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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 9.5

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 26%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +10.5

Edge: Northwestern +10.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
71770334
NorthwesternNorthwestern
07321637

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-737-347-2117-3124-31
NorthwesternMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNORMINNORNORMINNORMINNORMINMINNORMINNORNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORTD19ydPUNT722ydPUNT846ydTO710ydPUNT30ydPUNT36ydPUNT629ydFG72ydTD125ydFG543ydTD1068ydPUNT66ydTD672ydTD275ydPUNT4-1ydPUNT416ydFG1163ydPUNT39ydPUNT41ydTD452ydTD1175ydPUNT33ydTD369ydPUNT519ydPUNT611ydPUNT530ydTD1480yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Northwestern
StatisticMinnesotaNorthwestern
Passing14-1934-51
Pass Yards153400
Rush Yards24492
Total Yards397492
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-138-17
Penalties5-598-87
Possession30:1029:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
14/19, 153 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Darius Taylor
31 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
4 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
Northwestern
passing
Ben Bryant
33/49, 396 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Cam Porter
16 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Kirtz
10 REC, 215 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 9 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 37

2nd & 11Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.01

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 40 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (A.J. Henning) to the NU 30

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 37

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Cam Porter run for 10 yds to the NU 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the MINN 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Defensive holding (Garnett Hollis Jr.) to the MINN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.87

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 12 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the NU 41

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 13 yds to the NU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-12 ydsPPA -1.19

pass incomplete to A.J. Henning Northwestern Penalty, personal foul (Duke Olges) to the NU 12

2nd & 22Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -0.07

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 4 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jack Lausch for 2 yds to the NU 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -0.93

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning Northwestern Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Charlie Mangieri) to the NU 21

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.06

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for a loss of 6 yards Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by MINN Kyler Baugh

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to A.J. Henning

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Marshall Lang, broken up by Tyler Nubin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 1 yd to the MINN 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 11

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 14

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

A.J. Henning run for 11 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Cam Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 5 yds to the NU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Jack Olsen kickoff for 32 yds , Ryan Selig return for 6 yds to the MINN 39

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Corey Crooms Jr., broken up by Devin Turner

3rd & 12Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.37

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 53 yds to the NU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bryce Williams run for 7 yds to the NU 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the NU 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Dragan Kesich 20 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Ben Bryant pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 25 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Darius Taylor run for 41 yds to the NU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 36

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the NU 41

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 39

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the NU 32

4th & 8Field Goal Good+50 yds

Dragan Kesich 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -1.71

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by Coco Azema Minnesota Penalty, Offensive holding (Brevyn Spann-Ford) to the MINN 22

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the MINN 30

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Darius Taylor run for 6 yds to the MINN 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.78

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 15 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 27 yds to the NU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the NU 14

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.24

Darius Taylor run for 5 yds to the NU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Darius Taylor run for 8 yds to the NU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (Ben Wrather) to the NU 15

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Ben Bryant pass complete to Marshall Lang for 15 yds to the NU 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

A.J. Henning run for 7 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 31

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13
4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 30

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.36

Darius Taylor run for 18 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Darius Taylor for 5 yds to the NU 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the NU 43

3rd & 1Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.46

Darius Taylor run for 25 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 18 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Cam Porter run for a loss of 5 yards to the NU 20

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +7.14

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 80 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the NU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Jah Joyner

3rd & 3Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.84

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 34 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Tiernan) to the NU 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson, broken up by Najee Story

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell, broken up by Garnett Hollis Jr.

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49
4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 9 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Cam Porter run for 11 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ben Bryant pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 2 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87
3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.44

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 23 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

A.J. Henning run for 5 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jack Lausch for 7 yds Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by NU Charlie Mangieri for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 33

2nd & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II

3rd & 18Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Cam Porter run for 14 yds to the MINN 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jack Olsen 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the MINN 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 4 yds to the MINN 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the MINN 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.96

Joseph Himon II run for 2 yds to the NU 23 Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (Duke Olges) to the NU 13

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas Gordon, broken up by Maverick Baranowski

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to A.J. Henning

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.06

Ben Bryant pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 9 yds to the NU 22

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Darius Taylor run for 7 yds to the NU 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19
3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the NU 43

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +5.24

Darius Taylor run for 43 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 12 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to A.J. Henning

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 16 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the MINN 29

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Ben Bryant run for 1 yd to the MINN 28 for a 1ST down Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Jack Henderson) to the MINN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jack Lausch pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 4 yds to the MINN 10

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jack Lausch run for 4 yds to the MINN 6

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the MINN 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cam Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Darius Taylor run for 1 yd to the MINN 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 21 yds to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.11

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 31 yds to the MINN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 17 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 8 yds to the MINN 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Darius Taylor run for 2 yds to the MINN 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the MINN 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 3 yds to the MINN 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the NU 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Bryce Kirtz

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Ben Bryant run for 10 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Tre'Von Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

pass incomplete to Cam Porter

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Taylor run for 4 yds to the MINN 37

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.17

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 19 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 9 yds to the NU 36

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Darius Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 37

4th & 3Penalty0 yds

Minnesota Penalty, false start (Eli Mau) to the NU 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the NU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Ben Bryant pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 1 yd to the NU 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Northwestern Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the MINN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 11 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Ben Bryant pass incomplete Northwestern Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Tiernan) to the MINN 47

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 8 yds to the MINN 39

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 16 yds to the MINN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the MINN 11 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Tre'Von Jones

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 11 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK) (Jack Olsen KICK)

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
33 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
11%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
4th