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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 47%

Market (Bovada)

Minnesota -10

Edge: Louisiana +10 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
7100724
MinnesotaMinnesota
7771435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-1014-1014-1721-1728-1735-1735-24
MinnesotaLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINLOUMINTD1075ydPUNT38ydPUNT31ydTD986ydFG764ydTD1075ydTD1175ydTO414ydEND11ydTD1180ydDOWNS522ydPUNT3-5ydTO33ydTD842ydPUNT633ydPUNT36ydTO10ydTD756ydTD675ydEND730yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Minnesota
StatisticLouisianaMinnesota
Passing14-2512-14
Pass Yards172146
Rush Yards177201
Total Yards349347
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-117-13
Penalties7-601-15
Possession24:2535:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Zeon Chriss
14/25, 172 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Zeon Chriss
10 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Jacob Bernard
2 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
12/14, 146 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Zach Evans
15 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
5 REC, 89 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dre'lyn Washington run for 6 yds to the UL 31

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.52

Zeon Chriss run for 16 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

QB Keeper CHRISS, Zeon rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the UMN46 (BAUGH, Kyler). PENALTY Before the snap, LA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the LA50 to the LA45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Zeon Chriss run for 16 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the MINN 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.90

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Charles Robertson for 22 yds to the MINN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the MINN 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the MINN 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the MINN 13

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Kramer run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 12

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 3 yds to the MINN 17

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the MINN 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MINN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Offsides (Sonny Hazard) to the MINN 30

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Evans run for 8 yds to the MINN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.02

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 28 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Zach Evans run for 11 yds to the UL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 8 yds to the UL 15

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.32

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the UL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UL 20

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the MINN 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 29 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the MINN 15

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the MINN 13

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the MINN 11

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Kenneth Almendares 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass up the middle incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel broken up by ANDERSON, Caleb at the UMN40. PENALTY LA Pass Interference on ANDERSON, Caleb enforced 15 yards to the UMN40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 5 yds to the MINN 48

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.55

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the UL 40

2nd & 4Penalty+10 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Defensive Holding (Sonny Hazard) to the UL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the UL 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the UL 6

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the UL 3

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the UL 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zylan Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 16 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 8 yds to the UL 48

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Zeon Chriss run for 10 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Zeon Chriss run for 18 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the MINN 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 5 yds to the MINN 16

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the MINN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the MINN 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the MINN 6

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Robert Williams for 6 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the MINN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the MINN 39

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.44

Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the UL 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the MINN 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 8 yds to the MINN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the MINN 38

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 16 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the UL 30

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the UL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the UL 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the UL 20

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.26

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the UL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Zach Evans run for 18 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 16 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the UL 46

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the UL 47

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the UL 45

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the UL 44

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.94

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Cameron Whitfield for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 48

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Charles Robertson for 6 yds to the UL 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the UL 28

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Nathan Thomas) to the UL 23

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA +0.06

Zeon Chriss pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the UL 40

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the UL 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the UL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the UL 27

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CROOMS, Corey thrown to the LA0. PENALTY LA Pass Interference on MARTIN, Keyon enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the LA13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the UL 10

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the UL 3

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the UL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the UL 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.36

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Thomas Leo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the MINN 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 3 yds to the MINN 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 48

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.99

Zeon Chriss pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MINN 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the UL 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 46

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the UL 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 7 yds to the UL 37

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 37 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 8 yds to the UL 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrance Carter for 5 yds to the UL 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 4 yds to the UL 48

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +6.03

Jacob Kibodi run for 52 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

kickoff for 8 yds , return for no gain to the MINN 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the UL 49

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the UL 44

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Bryce Williams run for 8 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the UL 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the UL 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the UL 27

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.14

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the UL 22 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
9 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays