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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
DukeDuke
41
-Final
7
UConnUConn

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 20.8

Home Win Probability

UConn 8%

Market (Bovada)

UConn +22

Edge: UConn +22 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
72014041
UConnUConn
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-170-240-270-417-41
UConnDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCODUKUCODUKUCODUKUCODUKUCODUKUCODUKUCODUKDUKUCODUKUCOUCODUKUCODUKUCODUKUCODUKPUNT616ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydTD544ydPUNT513ydFG1363ydTO2-15ydTD110ydPUNT5-1ydTD949ydPUNT50ydPUNT30ydPUNT38ydFG638ydPUNT30ydMISS648ydMISS849ydTD2-1ydPUNT32ydTD560ydDOWNS728ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS925ydPUNT3-2ydTD1083ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and UConn
StatisticDukeUConn
Passing23-3413-28
Pass Yards248114
Rush Yards7489
Total Yards322203
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-134-14
Penalties8-594-49
Possession29:5030:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Riley Leonard
23/34, 248 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Riley Leonard
4 CAR, 30 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Moore
8 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UConn
passing
Ta'Quan Roberson
13/28, 114 YDS
rushing
Victor Rosa
14 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Brett Buckman
2 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 6 yds to the CONN 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 1 yd to the CONN 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Jordan Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 48

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the CONN 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON, Devontae rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UCO13 (DILLON, Cam). PENALTY UCO Holding on HAYNES, Christian enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the UCO8 to the UCO4 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the CONN 6

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the CONN 15

4th & 3Punt0 yds

punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds to the CONN 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 16 yds to the CONN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the CONN 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan Waters 1 Yd Run (Todd Pelino Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 4 yds to the CONN 39

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Victor Rosa run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 46

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 48 yds, downed at the DUKE 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jeremiah Hasley for 5 yds to the DUKE 9

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the DUKE 11

3rd & 3Penalty0 yds

Duke Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the DUKE 6

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.07

Riley Leonard run for 17 yds to the DUKE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 10 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 10 yds to the DUKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LEONARD, Riley pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MOORE, Jordan thrown to the UCO20. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on ARCHIE, Armauni enforced 15 yards to the UCO42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 4 yds to the CONN 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the CONN 36

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 7 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 6 yds to the CONN 23

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the CONN 23

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

LEONARD, Riley pass up the middle complete for 10 yards to DALMOLIN, Nicky caught at the UCO13 and advanced to the UCO13 (DIXON-WILLIAMS, Malik). PENALTY DUK Holding on MONK, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the UCO23 to the UCO33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+50 yds

Todd Pelino 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryan Domino run for a loss of 15 yards to the CONN 10 Bryan Domino fumbled, recovered by DUKE Nick Morris Jr.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jordan Waters run for 10 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Jalen Mitchell run for 9 yds to the CONN 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the CONN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to James Burns for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 2 yds to the CONN 27

3rd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.27

Ta'Quan Roberson sacked by Aeneas Peebles for a loss of 11 yards to the CONN 16

4th & 22Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Riley Leonard run for 8 yds to the CONN 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 11 yds to the CONN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 15 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MOORE, Jaquez rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the UCO6 (MOLETTE III, Lee;BELL, Malcolm). PENALTY DUK Holding on MCINTYRE, Maurice enforced 10 yards from the UCO15 to the UCO25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Riley Leonard run for 2 yds to the CONN 23 Riley Leonard fumbled, recovered by DUKE Graham Barton

3rd & 18Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.91

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Waters for 20 yds to the CONN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Waters run for no gain to the CONN 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the CONN 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Cameron Ross run for a loss of 6 yards to the CONN 25

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalon Calhoun at the DUKE 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaylen Coleman run for 1 yd to the DUKE 38

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jordan Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the DUKE 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the CONN 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 3 yds to the CONN 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 30 yds, downed at the DUKE 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 6 yds to the DUKE 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 9 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 13 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 10 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the CONN 17

2nd & 5Field Goal Good+35 yds

Todd Pelino 35 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Todd Pelino 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the CONN 33

2nd & 5Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.99

Victor Rosa run for 39 yds to the DUKE 28 for a 1ST down Duke Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Jaylen Stinson) to the DUKE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 5 yards to the DUKE 19

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.89

Ta'Quan Roberson sacked by Aeneas Peebles and R.J. Oben for a loss of 5 yards to the DUKE 24

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Joe McFadden 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the DUKE 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 19 yds to the DUKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the DUKE 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 12 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper LEONARD, Riley rush to the left for no gain to the UCO43 (MCCARTHY, Collin), out of bounds. PENALTY UCO Unnecessary Roughness on JONES, Durante enforced 15 yards from the UCO43 to the UCO28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 3 yds to the CONN 25

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Duke Penalty, False Start (Jake Hornibrook) to the CONN 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 3 yds to the CONN 27

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Todd Pelino 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the CONN 30

2nd & 7Fumble Return Touchdown+26 ydsPPA -7.75

DeWayne Carter 26 Yd Fumble Return (Todd Pelino Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 15 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaquez Moore run for 1 yd to the CONN 44

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jaquez Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 46

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.10

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 24 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 22 yds for a TD (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Victor Rosa run for no gain to the CONN 25

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to James Burns for 24 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the DUKE 49

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the DUKE 47

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the DUKE 47

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Peyton Jones run for 5 yds to the CONN 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Peyton Jones run for 2 yds to the CONN 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Peyton Jones run for 2 yds to the CONN 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Peyton Jones run for no gain to the CONN 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the DUKE 49

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the DUKE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Camryn Edwards run for 10 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the DUKE 31

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.02

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the DUKE 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Peyton Jones run for 1 yd to the DUKE 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaylen Coleman run for 5 yds to the DUKE 37

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Duke Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DUKE 32

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Duke Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DUKE 27

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the DUKE 29

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 21

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.68

Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the CONN 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.15

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 16 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 17 yds to the DUKE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Kylish Hicks for 16 yds to the DUKE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 15 yds to the DUKE 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 2 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Bates run for no gain to the CONN 12

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
25%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play