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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 7.4

Home Win Probability

Missouri 30%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri +3.5

Edge: Kansas State -3.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
7710327
MissouriMissouri
10701330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-710-710-1417-1417-1717-2420-2427-2730-27
MissouriKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISKSMISTD1175ydTD675ydTO30ydFG735ydPUNT38ydMISS629ydTD1064ydTD675ydMISS738ydPUNT55ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-5ydFG616ydPUNT514ydTD1274ydFG668ydPUNT417ydPUNT615ydPUNT38ydTD277ydFG867ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT67ydFG1038yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Missouri
StatisticKansas StateMissouri
Passing25-3923-36
Pass Yards270356
Rush Yards13874
Total Yards408430
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-173-13
Penalties7-656-40
Possession34:0026:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
25/39, 270 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Treshaun Ward
10 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Ben Sinnott
5 REC, 78 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
23/35, 356 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cody Schrader
10 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Luther Burden III
7 REC, 114 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 9 yds to the KSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Will Howard run for 17 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 13 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 10 yds to the MIZ 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

DJ Giddens run for 9 yds to the MIZ 17

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.38

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 13 yds to the MIZ 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the MIZ 10

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Will Howard run for 4 yds Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 11

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the MIZ 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the MIZ 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 47 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Will Howard run for no gain to the KSU 40

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Howard pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 15 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds to the KSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.60

Brady Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 18

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the KSU 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Harrison Mevis 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 7 yds to the KSU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the MIZ 43

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

COOK, Brady pass up the middle incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the MIZ50. PENALTY KSU Offsides on SAVAGE, Kobe enforced 5 yards from the MIZ43 to the MIZ48 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 13 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the KSU 36

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the KSU 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Harrison Mevis 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Treshaun Ward run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 11 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the MIZ 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the MIZ 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Will Howard pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 21 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the MIZ 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Howard run for no gain to the MIZ 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 41 yds to the KSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.74

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 27 yds to the KSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the KSU 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the KSU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Howard pass complete to DJ Giddens for 3 yds to the KSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.19

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 34 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Will Howard sacked by Realus George Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 31

2nd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.11

Will Howard sacked by Daylan Carnell for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 37

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Chris Tennant 55 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the MIZ 44

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Cook sacked by Jevon Banks for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 42

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Will Howard sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Will Howard pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 5 yds to the KSU 21

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the KSU 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the MIZ 33

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 53 yds, downed at the KSU 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

[NH] Kneel down by KSU at KSU10 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 20

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.36

Brady Cook sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 7 yards to the MIZ 13

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the MIZ 8

3rd & 23Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the MIZ 16

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the MIZ 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the MIZ 30

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the MIZ 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+46 yds

Chris Tennant 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the MIZ 43

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.07

run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Howard run for 7 yds to the KSU 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 1 yd to the KSU 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Will Howard pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 2 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Keagan Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.57

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 33 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Treshaun Ward run for 8 yds to the MIZ 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 15 yds to the MIZ 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Howard run for 4 yds Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Swanson) to the MIZ 12

1st & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 5 yds to the MIZ 7

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

HOWARD, Will pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to JACKSON, Jadon caught at the MIZ15 and advanced to the MIZ0, TOUCHDOWN KSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:27 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on BROOKS, Phillip enforced 15 yards to the MIZ22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.22

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 19 yds to the MIZ 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Will Howard pass complete to Ben Sinnott for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 26 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.57

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 42 yds to the KSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the KSU 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Harrison Mevis 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Avery Johnson run for 11 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the KSU 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 47 yds, downed at the MIZ 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Luther Burden III) to the MIZ 11

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 14 yds to the MIZ 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MIZ 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 23

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Personal Foul (VJ Payne) to the KSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 26 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WARD, Treshaun rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards to the KSU21 (HOPPER, Ty'Ron). PENALTY MIZ Personal Foul on GADDY, Nyles enforced 15 yards from the KSU25 to the KSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.02

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 33 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Treshaun Ward run for 14 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the MIZ 3

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WARD, Treshaun rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the MIZ0, TOUCHDOWN KSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 05:54 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, KSU Delay Of Game on HOWARD, Will enforced 5 yards from the MIZ3 to the MIZ8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Howard pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Chris Tennant 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brady Cook) to the MIZ 21

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the MIZ 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 26

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Javon Foster) to the MIZ 21

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KSU 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard run for 5 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Treshaun Ward) to the KSU 45

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 1 yd to the KSU 46

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 5 yds to the MIZ 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 9 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 8 yds to the KSU 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the KSU 44

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 15Field Goal Good+61 yds

Harrison Mevis 61 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play