weaver run for no gain to the SHSU 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 9 yds to the SHSU 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brylan Green at the LIB 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the LIB 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

SALTER, Kaidon scrambles to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the LIB26 (ADKINS, Donovan), out of bounds. PENALTY LIB Holding on GRAY, Xavior enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the LIB16 to the LIB9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

SALTER, Kaidon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for AUSTIN, Kylen thrown to the SHS40. PENALTY SHS Pass Interference on FISHER, David enforced 15 yards to the LIB24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.47

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 34 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the SHSU 35

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the SHSU 34

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the SHSU 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the SHSU 22

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Nick Brown 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tobias Weaver run for 3 yds to the SHSU 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.40

Quinton Cooley run for 32 yds to the SHSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the SHSU 28

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 30

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kaidon Salter) to the SHSU 35

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.16

Kaidon Salter sacked by Chris Scott for a loss of 8 yards to the SHSU 43

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 42 yds, downed at the SHSU 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.72

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 21 yds to the SHSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 15 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 6 yds to the SHSU 43

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 11 yds Noah Smith fumbled, recovered by SHSU Graceson Jackson-Smith for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 10 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Keegan Shoemaker run for 1 yd to the LIB 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the LIB 30

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

SHOEMAKER, Keegan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ROCKWELL, Jay thrown to the LIB13. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 15 yards to the LIB15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Tobias Weaver for 4 yds to the LIB 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 4 yds to the LIB 7

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.49

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 4 yds to the LIB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

[NHSG] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at LIB2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Sam Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
31%
26 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
57%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th