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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 72%

Market (Bovada)

Tennessee -13

Edge: South Carolina +13 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
1007320
TennesseeTennessee
141071041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-1017-1031-1031-1734-1734-2041-20
TennesseeSouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCTENSCTENSCTENSCTENSCTENSCTENSCSCTENTENSCTENSCTENSCTENSCTENSCTENPUNT523ydTD994ydFG857ydTO30ydTD629ydTD475ydDOWNS844ydFG863ydPUNT30ydPUNT410ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydTD5-1ydPUNT3-1ydEND1-2ydTD1275ydTD175ydPUNT31ydDOWNS731ydTO736ydPUNT30ydFG723ydFG945ydTD975ydDOWNS46ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and Tennessee
StatisticSouth CarolinaTennessee
Passing25-3621-32
Pass Yards201239
Rush Yards132238
Total Yards333477
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-157-15
Penalties4-307-58
Possession30:1529:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Spencer Rattler
24/35, 169 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Mario Anderson
10 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trey Knox
7 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
21/32, 239 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jaylen Wright
16 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Squirrel White
9 REC, 104 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 25

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Spencer Rattler run for 17 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario Anderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds to the SC 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for no gain to the SC 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Squirrel White run for 5 yds to the TENN 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TENN 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the TENN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 10 yds to the TENN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Jaylen Wright run for 10 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 6 yds to the SC 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the SC 42

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.96

Jaylen Wright run for 42 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.94

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 44 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the TENN 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Xavier Legette run for 7 yds to the TENN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the TENN 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trey Knox

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 2 yds to the TENN 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+36 yds

Mitch Jeter 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Mitch Jeter kickoff for 62 yds , Cameron Seldon return for 21 yds to the TENN 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the TENN 24

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.15

Joe Milton III pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Aaron Beasley) to the TENN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Mario Anderson run for 10 yds to the TENN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the TENN 1

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for no gain to the TENN 1

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Jabari Small run for 21 yds to the TENN 46 Jabari Small fumbled, recovered by SC Bru Mccoy for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.50

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 50 yds to the SC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the SC 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 6 yds to the SC 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 31

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Spencer Rattler sacked by Joshua Josephs for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 28

4th & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +4.01

Kai Kroeger pass complete to Xavier Legette for 32 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Tyshawn Russell for 7 yds to the TENN 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the TENN 32

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.67

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 1 yd to the TENN 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the TENN 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.92

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 37 yds to the SC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Milton III,Joe pass incomplete deep middle to McCoy,Bru PENALTY TENN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (White,Squirrel) 5 yards from SCAR24 to SCAR29. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 11 yds to the SC 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the SC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 5 yds to the SC 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

4th & 5Penalty0 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Delay Of Game (Yards) declined

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 yds

Charles Campbell 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 7 yds to the SC 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the SC 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for no gain to the SC 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds , Dee Williams returns for no gain to the TENN 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 17 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.22

Joe Milton III sacked by Bam Martin-Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the TENN 44

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jaylen Wright

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Ross,Jackson punt 50 yards to the SCAR06 fair catch by Lewis,Eddie at SCAR06 PENALTY TENN Illegal Formation 5 yards from TENN44 to TENN39. NO PLAY.

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.45

Spencer Rattler sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 4

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the SC 16

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds , Dee Williams returns for 6 yds to the TENN 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 4 yds to the TENN 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the SC 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 3 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Spencer Rattler sacked by Omari Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 4 yds to the SC 24

3rd & 22Interception Return Touchdown+28 ydsPPA -6.64

Kamal Hadden 28 Yd Interception Return (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 8 yds to the TENN 42

2nd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -3.16

Spencer Rattler sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the SC 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kneel down by Tennessee at TENN04 for loss of 2 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jaylen Wright run for 17 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Joe Milton III run for 10 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the SC 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the SC 39

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the SC 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the SC 26

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.54

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the SC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Dylan Sampson run for 12 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the SC 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dylan Sampson

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Jacob Warren 6 Yd pass from Joe Milton III (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Mario Anderson 75 Yd Run (Mitch Jeter Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 26

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas Nimrod

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the SC 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the SC 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.46

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 15 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Mario Anderson run for 8 yds to the TENN 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the TENN 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mario Anderson run for no gain to the TENN 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.53

Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the TENN 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jabari Small

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for no gain to the TENN 35

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.79

Jabari Small run for 16 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 10 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the SC 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the SC 29

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.46

Joe Milton III pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 2

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to O'Mega Blake

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds , Dee Williams returns for 2 yds to the SC 38 Dee Williams fumbled, recovered by SC Debo Williams Tennessee Penalty, Illegal Block (Cristian Conyer) to the SC 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the SC 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the SC 35

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Jaylen Wright run for 13 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the SC 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.52

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for no gain to the SC 22

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TENN False Start (Castles,McCallan) 5 yards from SCAR22 to SCAR27. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the SC 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 yds

Charles Campbell 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Spencer Rattler run for 11 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Spencer Rattler sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 13 yds to the SC 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 2 yds to the SC 44

4th & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.40

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 20 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Spencer Rattler sacked by Kurott Garland for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 7 yds to the TENN 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

4th & 4Field Goal Good+47 yds

Mitch Jeter 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 19 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the SC 48

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Dylan Sampson run for 11 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the SC 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 10 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the SC 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 10 yds to the SC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the SC 6

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.10

Dylan Sampson 6 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Josh Turbyville kickoff for 64 yds , Xavier Legette return for 20 yds to the SC 45 Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chas Nimrod) to the SC 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 5 yds to the SC 31

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 6 yds to the SC 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Luke Doty

4th & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 5 yds to the SC 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the SC 31

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the SC 30

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the SC 25

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the SC 19 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
21 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
53%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
0%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play