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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 7.4

Home Win Probability

Louisiana Tech 31%

Market (Bovada)

Louisiana Tech +6

Edge: Western Kentucky -6 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
21140035
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
7014728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-217-287-3514-3521-3528-35
Louisiana TechWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKLTWKTO21ydTD542ydTD275ydDOWNS1046ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydTD280ydTO39ydTD316ydPUNT814ydTD686ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydPUNT49ydTD1488ydMISS326ydPUNT36ydPUNT618ydTD765ydDOWNS629ydTD454ydPUNT39ydPUNT75ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1244ydPUNT36ydTD647ydPUNT34ydTO20ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Louisiana Tech
StatisticWestern KentuckyLouisiana Tech
Passing19-3421-41
Pass Yards297259
Rush Yards129138
Total Yards426397
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-144-17
Penalties4-437-55
Possession26:0333:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Austin Reed
19/34, 297 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Markese Stepp
9 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malachi Corley
8 REC, 207 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Louisiana Tech
passing
Jack Turner
21/41, 259 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyre Shelton
21 CAR, 118 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Smoke Harris
11 REC, 117 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 26

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Reed pass intercepted

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.88

Tyre Shelton run for 14 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the WKU 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the WKU 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Tyre Shelton run for 25 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Markese Stepp run for 5 yds to the WKU 30

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.98

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 70 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 16 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LT 43

2nd & 8Sack-14 ydsPPA -1.96

Jack Turner sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the LT 29

3rd & 22Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.89

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 18 yds to the LT 47

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.32

Jack Turner pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 15 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Charvis Thornton run for 3 yds to the WKU 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the WKU 33

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the WKU 29

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.06

Jack Turner pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LT 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the LT 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jack Turner pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 24 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Markese Stepp run for 56 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LT 19

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the LT 23

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Turner pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

L.T. Sanders run for 9 yds to the LT 7

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the LT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jack Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 24

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Charvis Thornton run for 7 yds to the LT 31

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

TURNER, Jack pass short to the right complete for 10 yards to WILLIAMS, Dakota caught at the LAT36 and advanced to the LAT41, out of bounds. PENALTY LAT Holding on ROSSELL, Biron enforced 10 yards from the LAT31 to the LAT21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Jack Turner run for 12 yds to the LT 33

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.85

Jack Turner run for 4 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LT 34

1st & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the LT 40

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 47 yds, downed at the WKU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 3 yds to the WKU 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.88

Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 21 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 10 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the LT 48

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.32

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 48 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Turner pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 5 yds to the WKU 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 12 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Turner run for no gain to the WKU 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the LT 47

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Turner run for 2 yds to the LT 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKU 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKU 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.26

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 17 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the WKU 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 16 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the LT 41 L.T. Sanders fumbled, recovered by WKU River Helms

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.76

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 7 yds to the LT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the LT 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.33

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 16 yds to the LT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the LT 14

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijah Young) to the LT 29

2nd & 24Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +4.62

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 29 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 21 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the WKU 36

2nd & 5Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Buck Buchanan 53 Yard Field Goal Missed

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TURNER, Jack pass short to the left complete for 4 yards to RIVERA, Ryan caught at the LAT27 and advanced to the LAT29, out of bounds. PENALTY LAT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WHITE, Dakota enforced 5 yards from the LAT25 to the LAT20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the LT 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the LT 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Jack Turner pass complete to Tyre Shelton for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 45 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

(12:14) ELLARD, Tom punt 40 yards to the LAT30, fair catch by HARRIS, Smoke. PENALTY LAT Personal Foul on DURU, Koby enforced 15 yards from the WKU30 to the WKU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.30

Austin Reed pass complete to L.T. Sanders for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 42

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jack Turner pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jack Turner pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 8 yds to the WKU 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Jack Turner pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 18 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the WKU 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jack Turner pass incomplete

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.65

Jack Turner pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 19 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Michael Richard) to the WKU 30

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.81

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 13 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the LT 47

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.25

Malachi Corley run for 1 yd to the LT 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 18 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.07

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 35 yds to the WKU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the WKU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jack Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 3 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 6 yds to the WKU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Cyrus Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the LT 21 Cyrus Allen fumbled, recovered by LT Jack Turner

2nd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyre Shelton run for 13 yds to the LT 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the LT 35

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.92

Tyre Shelton run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -3.27

run for a loss of 15 yards to the LT 35

2nd & 25Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Turner sacked by Kylan Guidry for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 28

3rd & 32Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LT 31

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 45 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the WKU 48

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Jack Turner run for 7 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.34

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 11 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 35

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jack Turner run for 7 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.79

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 18 yds to the WKU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jack Turner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the WKU 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jack Turner pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.94

Jack Turner pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the WKU 11

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyre Shelton run for 12 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the WKU 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jack Turner pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.40

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 16 yds to the WKU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(03:24) TURNER, Jack pass to the right incomplete intended for THORNTON, Charvis broken up by COOPER, Niko at the WKU23. PENALTY WKU Personal Foul on GUIDRY, Kylan enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the WKU16 to the WKU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jack Turner run for 7 yds to the WKU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Austin Reed run for 4 yds to the WKU 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (River Helms) to the WKU 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LT 38

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LT 38

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Turner pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

(01:40) [NH] Kneel down by REED, Austin at LAT48 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

(01:00) [NH] Kneel down by REED, Austin at LAT49 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

[NH] Kneel down by REED, Austin at LAT49 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
38%
16 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays