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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
IllinoisIllinois
19
-Final
44
PurduePurdue
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Purdue 48%

Market (Bovada)

Purdue -1

Edge: Illinois +1 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
3100619
PurduePurdue
61021744

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-36-313-1023-1337-1344-19
PurdueIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLPURILLILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLFG1171ydPUNT831ydTD2-10ydPUNT35ydPUNT58ydPUNT34ydTO1173ydTD580ydTD773ydPUNT5-3ydFG732ydFG640ydTD1175ydPUNT415ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT3-4ydTD467ydDOWNS49ydTD433ydPUNT413ydPUNT528ydTD983ydTD744ydEND954yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Purdue
StatisticIllinoisPurdue
Passing18-3218-26
Pass Yards226217
Rush Yards149189
Total Yards375406
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-138-13
Penalties9-833-15
Possession28:0431:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
16/25, 202 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kaden Feagin
11 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Williams
6 REC, 113 YDS
defense
Purdue
passing
Hudson Card
18/26, 217 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
21 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deion Burks
5 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.12

Luke Altmyer run for 39 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds to the PUR 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Luke Altmyer run for 4 yds to the PUR 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 5 yds to the PUR 17

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.66

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the PUR 8

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the PUR 6

4th & 1Field Goal Good+24 yds

Caleb Griffin 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Illinois Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the PUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 5 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the ILL 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 4 yds to the ILL 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the ILL 10

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Purdue Penalty, False Start (Mahamane Moussa) to the ILL 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 12

2nd & 8Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -6.98

Malik Langham 0 Yd Fumble Return (Julio Macias PAT blocked)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh McCray run for 3 yds to the ILL 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Josh McCray run for 2 yds to the ILL 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the PUR 40

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the ILL 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.63

Hudson Card sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. and TeRah Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 13 yds to the PUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Luke Altmyer sacked by Sanoussi Kane for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 44

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Luke Altmyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the PUR 46

3rd & 16Penalty-3 yds

ALTMYER, Luke pass deep to the right incomplete dropped by WILLIAMS, Isaiah thrown to the PUR27. PENALTY ILL Illegal Forward Pass on ALTMYER, Luke enforced 3 yards from the PUR46 to the PUR49, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 7

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the PUR 14

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 14 yds to the PUR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the PUR 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the PUR 41

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Hudson Card run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.19

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 18 yds to the ILL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the ILL 35

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the ILL 35

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 8 yds to the ILL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.26

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the ILL 20 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by ILL Tahveon Nicholson

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Josh McCray run for 7 yds to the ILL 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for no gain to the ILL 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.33

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 49 yds to the PUR 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Josh McCray run for 7 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 6 yds to the PUR 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 3 yds to the PUR 36

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

CARD, Hudson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KLARE, Max thrown to the ILL40. PENALTY ILL Pass Interference on HARPER, Nicario enforced 15 yards to the ILL49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the ILL 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.69

Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 30 yds to the ILL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Dylan Downing run for 16 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the ILL 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 10 yds to the ILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALTMYER, Luke pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Casey broken up by ALLEN, Cam at the ILL42. PENALTY ILL Holding on MCCRAY, Josh enforced 10 yards from the ILL25 to the ILL15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Luke Altmyer run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 14

2nd & 21Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.08

Luke Altmyer sacked by Sulaiman Kpaka for a loss of 6 yards to the ILL 8

3rd & 27Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the ILL 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 16 yds to the ILL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the ILL 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the ILL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 6 yds to the ILL 19

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Hudson Card run for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Julio Macias 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Kaden Feagin run for 19 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Luke Altmyer run for 15 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Hank Beatty for 6 yds to the PUR 35

4th & 4Field Goal Good+53 yds

Caleb Griffin 53 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 8 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the PUR 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 48

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

CARD, Hudson pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the ILL28. PENALTY ILL Holding on NICHOLSON, Tahveon enforced 10 yards from the PUR48 to the ILL42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the ILL 37

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the ILL 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 5 yds to the ILL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the ILL 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 5 yds to the ILL 23

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.78

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 28 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Purdue Penalty, False Start (Marcus Mbow) to the ILL 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 14 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Josh McCray run for 1 yd to the ILL 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 4 yds to the PUR 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Purdue Penalty, Illegal Snap on HARTWIG, Gus enforced (Gus Hartwig) to the PUR 14

3rd & 11Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.12

Hudson Card sacked by James Kreutz for a loss of 12 yards to the PUR 2

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds, downed at the ILL 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 48

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILL 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for no gain to the ILL 43

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Luke Altmyer sacked by Yanni Karlaftis for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 36 yds , returns for no gain to the PUR 33

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Illinois Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Keith Randolph Jr.) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.79

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 44 yds to the ILL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the ILL 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 33

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the ILL 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 11 yds to the ILL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the ILL 17

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the ILL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 10 yds for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 13 yds to the ILL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Luke Altmyer run for 4 yds to the ILL 42

2nd & 6Penalty+2 yds

ALTMYER, Luke sacked for a loss of 2 yards at the ILL42 (SCOURTON, Nic;KPAKA, Sulaiman). PENALTY ILL Holding on WHITENACK, Hunter PUR Personal Foul on ANDERSON, Joe , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Luke Altmyer sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 5 yards to the ILL 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Josh McCray for 1 yd to the ILL 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 24

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DIXON-VEAL, Jayden thrown to the ILL40. PENALTY ILL Offsides on RANDOLPH JR., Keith enforced 5 yards from the PUR24 to the PUR29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 10 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the PUR 41

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the PUR 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 15 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the ILL 37

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the ILL 41

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Kaden Feagin run for 15 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.36

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 38 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Luke Altmyer run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 10 Luke Altmyer fumbled, recovered by ILL Luke Altmyer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.51

Pat Bryant 10 Yd pass from Luke Altmyer (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 16 yds to the ILL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the ILL 23

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the ILL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the ILL 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the ILL 7

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.58

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the ILL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Julio Macias KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.06

Kaden Feagin run for 19 yds to the ILL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

John Paddock pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the PUR 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

John Paddock pass complete to Malik Elzy for 15 yds to the PUR 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

John Paddock pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.72

John Paddock pass complete to Malik Elzy for 9 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

John Paddock pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

John Paddock pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
53%
30 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
9 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th