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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Ole MissOle Miss
10
-Final
24
AlabamaAlabama
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Alabama 58%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -7

Edge: Ole Miss +7 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
703010
AlabamaAlabama
3311724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-76-79-717-1024-10
AlabamaOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAPUNT525ydFG1161ydTD775ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT37ydTO1266ydPUNT3-15ydFG4-21ydPUNT36ydPUNT818ydMISS856ydEND1-2ydFG970ydTO514ydTD659ydFG1458ydTD675ydPUNT41ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1555ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Alabama
StatisticOle MissAlabama
Passing21-3617-21
Pass Yards245225
Rush Yards56131
Total Yards301356
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-146-13
Penalties8-696-60
Possession25:3734:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Jaxson Dart
20/35, 244 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Quinshon Judkins
13 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Dayton Wade
5 REC, 88 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
17/21, 225 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jase McClellan
17 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Hale
2 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dayton Wade run for 2 yds to the MISS 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 21 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the ALA 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the ALA 15

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 17

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.86

Jalen Milroe run for 20 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ALA 42

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.75

Jalen Milroe run for 18 yds to the MISS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 8 yds to the MISS 32

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.17

Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the MISS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 6 yds to the MISS 20

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the MISS 21

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.44

Jalen Milroe sacked by Suntarine Perkins for a loss of 9 yards to the MISS 30

4th & 14Field Goal Good+48 yds

Will Reichard 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 40 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 2 yds to the ALA 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 16 yds to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Quinshon Judkins run for 14 yds to the ALA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the ALA 6

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OM False Start (Prieskorn,Caden) 5 yards from ALA06 to ALA11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dayton Wade for 1 yd to the ALA 10

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Jaxson Dart run for 10 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 1 yd to the ALA 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ALA Delay Of Game 5 yards from ALA28 to ALA23. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the MISS 21

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(02:36) Shotgun Dart,Jaxson pass complete short middle to Wade,Dayton for 0 yards to the OM 21 (Downs,Caleb) PENALTY OM Illegal Shift 5 yards from OM 21 to OM 16. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 12 yds to the MISS 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 3 yds to the ALA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 7 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.15

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jalen Hale for 30 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the MISS 34

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the MISS 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 11 yds to the MISS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the MISS 13

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the MISS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for no gain to the MISS 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the MISS 9

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.99

Jalen Milroe pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaxson Dart sacked by Tim Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for no gain to the MISS 18

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaxson Dart sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MISS 9

4th & 21Penalty-4 yds

(08:03) PENALTY OM False Start 4 yards from OM 09 to OM 05. NO PLAY.

4th & 25Blocked Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt blocked by Ja'Corey Brooks, punt out-of-bounds at the MISS 1 blocked by Ja'Corey Brooks

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 yds

run for 13 yds to the MISS 14 fumbled, recovered by ALA Jalen Milroe

2nd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalen Milroe sacked by Jamond Gordon for a loss of 4 yards to the MISS 18

3rd & 18Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.74

Jalen Milroe sacked by Ladarius Tennison for a loss of 4 yards to the MISS 22

4th & 22Field Goal Good+40 yds

Will Reichard 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 6 yds to the MISS 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Caden Prieskorn

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 2 yds to the ALA 12

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the ALA 7

3rd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 22 yds to the ALA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the ALA 23

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Milroe,Jalen pass complete short left to Niblack,Amari for 27 yards to the ALA50 (Young,Isheem) PENALTY ALA Illegal Shift 5 yards from ALA23 to ALA18. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 3 yds to the ALA 21

3rd & 18Penalty+15 yds

(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Milroe,Jalen pass incomplete deep left to Bond,Isaiah PENALTY OM Pass Interference (Anthony,Daijahn) 15 yards from ALA21 to ALA36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 40

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Milroe sacked by Suntarine Perkins for a loss of 12 yards to the ALA 28

4th & 18Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the MISS 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Kyirin Heath for 12 yds to the MISS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jaxson Dart run for 9 yds to the MISS 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 6 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.91

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 10 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Chris Braswell) to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 4 yds to the ALA 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tre Harris

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Caden Davis 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

J. Milroe takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jase McClellan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.15

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 54 yds to the MISS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MISS 20

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the MISS 16

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the MISS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the MISS 10

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the MISS 6

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the MISS 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

Will Reichard 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the MISS 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the MISS 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.73

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 4 yds to the MISS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the MISS 49

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -2.56

Jaxson Dart pass intercepted, Terrion Arnold return for 37 yds to the ALA 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the ALA 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 11 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the MISS 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the MISS 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 10 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jalen Hale for 33 yds for a TD (T. Simpson Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY OM Face Mask (Montgomery,Monty) 15 yards from ALA35 to ALA50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 50 yds , Ulysses Bentley IV return for 9 yds to the MISS 41 Ole Miss Penalty, Targeting (9 Yards) to the MISS 24

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for no gain to the MISS 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.34

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 31 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the ALA 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the ALA 39

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaxson Dart run for 5 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ALA 32

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Dart,Jaxson pass incomplete short left to Bentley IV,Ulysses QB hurried by Marshall,Trezmen PENALTY OM Holding (James,Jeremy) 10 yards from ALA32 to ALA42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Penalty-10 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ALA 42

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 8 yds to the ALA 34

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the ALA 25

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the ALA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IV

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaxson Dart run for 4 yds to the ALA 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Caden Davis 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jase McClellan run for 13 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 40

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Jase McClellan run for 9 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.11

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 21 yds to the MISS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Jase McClellan run for 22 yds to the MISS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds , Ulysses Bentley IV return for 16 yds to the MISS 17 Ulysses Bentley IV fumbled, recovered by MISS Ashanti Cistrunk

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Quinshon Judkins run for 11 yds to the MISS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the MISS 27

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Quinshon Judkins

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Holding Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun McClellan,Jase rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA30 (Prince,Deantre) PENALTY ALA Holding (Dalcourt,Darrian) 10 yards from ALA29 to ALA19. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ALA 20

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the ALA 26

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 3 yds to the ALA 29

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the MISS 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Tre Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 4 yds to the MISS 31

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Dayton Wade run for 2 yds to the MISS 29

4th & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.55

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 12 yds to the MISS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quinshon Judkins run for no gain to the MISS 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 17 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Jaxson Dart sacked by Chris Braswell for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 46

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jordan Watkins run for 9 yds to the MISS 45

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

4th & 23Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +4.44

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 25 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 18 yds to the ALA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the ALA 10

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.10

Jaxson Dart sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 18 Jaxson Dart fumbled, recovered by MISS Quincy McGee , return for 0 yards

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan Watkins

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.35

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the ALA 26

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY OM Offside (Gordon,Jamond) 5 yards from ALA26 to ALA31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the ALA 37

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

J. Milroe takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th