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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 26.2

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 93%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Western Kentucky -41.5

Edge: Houston Christian +41.5 (15.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Houston Christian
0140822
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
24771452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-017-024-031-031-738-1438-2245-2252-22
Western KentuckyHouston Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCHCWKHCWKWKHCHCWKHCWKHCWKWKHCWKWKHCWKHCWKHCPUNT419ydTO320ydTD427ydPUNT20ydTD765ydFG844ydTD48ydTO1075ydTD880ydTD1075ydPUNT49ydTD761ydEND1-2ydTD1075ydPUNT412ydUncategorized3-20ydPUNT428ydTD1177ydTD575ydPUNT31ydTD1070ydEND526yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston Christian and Western Kentucky
StatisticHouston ChristianWestern Kentucky
Passing18-2932-38
Pass Yards213318
Rush Yards155115
Total Yards368433
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-125-10
Penalties9-924-50
Possession29:4730:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston Christian
passing
Colby Suits
18/28, 213 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Champ Dozier
18 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Karl Reynolds
7 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Austin Reed
27/33, 253 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Markese Stepp
9 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Easton Messer
9 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Champ Dozier run for 11 yds to the HCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 4 yds to the WKU 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Champ Dozier run for 5 yds to the WKU 43

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA +0.76

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the WKU 44 Champ Dozier fumbled, recovered by HCU Champ Dozier

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 31 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 13

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Suits,Colby pass incomplete short right to Sherfield,Derrion PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Stout,Upton) 15 yards from HCU25 to HCU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Champ Dozier run for no gain to the HCU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-20 ydsPPA -3.44

Colby Suits sacked by Kendrick Simpkins for a loss of 5 yards to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down Houston Christian Penalty, Evans,JaQues at HCU45 Evans,JaQues return Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the HCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Reed pass incomplete to K.D. Hutchinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 2 yds to the HCU 25

3rd & 8Penalty+13 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass incomplete deep left to Barry,Moussa PENALTY HCU Pass Interference (Flagg,Caleb) 13 yards from HCU25 to HCU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 8 yds to the HCU 4

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 4 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Champ Dozier run for 5 yds to the HCU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Calvin Wiggins

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Suits,Colby pass incomplete short left to Wiggins,Calvin PENALTY HCU Delay Of Game (Bowron,Wheeler) 5 yards from HCU30 to HCU25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Easton Messer at the WKU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 14 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 5 yds to the HCU 46

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Markese Stepp run for 13 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 6 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Austin Reed pass complete to Moussa Barry for 7 yds to the HCU 32

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY HCU Offside (Smith,Zae) 5 yards from HCU32 to HCU27. NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the HCU 20 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 7 yds to the HCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 20 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Easton Messer run for 18 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 12 yds to the HCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the HCU 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Austin Reed pass complete to Moussa Barry for 11 yds to the HCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the HCU 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the HCU 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Moussa Barry

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Lucas Carneiro 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Champ Dozier run for 5 yds to the HCU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the HCU 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Champ Dozier run for 5 yds to the HCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY HCU False Start (Walter,Rob) 5 yards from HCU38 to HCU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Interception Return Touchdown+53 ydsPPA -7.90

Upton Stout 53 Yd Interception Return (Lucas Carneiro Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 14 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 5 yds to the HCU 44

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Colby Suits run for 7 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the WKU 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 4 yds to the WKU 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.73

Colby Suits pass complete to Adrian Green for 7 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Karl Reynolds run for 6 yds to the WKU 43 Karl Reynolds fumbled, recovered by HCU Karl Reynolds

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

3rd & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Colby Suits run for 11 yds to the WKU 32

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+32 yds

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 32 yds TEAM fumbled, recovered by HCU

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Austin Reed pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 5 yds to the WKU 25

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Markese Stepp run for 8 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 7 yds to the WKU 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Trevor Borland

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.77

Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Markese Stepp run for 20 yds to the HCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Austin Reed pass complete to River Helms for 13 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 21 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Champ Dozier run for 5 yds to the HCU 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 16 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Colby Suits pass complete to Champ Dozier for no gain to the HCU 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 21 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 16 yds to the WKU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Champ Dozier run for 6 yds to the WKU 21

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.02

Champ Dozier run for 6 yds to the WKU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the WKU 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.15

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 14 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 64 yds , Elijah Young return for 11 yds to the WKU 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the WKU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 6 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.77

Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 21 Elijah Young fumbled, recovered by WKU Elijah Young

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Jimmy Holiday

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HCU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Colby Suits pass complete to Alvin Edney for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Adrian Green

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Colby Suits run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.84

Colby Suits run for 11 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 12 yds to the WKU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Colby Suits pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY WKU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WKU27 to WKU22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.67

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 22 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY HCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Reynolds,Karl) 15 yards from WKU03 to WKU18. NO PLAY.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

A. Reed takes a knee

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the WKU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.98

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 26 yds to the HCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 13 yds to the HCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Austin Reed pass incomplete to K.D. Hutchinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Austin Reed pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 3 yds to the HCU 32

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.27

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the HCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 16 yds to the HCU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the HCU 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the HCU 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Austin Reed run for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY HCU Delay Of Game (Suits,Colby) 4 yards from HCU09 to HCU05. NO PLAY.

1st & 14Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.61

Jesse Valenzuela run for 27 yds to the HCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jesse Valenzuela run for 1 yd to the HCU 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Colby Suits pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 6 yds to the HCU 39

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the HCU 21

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Markese Stepp run for no gain to the WKU 42

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 37

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Reed pass incomplete to Easton Messer

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 42 yds

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordan Oliver) to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Austin Reed pass complete to Easton Messer for 2 yds to the WKU 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Reed pass complete to Blue Smith for 2 yds to the WKU 39

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Colby Suits run for 2 yds to the HCU 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Colby Suits pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 14 yds to the HCU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the HCU 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Darrion Sherfield

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Suits,Colby pass incomplete short left to Reynolds,Karl PENALTY WKU Pass Interference 15 yards from HCU38 to WKU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Colby Suits run for 4 yds to the WKU 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Ismael Fuller

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.15

Champ Dozier run for 19 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Champ Dozier run for 10 yds to the WKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Colby Suits pass complete to Aaron Sotelo for 5 yds to the WKU 9

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Champ Dozier 9 Yd Run (Colby Suits Pass to Ismael Fuller for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY HCU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting WKU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 4 yds to the WKU 29

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.73

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 14 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Austin Reed run for 8 yds to the HCU 49

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 11 yds to the HCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Austin Reed pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 38 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Colby Suits pass incomplete to Champ Dozier

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the HCU 26

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Colby Suits run for no gain to the HCU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Wheeler Bowron punt for 44 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Markese Stepp run for 6 yds to the WKU 36

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds to the WKU 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.45

Turner Helton pass complete to Easton Messer for 26 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the HCU 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.58

Turner Helton pass complete to Easton Messer for 18 yds to the HCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Turner Helton pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 1 yd to the HCU 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the HCU 22

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Turner Helton run for no gain to the HCU 22

4th & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.94

Turner Helton pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 14 yds to the HCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Turner Helton pass complete to Denzil Alleyne for 8 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jesse Valenzuela run for 4 yds to the HCU 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Jesse Valenzuela run for 7 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jesse Valenzuela run for 5 yds to the HCU 41

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jesse Valenzuela run for 2 yds to the HCU 43

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.95

Jesse Valenzuela run for 8 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
10 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
32 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play