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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 0.9

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 50%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas +6.5

Edge: Arkansas +6.5 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
71010734
ArkansasArkansas
3310622

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-76-76-1013-2016-2716-3422-34
ArkansasTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTATAARKTAARKTAARKARKTAARKTAARKARKTAARKTAFG1542ydTD875ydFG1069ydFG851ydPUNT33ydMISS950ydDOWNS49ydTD839ydEND16ydTD10ydFG858ydPUNT38ydTO210ydFG43ydPUNT39ydTD25ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT58ydPUNT414ydMISS1037ydTD3-15ydPUNT3-10ydTO210ydTD464ydDOWNS747yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Arkansas
StatisticTexas A&MArkansas
Passing17-289-17
Pass Yards210132
Rush Yards20442
Total Yards414174
Turnovers31
3rd Down8-155-15
Penalties6-400-0
Possession30:3329:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Max Johnson
17/28, 210 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Le'Veon Moss
17 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Ainias Smith
4 REC, 71 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
9/17, 132 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Raheim Sanders
11 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Andrew Armstrong
3 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the ARK 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for no gain to the ARK 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.27

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 14 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

KJ Jefferson sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the ARK 35

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARK 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.20

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 15 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 2 yds to the TA&M 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the TA&M 46

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.25

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the TA&M 31

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.56

KJ Jefferson sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 32

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the TA&M 33

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

4th & 19Field Goal Good+52 yds

Cam Little 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 7 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 6 yds to the TA&M 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.46

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 19 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Max Johnson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 9 yds to the ARK 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Evan Stewart run for 3 yds to the ARK 32

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.62

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 32 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 24 yds to the ARK 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.29

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 15 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Nathan Bax

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

3rd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.02

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 38 yds to the TA&M 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the TA&M 16

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.18

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the TA&M 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the TA&M 5

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the TA&M 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Cam Little 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 29 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the ARK 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 6 yds to the ARK 37

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Amari Daniels run for 14 yds to the ARK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the ARK 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

4th & 11Field Goal Good+42 yds

Randy Bond 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 36 yds to the ARK 36 Isaiah Sategna fumbled, recovered by TA&M

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.15

KJ Jefferson sacked by Walter Nolen for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY A&M False Start (Robinson,Layden) 5 yards from A&M20 to A&M15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Max Johnson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 12 yds to the TA&M 27

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Le'Veon Moss run for 14 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the TA&M 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.21

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 19 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Max Johnson run for 7 yds to the ARK 31

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the ARK 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Randy Bond 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 30

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the ARK 35

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

Fletcher,Max punt 46 yards to the A&M19 PENALTY A&M Offside 5 yards from ARK35 to ARK40. NO PLAY.

4th & 0Rush+1 yds

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARK 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Max Johnson pass complete to Amari Daniels for 3 yds to the ARK 36

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY A&M False Start (Wright,Max) 5 yards from ARK36 to ARK41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.68

Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 15 yds to the ARK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 10 yds to the ARK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the ARK 15

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Max Johnson run for 7 yds to the ARK 8

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the ARK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Earnest Crownover 2 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the ARK 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+20 ydsPPA -7.92

Lorando Johnson 20 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Amari Daniels run for 9 yds to the TA&M 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.28

Max Johnson run for 32 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 13 yds to the ARK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the ARK 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the ARK 12

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY A&M False Start (Crownover,Dametrius) 5 yards from ARK12 to ARK17. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Randy Bond 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Randy Bond kickoff for 60 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 22 yds to the ARK 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the ARK 36

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the ARK 36

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the ARK 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.81

Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the TA&M 35 Max Johnson fumbled, recovered by ARK Brad Spence

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the TA&M 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 7Field Goal Good+50 yds

Cam Little 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Max Johnson run for 7 yds to the TA&M 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 19

2nd & 5Interception Return Touchdown+16 ydsPPA -7.42

Chris Russell Jr. 16 Yd Interception Return (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the ARK 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the ARK 29

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.51

KJ Jefferson sacked by Edgerrin Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Max Johnson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 6 yds to the TA&M 39

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Noah Thomas

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY A&M False Start (Anderson,Bryce) 5 yards from A&M46 to A&M41. NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt+3 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 3 yds to the ARK 9 Isaiah Sategna fumbled, recovered by ARK Brad Spence

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the ARK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 2 yds to the ARK 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 24

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

KJ Jefferson sacked by Albert Regis for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 23

4th & 6Punt+12 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 33 , Ainias Smith returns for 12 yds to the TA&M 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the TA&M 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.08

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 18 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the ARK 43

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the ARK 37

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the ARK 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Amari Daniels

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jake Johnson

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Randy Bond 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 26

2nd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.40

KJ Jefferson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 17

3rd & 23Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 2 yds to the ARK 15

4th & 25Punt Return Touchdown+82 ydsPPA -6.60

Ainias Smith 82 Yd Punt Return (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the ARK 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 35

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.51

KJ Jefferson sacked by Enai White for a loss of 10 yards to the ARK 25

4th & 20Punt+43 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 64 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 43 yds to the ARK 46

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Le'Veon Moss run for 13 yds to the ARK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.10

Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARK 36 Max Johnson fumbled, recovered by ARK Antonio Grier

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Isaiah Augustave run for 1 yd to the ARK 37

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,KJ pass incomplete short right to Broden,Tyrone PENALTY A&M Pass Interference (Harmon,Deuce) 15 yards from ARK37 to A&M48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Isaiah Augustave run for no gain to the TA&M 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.81

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 48 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the ARK 49

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Le'Veon Moss run for 15 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.25

Le'Veon Moss run for 30 yds to the ARK 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the ARK 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the ARK 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the ARK 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the ARK 1

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play