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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

UTEP by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 29%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern -1

Edge: UTEP +1 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTEPUTEP
70007
NorthwesternNorthwestern
70211038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-728-735-738-7
NorthwesternUTEP

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTENORUTENORUTENORUTENORUTENORUTENORNORUTENORUTENORUTENORUTENORUTENORTD870ydTD871ydPUNT822ydPUNT614ydPUNT638ydPUNT646ydTO514ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT61ydPUNT39ydMISS448ydEND1-3ydTD1379ydTO2-12ydTD33ydPUNT319ydTD388ydDOWNS1062ydTD890ydDOWNS48ydFG49ydTO1037ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTEP and Northwestern
StatisticUTEPNorthwestern
Passing19-3013-20
Pass Yards215207
Rush Yards104184
Total Yards319391
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-126-11
Penalties6-424-33
Possession31:2128:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTEP
passing
Gavin Hardison
17/25, 192 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
receiving
Jeremiah Ballard
4 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Ben Bryant
11/17, 116 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cam Porter
17 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Joseph Himon II
1 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 11 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 48

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Gavin Hardison run for 16 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.67

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 25 yds to the NU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 4 yds for a TD (Buzz Flabiano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 7 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

A.J. Henning run for 17 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the UTEP 11

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jack Lausch run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 1 yd to the UTEP 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 7 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 3 yds to the UTEP 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.68

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Mike Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 47

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

HARDISON, Gavin pass deep to the left complete for 18 yards to BALLARD, Jeremiah caught at the NU35 and advanced to the NU35, out of bounds. PENALTY TEP Illegal Touch-Pass on BALLARD, Jeremiah enforced 0 yards from the TEP47 to the TEP47, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 13Punt0 yds

punt for 32 yds, downed at the NU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the NU 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Joseph Himon II run for no gain to the NU 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 9 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.70

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 18 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Franklin run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 5 yds to the NU 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, downed at the NU 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 6

3rd & 7Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.34

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 43 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Ben Bryant sacked by Josiah Allen and Tyrice Knight for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyrin Smith at the UTEP 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds to the UTEP 39

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Hardison pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.62

Jack Lausch run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 42

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Ben Bryant sacked by Maurice Westmoreland for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTEP 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the UTEP 37

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 37

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BURGESS JR., Torrance rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the TEP44 (HOLLIS JR., Garnett;PEARSON, Reginald). PENALTY TEP Holding on KLEIN, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the TEP38 to the TEP28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the UTEP 38

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.61

Gavin Hardison sacked by Anto Saka for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Porter for 9 yds to the NU 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the UTEP 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.36

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 36 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 9 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 1Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Buzz Flabiano 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

run for a loss of 3 yards to the NU 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 1 yd to the NU 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 3 yds to the NU 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 12 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the UTEP 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

A.J. Henning run for 7 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the UTEP 31

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Cam Porter run for 9 yds to the UTEP 19

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Porter run for no gain to the UTEP 18

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 18 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 22Interception0 ydsPPA +0.33

Gavin Hardison pass intercepted

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ben Bryant run for no gain to the UTEP 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete dropped by LOPEZ, Julian thrown to the TEP26; QB hurried by HUBBARD, Aidan. PENALTY NU Roughing the Passer on HUBBARD, Aidan enforced 15 yards from the TEP28 to the TEP43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Gavin Hardison sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 39

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Mike Franklin for 8 yds to the UTEP 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Joseph Himon II run for 4 yds to the NU 16

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Joseph Himon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 15

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +7.19

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 85 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36

3rd & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Gavin Hardison sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 33

4th & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.50

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 21 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 16 yds to the NU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

HARDISON, Gavin pass deep to the right complete for 30 yards to SMITH, Tyrin caught at the NU0 and advanced to the NU0, End of Play. PENALTY TEP Illegal Touch-Pass on SMITH, Tyrin enforced 0 yards from the NU30 to the NU30, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 12 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the NU 14

2nd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gavin Hardison sacked by Rod Heard II for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 16

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Franklin run for 7 yds to the NU 9

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.06

Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the NU 12

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the NU 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the NU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 4Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.29

Jack Lausch run for 46 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Cam Porter run for 16 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

A.J. Henning run for 7 yds to the UTEP 4

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.22

A.J. Henning run for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ezell Jolly run for 3 yds to the UTEP 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Ezell Jolly run for 6 yds to the UTEP 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ezell Jolly run for no gain to the UTEP 32

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Ezell Jolly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jack Lausch pass complete to Lawson Albright for 6 yds to the UTEP 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the UTEP 22

4th & 1Field Goal Good+40 yds

Jack Olsen 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jake McNamara pass complete to Marcus Vinson for 8 yds to the UTEP 37

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jake McNamara run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Jake McNamara pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 15 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake McNamara pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake McNamara pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Jake McNamara run for 9 yds to the NU 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Ezell Jolly run for 2 yds to the NU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake McNamara run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 32

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 37

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake McNamara run for 3 yds to the NU 34

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -2.16

Jake McNamara pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jake Arthurs run for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 14

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jake Arthurs run for 4 yds to the NU 18

Situational Analysis

UTEP

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
25 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th