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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 84%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio State -29.5

Edge: Western Kentucky +29.5 (13.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
370010
Ohio StateOhio State
73571463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-07-314-321-1028-1042-1056-1063-10
Ohio StateWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSWKOSWKOSWKOSWKOSWKOSWKOSWKWKOSWKOSWKWKOSWKOSWKWKOSTD875ydDOWNS1043ydTO48ydFG1131ydTD1282ydTD775ydTD175ydDOWNS815ydTD140ydTO323ydTD448ydDOWNS633ydTD358ydEND14ydPUNT525ydPUNT513ydPUNT37ydPUNT546ydTD1-5ydTO721ydTD755ydPUNT52ydTO517ydTD32ydPUNT38ydEND525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Ohio State
StatisticWestern KentuckyOhio State
Passing22-3922-27
Pass Yards204358
Rush Yards80204
Total Yards284562
Turnovers42
3rd Down3-155-10
Penalties3-245-40
Possession32:3427:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Austin Reed
21/37, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
LT Sanders
7 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Malachi Corley
8 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ohio State
passing
Kyle McCord
19/23, 318 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
13 CAR, 88 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
5 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Cory Munson kickoff for 64 yds , Xavier Johnson return for 24 yds to the OSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.65

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 21 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 1 yd to the WKU 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 7 yds to the WKU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

TreVeyon Henderson run for 21 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Elijah Young return for 18 yds to the WKU 47 Western Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the WKU 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the WKU 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 10 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds to the WKU 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 11 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 8 yds to the OSU 48

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Markese Stepp run for no gain to the OSU 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the WKU 43

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the WKU 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Kyle McCord sacked by Hosea Wheeler for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 44 Kyle McCord fumbled, recovered by WKU Deante McCray , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malachi Corley run for no gain to the WKU 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.27

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 17 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 11 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Blue Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the OSU 21

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the OSU 20

4th & 2Rush-11 ydsPPA -3.55

Austin Reed run for 4 yds to the OSU 16 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Blue Smith) to the OSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Austin Reed pass complete to Elijah Young for 6 yds to the OSU 25

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass complete short right to Barry,Moussa for 5 yards to the OSU20, End Of Play PENALTY WKU Illegal Touch-Pass (Barry,Moussa). NO PLAY.

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 yds

Lucas Carneiro 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Cory Munson kickoff for 63 yds , Xavier Johnson return for 16 yds to the OSU 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the OSU 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 10 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.86

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 27 yds to the WKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WKU 35

1st & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the WKU 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.76

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 18 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the WKU 11

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the WKU 7

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.67

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass incomplete deep right to Hutchinson,K.D. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Hancock,Jordan) 15 yards from WKU27 to WKU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.88

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 34 yds to the OSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +1.06

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 18 yds to the OSU 6 Davion Ervin-Poindexter fumbled, recovered by WKU Wes Dorsey for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Austin Reed pass incomplete to River Helms

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Austin Reed run for 4 yds to the OSU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Markese Stepp) to the WKU 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the WKU 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Jimmy Holiday

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the WKU 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Markese Stepp run for 5 yds to the WKU 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Jimmy Holiday

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 40

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Chip Trayanum run for 40 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 2 yds to the WKU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Blue Smith

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 21 yds Blue Smith fumbled, recovered by OSU Davison Igbinosun

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the WKU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.71

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 20 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the WKU 15

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Markese Stepp run for 3 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.08

Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 30 yds to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Reed pass complete to Markese Stepp for 2 yds to the OSU 40

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Austin Reed sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the OSU 42

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Moussa Barry

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Moussa Barry

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyle McCord run for 4 yds to the OSU 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.18

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 40 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the WKU 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Elijah Young run for 8 yds to the WKU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 11 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Austin Reed run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 7 yds to the OSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU False Start (Simmons,Josh) 5 yards from OSU20 to OSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OSU 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for no gain to the OSU 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the WKU 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Austin Reed pass complete to Markese Stepp for 3 yds to the WKU 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 12

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.12

TreVeyon Henderson run for 19 yds to the OSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU Illegal Snap (Hinzman,Carson) 5 yards from OSU31 to OSU26. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+28 ydsPPA +3.01

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 28 yds Cade Stover fumbled, recovered by OSU Carnell Tate for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 3 yds to the WKU 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 1 yd to the WKU 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Carnell Tate

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 5

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.08

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds Davion Ervin-Poindexter fumbled, recovered by OSU Tyleik Williams for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 6 yds to the WKU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Markese Stepp run for 4 yds to the WKU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 5 yds to the WKU 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.82

Austin Reed pass intercepted by Steele Chambers, return for no gain to the OSU 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.20

Devin Brown pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the WKU 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.17

Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Devin Brown pass complete to Carnell Tate for 12 yds to the WKU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.02

Devin Brown pass complete to Carnell Tate for 28 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

L.T. Sanders run for 6 yds to the WKU 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Bronson Barron pass complete to Bronson Barron for 3 yds to the WKU 32

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKU 36

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.59

Bronson Barron sacked by Mitchell Melton for a loss of 9 yards to the WKU 27

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OSU 45

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Devin Brown run for 1 yd to the WKU 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the WKU 46

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -1.88

Devin Brown pass intercepted by Hosea Wheeler at the WKU 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the OSU 49

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 49

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+58 ydsPPA -8.16

Jermaine Mathews Jr. 58 Yd Interception Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

L.T. Sanders run for 9 yds to the WKU 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the WKU 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKU 33

4th & 2Punt+18 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 49 yds to the OSU 36 , Jayden Ballard returns for 18 yds to the OSU 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the OSU 40

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the OSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devin Brown run for 3 yds to the WKU 48

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the WKU 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play