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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
ArkansasArkansas
31
-Final
34
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 9.5

Home Win Probability

LSU 71%

Market (Bovada)

LSU -18

Edge: Arkansas +18 (8.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
31031531
LSULSU
010141034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-63-1317-1624-1631-2431-3134-31
LSUArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKPUNT38ydPUNT36ydFG1251ydTO639ydTO10ydPUNT929ydFG1275ydFG868ydTD875ydTD375ydEND36ydTD375ydFG1553ydTD975ydTD675ydTD1075ydTD1075ydFG972ydTO10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and LSU
StatisticArkansasLSU
Passing21-3120-29
Pass Yards289320
Rush Yards137189
Total Yards426509
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-136-10
Penalties11-695-51
Possession34:2225:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
21/31, 289 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Rashod Dubinion
15 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Luke Hasz
6 REC, 116 YDS, 2 TD
defense
LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
20/29, 320 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Logan Diggs
14 CAR, 97 YDS
receiving
Brian Thomas Jr.
5 REC, 133 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the ARK 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the LSU 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 44

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for no gain to the ARK 44

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

AJ Green run for no gain to the ARK 44

3rd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.57

KJ Jefferson run for 25 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.43

KJ Jefferson sacked by Greg Penn III for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 11 yds to the LSU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 7 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the LSU 12

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the LSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the LSU 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 4 yds to the LSU 1

3rd & 0Penalty-4 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Joshua Braun) to the LSU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Cam Little 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.43

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 22 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the ARK 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 1 yd to the ARK 42

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.28

Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -3.99

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Dwight McGlothern return for 15 yds to the ARK 45

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.72

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted Andre' Sam return for no gain to the LSU 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.78

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 15 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ARK 48

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.73

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 9 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Jayden Daniels sacked by Keivie Rose for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 47

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 7 yds to the ARK 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 22 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

AJ Green run for no gain to the ARK 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.30

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 14 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Jefferson, KJ pass incomplete to Hasz, Luke, PENALTY LSU holding (Burns, Major) 10 yards to the LSU34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.22

Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the LSU 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dominique Johnson run for 1 yd to the LSU 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for no gain to the LSU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Cam Little 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +2.33

Josh Williams run for 41 yds to the ARK 19 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Alfahiym Walcott) to the ARK 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARK 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the ARK 6

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jaheim Thomas and Cameron Ball for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Damian Ramos 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 1 yd to the ARK 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 14 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 8 yds to the ARK 48

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.69

Rashod Dubinion run for 15 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 13 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the LSU 19

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Tyrone Broden 19 Yd pass from KJ Jefferson (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.02

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 26 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 49 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 53 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 19 yds to the ARK 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the ARK 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 9 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.63

KJ Jefferson sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 37 KJ Jefferson fumbled, forced by Harold Perkins Jr., recovered by ARK KJ Jefferson , return for 0 yards

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Logan Diggs run for 13 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 49 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Patrick Kutas) to the ARK 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 17 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Rashod Dubinion run for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.67

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the LSU 38 KJ Jefferson fumbled, recovered by ARK Joshua Braun for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Major Burns) to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the LSU 19

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

AJ Green run for no gain to the LSU 19

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the LSU 19

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Max Fletcher run for 8 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the LSU 9

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.04

KJ Jefferson sacked by Mekhi Wingo and Whit Weeks for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 17

3rd & 16Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.86

KJ Jefferson sacked by Da'Shawn Womack for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 22

4th & 21Field Goal Good+40 yds

Cam Little 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 12 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Kaleb Jackson run for 8 yds to the ARK 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Logan Diggs run for 10 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the ARK 21

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Diggs run for 8 yds to the ARK 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the ARK 8

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 8 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 22

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Rashod Dubinion run for 12 yds to the ARK 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Nathan Bax) to the ARK 32

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Nathan Bax) to the ARK 27

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.91

KJ Jefferson run for 14 yds to the ARK 41

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.24

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 59 yds for a TD (KJ Jefferson pass to Luke Hasz for Two-Point Conversion)

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Brady Latham) to the LSU 8

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Holding (Lorando Johnson) to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 20 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the ARK 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Logan Diggs run for 12 yds to the ARK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the ARK 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Logan Diggs for 3 yds to the ARK 19

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (Eric Gregory) to the ARK 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the ARK 11

2nd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.29

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the ARK 10 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (John Emery Jr.) to the ARK 20

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.33

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 20 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the ARK 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Luke Hasz

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Luke Hasz) to the ARK 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.39

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 26 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the LSU 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jefferson, KJ pass complete to Armstrong, Andrew for 37 yards to the LSU0, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding 10 yards to the LSU47, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.33

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 33 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 17

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (KJ Jefferson) to the LSU 22

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

3rd & 18Penalty+11 yds

Jefferson, KJ pass incomplete to Hasz, Luke, PENALTY LSU roughing passer (Perkins Jr., Harold) 11 yards to the LSU11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 11 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 36 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 1 yd to the ARK 38

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the ARK 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.93

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 5 yds to the ARK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.57

Logan Diggs run for 21 yds to the ARK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the ARK 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the ARK 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Damian Ramos 20 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 41 yds , Landon Jackson return for no gain to the ARK 24

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.85

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted Zy Alexander return for no gain to the LSU 19

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
30 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th