Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 7.3

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 66%

Market (Bovada)

Nebraska -21

Edge: Louisiana Tech +21 (13.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
070714
NebraskaNebraska
0771428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-728-728-14
NebraskaLouisiana Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LTNEBLTNEBLTNEBLTNEBLTNEBNEBLTNEBLTNEBLTNEBLTNEBLTNEBLTNEBPUNT614ydPUNT617ydPUNT521ydPUNT731ydPUNT616ydTD979ydTD1087ydPUNT629ydPUNT34ydMISS842ydTD985ydDOWNS947ydPUNT619ydPUNT3-1ydTD346ydPUNT535ydTD382ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydTD651ydPUNT511ydTO742ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana Tech and Nebraska
StatisticLouisiana TechNebraska
Passing27-428-18
Pass Yards292107
Rush Yards46312
Total Yards338419
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-123-11
Penalties12-1006-55
Possession28:0231:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana Tech
passing
Jack Turner
27/42, 292 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacob Fields
6 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cyrus Allen
6 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nebraska
passing
Heinrich Haarberg
8/17, 107 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Heinrich Haarberg
19 CAR, 157 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Billy Kemp
5 REC, 62 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Ryan Rivera

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Tru Edwards

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the LT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Turner pass complete to Keldric Moody for 3 yds to the LT 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the LT 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Tru Edwards

4th & 6Punt+21 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 40 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javier Morton) to the NEB 40

4th & 6Punt+31 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 40 Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javier Morton) to the NEB 30

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.45

Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Brevin Randle for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 23

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Heinrich Haarberg run for 3 yds to the NEB 26

3rd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 14 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Nate Boerkircher

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 58 yds for a touchback

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 7 yds to the LT 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Smoke Harris run for 1 yd to the LT 18

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Jack Turner run for 3 yds to the LT 21 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Defensive Holding (Malcolm Hartzog) to the LT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LT 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 7 yds to the LT 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Heinrich Haarberg run for 7 yds to the NEB 23

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 13 yds to the NEB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 44 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 6 yds to the LT 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Fields run for 3 yds to the LT 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 5 yds to the LT 23

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Jack Turner run for 5 yds to the LT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dakota Williams run for 3 yds to the LT 25

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Dakota Williams run for 6 yds to the LT 31

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 21

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.32

Heinrich Haarberg run for 43 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the LT 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the LT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the LT 17

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the LT 18

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the LT 19

4th & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Timmy Bleekrode run for 10 yds to the LT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the LT 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Billy Kemp IV run for 9 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by LT Smoke Harris

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jack Turner pass complete to Decoldest Crawford for 7 yds to the LT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Keldric Moody run for no gain to the LT 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.46

Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 19 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the LT 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Dakota Williams run for 2 yds to the LT 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.13

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 28 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the NEB 15

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Fields run for 1 yd to the NEB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jacob Fields run for 14 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Heinrich Haarberg run for 32 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST down Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (Billy Kemp IV) to the LT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the LT 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Alex Bullock for 14 yds to the LT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.67

Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Zach Zimos for a loss of 10 yards to the LT 44

2nd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the LT 46

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

4th & 22Punt+6 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 6 yds to the LT 16

4th & 22Punt+6 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 6 yds to the LT 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Tru Edwards

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 4 yds to the LT 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke Harris

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Heinrich Haarberg run for 5 yds to the NEB 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.54

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 22 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Emmett Johnson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Alex Bullock

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Tristan Alvano 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Buck Buchanan kickoff for 65 yds , Tommi Hill return for 25 yds to the NEB 15 Tommi Hill fumbled, recovered by NEB Tommi Hill

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Anthony Grant run for 14 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Heinrich Haarberg run for 8 yds to the NEB 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 36

3rd & 3Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.42

Anthony Grant run for 34 yds to the LT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the LT 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Heinrich Haarberg run for 2 yds to the LT 21

4th & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.20

Anthony Grant run for 19 yds to the LT 2 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.59

Heinrich Haarberg run for no gain to the LT 23 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NEB Heinrich Haarberg

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jack Turner pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 9 yds to the LT 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacob Fields run for 2 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 16 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the NEB 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Dakota Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Ryan Rivera

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Jack Turner pass complete to Decoldest Crawford for 10 yds to the NEB 28

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.13

Jack Turner run for no gain to the NEB 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Anthony Grant for 2 yds to the NEB 30

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NEB 37

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete to Thomas Fidone II

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 47

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Heinrich Haarberg run for 1 yd to the NEB 41 Heinrich Haarberg fumbled, recovered by NEB Nate Boerkircher

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LT 1

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LT 4

4th & 11Punt+8 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 50 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for 8 yds to the LT 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the LT 29

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.15

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 29 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the LT 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.05

Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 35 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the LT 47

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Dakota Williams

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke Harris

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the NEB 25

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.14

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the NEB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Heinrich Haarberg run for 72 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Smoke Harris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jack Turner pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the NEB 17

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.51

Heinrich Haarberg sacked by Jesse Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 10

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the NEB 17

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 49 , Smoke Harris returns for 9 yds to the LT 49 Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by NEB

1st & 25Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +4.00

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 24 yds to the NEB 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Fields run for 2 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 10 yds to the NEB 35

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jack Turner run for 9 yds to the NEB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacob Fields run for 6 yds to the NEB 20

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.52

Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 20 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Buck Buchanan kickoff for 62 yds , Alex Bullock return for 22 yds to the NEB 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the NEB 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 38

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 36

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Tommi Hill

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 58 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 4 yds to the LT 10

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

run for 5 yds to the LT 5 fumbled, recovered by LT Jack Turner

2nd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Jack Turner pass complete to Tru Edwards for 19 yds to the LT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jack Turner pass complete to Jacob Fields for 7 yds to the LT 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for 16 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.30

Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for 15 yds to the NEB 48

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Jack Turner run for no gain to the NEB 48

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -1.83

Jack Turner pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Kneel down by Nebraska at NEB39 for loss of 1 yard.

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Kneel down by Nebraska at NEB37 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play