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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 25.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan 94%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -23.5

Edge: Michigan -23.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
RutgersRutgers
70007
MichiganMichigan
7710731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-717-724-731-7
MichiganRutgers

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTMICRUTRUTMICRUTMICTD375ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-2ydTD794ydMISS1042ydMISS942ydPUNT38ydTD1179ydDOWNS41ydFG1462ydTD948ydPUNT37ydTD966ydDOWNS1056ydEND1059yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Rutgers and Michigan
StatisticRutgersMichigan
Passing11-2115-21
Pass Yards180214
Rush Yards77201
Total Yards257415
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-108-13
Penalties5-303-18
Possession23:5236:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Rutgers
passing
Gavin Wimsatt
11/21, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gavin Wimsatt
6 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Christian Dremel
3 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
15/21, 214 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
21 CAR, 97 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
5 REC, 75 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 6 yds to the RUTG 31

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.61

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 69 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.88

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Tyreem Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MONANGAI, Kyle rush to the left for a gain of 27 yards to the RU48 (SAINRISTIL, Mike). PENALTY RU Holding on PIERCE, Hollin enforced 10 yards from the RU21 to the RU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 17

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the RUTG 27

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 22

3rd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 19

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Flynn Appleby punt for 75 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 8

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.81

Blake Corum run for 14 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 8 yds to the MICH 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.41

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 33 yds to the RUTG 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.84

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 35 yds to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 4 yds to the RUTG 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Gavin Wimsatt run for 15 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MICH 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.57

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 11 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MICH 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the MICH 30

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MICH 28

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MICH 33

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Jai Patel 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 5 yds to the RUTG 43

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.64

J.J. McCarthy run for 16 yds to the RUTG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the RUTG 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 4 yds to the RUTG 19

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Michigan Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 24

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+42 yds

James Turner 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 9 yds to the RUTG 33

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the RUTG 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Flynn Appleby punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 22

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.91

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 23 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.31

J.J. McCarthy run for 22 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the RUTG 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 5 yds to the RUTG 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the RUTG 18

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.17

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 18 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 11

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 14

4th & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA +0.22

run for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 7

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the MICH 19

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the MICH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 36

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the MICH 36

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.45

J.J. McCarthy run for 9 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MCCARTHY, J.J. scrambles to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the MIC50 (LEWIS, Aaron). PENALTY Before the snap, MIC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MIC45 to the MIC40. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 41

2nd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.29

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 25 yds to the RUTG 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the RUTG 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.14

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the RUTG 28

4th & 15Field Goal Good+46 yds

James Turner 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 20

2nd & 15Penalty+8 yds

WIMSATT, Gavin pass short to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Isaiah thrown to the RU25. PENALTY MIC Pass Interference on WALLACE, Josh enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the RU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.38

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 17 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.47

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 20 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 8 yds to the MICH 27

4th & 2Interception Return Touchdown+71 ydsPPA -10.09

Mike Sainristil 71 Yd Interception Return (James Turner Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Samuel Brown V run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 8 yds to the RUTG 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Flynn Appleby punt for 34 yds, downed at the MICH 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 4 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 39

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.90

J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the MICH 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the RUTG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.90

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 28 yds to the RUTG 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

J.J. McCarthy run for 8 yds to the RUTG 9

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.24

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 4 yds to the RUTG 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Blake Corum run for 5 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the RUTG 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 10 yds to the RUTG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 18 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the MICH 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the MICH 37

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Aaron Young run for 14 yds to the MICH 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Aaron Young run for 3 yds to the MICH 20

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the MICH 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.26

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 3 yds to the MICH 22

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 27

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Kalel Mullings run for 14 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kalel Mullings run for 6 yds to the RUTG 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the RUTG 40

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Kalel Mullings run for 9 yds to the RUTG 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kalel Mullings run for 5 yds to the RUTG 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the RUTG 22

Situational Analysis

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
16 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays