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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
UTSAUTSA
14
-Final
45
TennesseeTennessee

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 9

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 71%

Market (Bovada)

Tennessee -24.5

Edge: UTSA +24.5 (15.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTSAUTSA
0014014
TennesseeTennessee
141701445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-035-031-731-1438-1445-14
TennesseeUTSA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENUTSTENUTSUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTENUTSTD181ydPUNT33ydTD962ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS1136ydMISS947ydDOWNS49ydTD243ydPUNT30ydTD460ydPUNT68ydPUNT32ydTO524ydFG539ydPUNT36ydPUNT625ydEND1-2ydTD1575ydPUNT34ydTD466ydPUNT610ydPUNT30ydTD1266ydPUNT33ydTD270ydTO735ydPUNT31ydTO524ydPUNT3-8ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTSA and Tennessee
StatisticUTSATennessee
Passing30-4118-33
Pass Yards231209
Rush Yards88303
Total Yards319512
Turnovers31
3rd Down8-196-15
Penalties5-405-40
Possession37:1222:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTSA
passing
Owen McCown
18/20, 170 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kevorian Barnes
13 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Joshua Cephus
7 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
18/31, 209 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dylan Sampson
11 CAR, 139 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ramel Keyton
1 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.44

Joe Milton III run for 81 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the UTSA 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds , Dee Williams returns for 4 yds to the TENN 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 5 yds to the TENN 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the UTSA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the UTSA 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.09

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the UTSA 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 11 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the UTSA 10

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.89

Dylan Sampson run for 10 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Oscar Cardenas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 1 yd to the UTSA 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

punt for 18 yds , Cameron Seldon returns for no gain to the UTSA 45 Cameron Seldon fumbled, recovered by UTSA Kelechi Nwachuku

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 2 yds to the UTSA 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Willie McCoy for 8 yds to the TENN 46

4th & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.34

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 6 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Willie McCoy

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Robert Henry run for 14 yds to the TENN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the TENN 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Oscar Cardenas

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the TENN 19

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.52

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Houston Thomas

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 8 yds to the TENN 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 7 yds to the TENN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the TENN 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 13 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 1 yd to the UTSA 38

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joe Milton III run for 4 yds to the UTSA 34

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Charles Campbell 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the UTSA 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds to the UTSA 40

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Oscar Cardenas run for 3 yds to the UTSA 43

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Oscar Cardenas run for 3 yds to the UTSA 43

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY TENN Personal Foul (Telander,Jeremiah) 15 yards from UTSA43 to TENN42. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.78

Jabari Small run for 40 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 18 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Eddie Lee Marburger sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 18

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Devin McCuin for 6 yds to the UTSA 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 1 yd to the TENN 39

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the TENN 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.82

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Robert Henry run for 2 yds to the UTSA 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Robert Henry run for 5 yds to the UTSA 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 3 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Eddie Lee Marburger run for no gain to the UTSA 35

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Willie McCoy run for 8 yds to the UTSA 43

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the UTSA 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 7 yds to the UTSA 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 13 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 39

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -1.60

Eddie Lee Marburger pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +1.79

Dylan Sampson run for 44 yds to the UTSA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the UTSA 6

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Joe Milton III sacked by Brandon Matterson for a loss of 5 yards to the UTSA 11 Joe Milton III fumbled, recovered by UTSA Jeremiah Crawford , return for 0 yards

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Charles Campbell 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Robert Henry

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Robert Henry for 5 yds to the UTSA 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Chas Nimrod

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by Texas San Antonio at UTSA18 for loss of 2 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 8 yds to the UTSA 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the UTSA 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the UTSA 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.37

Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 21 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 1 yd to the TENN 37

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TENN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Owen McCown sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 22

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the TENN 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the TENN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Joshua Cephus sacked by Tamarion McDonald for a loss of 9 yards to the TENN 17

2nd & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Owen McCown pass complete to Robert Henry for 14 yds to the TENN 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Joshua Cephus 3 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Tate Sandell kickoff for 60 yds , Dee Williams return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jourdan Thomas) to the TENN 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the TENN 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Owen McCown pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the UTSA 41

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TENN 43

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.43

Tykee Ogle-Kellogg 43 Yd pass from Owen McCown (Chase Allen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TENN False Start (Lane,Ollie) 5 yards from TENN26 to TENN21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 14 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the UTSA 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the UTSA 25

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Owen McCown run for 4 yds to the UTSA 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Owen McCown pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 4 yds to the TENN 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.75

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 20 yds to the UTSA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.27

Joe Milton III pass complete to for 15 yds to the UTSA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the UTSA 7

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.07

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the UTSA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the UTSA 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the UTSA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jabari Small 1 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the UTSA 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Owen McCown run for 2 yds to the UTSA 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the UTSA 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 30

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.45

Dylan Sampson run for 29 yds to the UTSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Dylan Sampson 41 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Owen McCown pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 7 yds to the UTSA 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the UTSA 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 10 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Owen McCown pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 3 yds to the TENN 40

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.34

Owen McCown pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Cameron Seldon run for 1 yd to the UTSA 49

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the UTSA 10

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Owen McCown pass complete to David Amador for no gain to the UTSA 10

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TENN Offside (Herring,Caleb) 5 yards from UTSA10 to UTSA15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Robert Henry run for no gain to the UTSA 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.78

Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 19 yds to the UTSA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 7 yds to the UTSA 41

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Owen McCown sacked by Caleb Herring for a loss of 7 yards to the UTSA 34 Owen McCown fumbled, recovered by UTSA Austin Lewis , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Khalifa Keith run for 2 yds to the UTSA 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Khalifa Keith run for 1 yd to the UTSA 33

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Nico Iamaleava sacked by Asyrus Simon for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 37

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TENN False Start (Salmon,Hunter) 5 yards from UTSA37 to UTSA42. NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 9 yds to the UTSA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the UTSA 24

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTSA 18

Situational Analysis

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
31 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th