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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 10.5

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 23%

Market (Bovada)

Vanderbilt +13.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +13.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
31471438
VanderbiltVanderbilt
7001421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-107-2421-3121-38
VanderbiltMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISPUNT615ydFG1469ydTD876ydTD1285ydPUNT34ydPUNT529ydPUNT514ydTD759ydPUNT39ydTO216ydTD875ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT421ydTO1060ydDOWNS940ydTD260ydTD465ydTD375ydPUNT420ydDOWNS54ydTD319ydPUNT35ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Vanderbilt
StatisticMissouriVanderbilt
Passing33-4120-31
Pass Yards395259
Rush Yards13741
Total Yards532300
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-122-10
Penalties9-754-25
Possession35:5824:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
33/41, 395 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Nathaniel Peat
12 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Luther Burden III
11 REC, 140 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Ken Seals
20/31, 259 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jayden McGowan
3 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Will Sheppard
5 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the VAN 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jayden McGowan run for 6 yds to the VAN 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Gamarion Carter

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Hansen) to the VAN 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Justin Ball

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 27 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 6 yds to the VAN 39

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the VAN 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 12 yds to the VAN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the VAN 15

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Connor Tollison) to the VAN 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie Cooper

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the VAN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the VAN 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Harrison Mevis 23 Yd Field Goal

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Harrison Mevis kickoff for 62 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 21 yds to the VAN 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Seals, Ken pass incomplete to Sherrill, Junior, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Charleston, Joseph) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Jayden McGowan run for 10 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.79

Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 15 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.36

Ken Seals pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 22 yds to the MIZ 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the MIZ 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Ken Seals run for 6 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Will Faris kickoff for 64 yds , Nathaniel Peat return for 14 yds to the MIZ 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 12 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Cam'Ron Johnson) to the MIZ 34

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MIZ 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the VAN 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 9 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.57

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 23 yds to the VAN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 5 yds to the VAN 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 10 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cody Schrader 1 Yd Run (Harrison Mevis Kick)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (EJ Ndoma-Ogar) to the VAN 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for no gain to the VAN 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 1 yd to the VAN 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 45 yds, downed at the MIZ 26

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Wease Jr., Theo, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Wright, De'Rickey) 15 yards to the MISSOURI41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the MIZ 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 13 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie Cooper

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cook, Brady pass complete to Wease Jr., Theo for 10 yards to the VANDERBILT36, PENALTY MISSOURI ineligible downfield on pass (Stephens, Tyler) 5 yards to the MISSOURI49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.30

Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 44

3rd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 11 yds to the VAN 45

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 41 yds, downed at the VAN 4

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 1

2nd & 13Penalty0 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Gage Pitchford) to the VAN 1

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.15

Ken Seals pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 8 yds to the VAN 9 for a 1ST down Missouri Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kris Abrams-Draine) to the VAN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ken Seals run for no gain to the VAN 24

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the VAN 25

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Bradley Ashmore) to the VAN 20

3rd & 14Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.09

Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 18

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 41 yds, downed at the MIZ 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.98

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 24 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the VAN 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.89

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 19 yds to the VAN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the VAN 4

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Marquis Johnson) to the VAN 9

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Brady Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 12

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 4 yds to the VAN 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 4 yds to the VAN 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the VAN 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 44 yds, downed at the MIZ 22

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Nathaniel Peat run for 19 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.34

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for a loss of 3 yards Theo Wease Jr. fumbled, forced by De'Rickey Wright, recovered by VAN Darren Agu , return for 4 yds to the MIZ 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 26 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the VAN 40

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the VAN 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 12 yds to the VAN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the VAN 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 5 yds to the VAN 18

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 18 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Junior Sherrill

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.

4th & 12Punt+17 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 59 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 17 yds to the MIZ 35

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Nathaniel Peat run for 14 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the VAN 43

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 23

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jayden McGowan run for 8 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 30

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ken Seals run for 5 yds to the VAN 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.91

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 17 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Walter Taylor run for no gain to the MIZ 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Kamrean Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Ken Seals pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 7 yds to the MIZ 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 21 yds to the MIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.38

Ken Seals pass intercepted, touchback. Kris Abrams-Draine return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 11 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 14 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the VAN 37

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.70

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie Cooper

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.91

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 29 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 31 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Nathaniel Peat run for 19 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Peat, Nathaniel, PENALTY MISSOURI holding (Johnson, Cam'Ron) 10 yards to the VANDERBILT44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the VAN 44

2nd & 20Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.60

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 44 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 27 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 45 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady Cook run for no gain to the MIZ 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the MIZ 44

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MIZ 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 11 yds to the VAN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 6 yds to the VAN 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Justin Ball

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Justin Ball

4th & 4Sack-13 ydsPPA +0.03

Ken Seals sacked by Austin Firestone for a loss of 13 yards to the VAN 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the VAN 19

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the VAN 17

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.20

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Harrison Mevis kickoff for 61 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 11 yds to the VAN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ken Seals pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 2 yds to the VAN 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 3 yds to the VAN 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 64 yds, downed at the MIZ 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.10

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 27 Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 17

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the MIZ 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 25

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
83%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play