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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 22.6

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 8%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +25.5

Edge: Northwestern +25.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
37171441
NorthwesternNorthwestern
370313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-310-310-1010-1710-2713-2713-3413-41
NorthwesternPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORPSNORFG4-4ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-3ydFG1153ydPUNT69ydPUNT614ydTD1059ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-3ydTD663ydPUNT3-4ydEND32ydPUNT31ydTD1268ydDOWNS49ydFG42ydDOWNS49ydTD734ydFG1065ydPUNT414ydPUNT32ydTD1240ydTO623ydTD130ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Northwestern
StatisticPenn StateNorthwestern
Passing19-3416-31
Pass Yards219130
Rush Yards13445
Total Yards353175
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-175-16
Penalties6-454-18
Possession32:0827:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
18/33, 189 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nicholas Singleton
21 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keandre Lambert
4 REC, 86 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Ben Bryant
14/25, 122 YDS
rushing
Brendan Sullivan
7 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Cam Johnson
6 REC, 81 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jack Olsen kickoff for 61 yds , Nicholas Singleton return for 7 yds to the PSU 11, Singleton fumbled forced by Braydon Brus, recovered by NU Branden Turner at the PSU 11

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for no gain to the PSU 11

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the PSU 8

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PSU 13

3rd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for a loss of 2 yards to the PSU 15

4th & 14Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jack Olsen 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the PSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 6 yds to the PSU 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 19

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Ben Bryant sacked by Kobe King for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 16

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cam Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 14

3rd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 2 yds to the NU 16

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the NU 47

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the NU 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the NU 36

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 41

4th & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.98

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 15 yds to the NU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 16 yds to the NU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Nicholas Singleton run for 7 yds to the NU 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the NU 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Alex Felkins 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BRYANT, Ben pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Cam thrown to the NU50. PENALTY NU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on TIERNAN, Caleb enforced 5 yards from the NU40 to the NU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.19

Ben Bryant sacked by Amin Vanover and Coziah Izzard for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 29

2nd & 21Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.04

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 19 yds to the NU 48

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the PSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Jack Lausch run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 20

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 26 Kaytron Allen fumbled, recovered by PSU for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaden Saunders for a loss of 1 yard to the PSU 25

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the PSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Ben Bryant sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 46

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 2 yds to the NU 48

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.65

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 17 yds to the PSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Coziah Izzard) to the PSU 30

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.50

Ben Bryant run for 6 yds to the PSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.90

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 22 yds to the PSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the PSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the PSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 49 yds, downed at the NU 22

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 16

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the NU 19

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the PSU 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.87

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 25 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 13 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the NU 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

KeAndre Lambert-Smith run for 2 yds to the NU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Trey Potts run for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Ben Bryant sacked by Dani Dennis-Sutton for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 19

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the NU 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.72

Drew Allar sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the PSU 36

3rd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 11 yds to the PSU 47

0th & 19End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kaden Saunders at the PSU 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.97

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.42

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 35 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the NU 14

2nd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ore Adeyi) to the NU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Drew Allar run for 1 yd to the NU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the NU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Drew Allar run for no gain to the NU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Drew Allar run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the NU 17

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Ben Bryant run for 14 yds to the NU 31

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Ben Bryant run for no gain to the NU 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the NU 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for no gain to the NU 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+47 yds

Alex Felkins 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the NU 31

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.05

Charlie Mangieri run for 3 yds to the NU 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the NU 31

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.59

Nicholas Singleton run for 16 yds to the NU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 2 yds to the NU 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the NU 9

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.88

Trey Potts run for 4 yds to the NU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the NU 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ben Bryant run for 4 yds to the NU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the NU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BRYANT, Ben pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HENNING, A.J. thrown to the PSU36; QB hurried by FISHER, Zuriah. PENALTY PSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on MILLER, Cam enforced 15 yards from the NU40 to the PSU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 17 yds to the PSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the PSU 20

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.07

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 13 yds to the PSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the PSU 3

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ben Bryant pass complete to Duke Olges for 2 yds to the PSU 1

3rd & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.06

Ben Bryant sacked by Zane Durant for a loss of 9 yards to the PSU 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jack Olsen 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 12 yds to the PSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Allar pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 1 yd to the NU 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the NU 18

4th & 8Punt0 yds

punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the NU 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 14 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the NU 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Drew Allar pass complete to Liam Clifford for 6 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sal Wormley) to the NU 24

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 2 yds to the NU 22

2nd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the NU 7

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the NU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew Allar run for 2 yds to the NU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Offsides (Amin Vanover) to the NU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Zuriah Fisher for a loss of 7 yards to the NU 30

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.21

Brendan Sullivan run for 18 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.99

Brendan Sullivan pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Beau Pribula pass complete to Trey Potts for 30 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Arthurs run for 1 yd to the NU 28

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Brendan Sullivan run for 18 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Jake Arthurs run for 8 yds to the PSU 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the PSU 45

3rd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.53

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Keon Wylie for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 47

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
20%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
13%
8 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play