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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 7.8

Home Win Probability

Missouri 73%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri -21

Edge: Middle Tennessee +21 (13.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
073919
MissouriMissouri
376723

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-710-1016-1023-1023-1723-19
MissouriMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISMTMISMTMISMTMISMTMISMTMTMISMTMISMTMISMTMISMTMISPUNT58ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydFG834ydPUNT412ydPUNT521ydTD1486ydTD1671ydEND1-1ydFG1468ydTD880ydPUNT613ydTD782ydPUNT34ydPUNT522ydTD1184ydSAF2-14ydDOWNS715ydEND7-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Missouri
StatisticMiddle TennesseeMissouri
Passing22-3614-19
Pass Yards214204
Rush Yards71112
Total Yards285316
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-187-13
Penalties6-425-50
Possession28:0032:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
22/36, 214 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Frank Peasant
13 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Elijah Metcalf
5 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
14/19, 204 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cody Schrader
23 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Luther Burden III
8 REC, 117 YDS
defense
Daylan Carnell
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Brady Cook sacked by Drew Francis for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 33

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 33 yds, downed at the MTSU 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Frank Peasant run for 4 yds to the MTSU 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Frank Peasant run for no gain to the MTSU 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Frank Peasant run for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 11

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 6 yds to the MTSU 17

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Nathaniel Peat run for 11 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Nathaniel Peat run for 15 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the MTSU 22

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.11

Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MTSU 10

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

SCHRADER, Cody rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the MTS5 (WOODS, Shakai). PENALTY MIZ Holding on JOHNSON, Cam'Ron enforced 10 yards from the MTS10 to the MTS20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 25

2nd & 21Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds to the MTSU 11

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.09

Brady Cook sacked by Drew Francis for a loss of 10 yards to the MTSU 21

4th & 17Field Goal Good+38 yds

Harrison Mevis 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 24 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.45

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Nyles Gaddy for a loss of 13 yards to the MTSU 37

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 63 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the MIZ 26

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 4 yds to the MIZ 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 45 yds, downed at the MTSU 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MTSU 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Frank Peasant for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 12

3rd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Nicholas Vattiato run for 13 yds to the MTSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Frank Peasant run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 23

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Nicholas Vattiato run for 11 yds to the MTSU 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Toney for 1 yd to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kalani Norris for 6 yds to the MTSU 41

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.94

Nicholas Vattiato run for 11 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down Missouri Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kris Abrams-Draine) to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 7 yds to the MIZ 26

2nd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Nyles Gaddy for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 28

3rd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.02

Frank Peasant run for 25 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the MIZ 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the MIZ 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kalani Norris for 3 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 9 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.37

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the MIZ 38

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Brady Cook sacked by Quindarius Dunnigan for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 43

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the MIZ 43

3rd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.46

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 19 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MTSU 36

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MTSU 36

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

COOK, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for COOPER, Mookie thrown to the MTS24. PENALTY Before the snap, MTS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MTS36 to the MTS31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the MTSU 18

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MTSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MTSU 15

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the MTSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Sidney Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Frank Peasant run for 16 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 14 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Justin Olson for 10 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 4 yds to the MIZ 32

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.15

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 17 yds to the MIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the MIZ 2

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.88

Frank Peasant run for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 41

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 5 yds to the MIZ 36

4th & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Justin Olson for 14 yds to the MIZ 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MIZ 17

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Nicholas Vattiato run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 20

2nd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Daylan Carnell for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Zeke Rankin 25 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the MIZ 27

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Cody Schrader run for 10 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.45

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 44 yds to the MTSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MTSU 14

2nd & 5Penalty+6 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Face mask (6 yards) (Drew Francis) to the MTSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MTSU 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the MTSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Justin Olson for 14 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Frank Peasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 39

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Frank Peasant run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 38

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the MIZ 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Brady Cook pass complete to Jayden Jernigan for 13 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 49 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 1 yd to the MTSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 3 yds to the MTSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Brady Cook run for 9 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MTSU 48

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MTSU 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Brady Cook run for no gain to the MTSU 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 28 yds, downed at the MTSU 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 16 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.85

Nicholas Vattiato run for 17 yds to the MIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MIZ 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.85

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 37 yds to the MIZ 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

VATTIATO, Nicholas pass up the middle incomplete intended for METCALF, Elijah broken up by CARLIES, Jaylon at the MIZ0, clock 06:57. PENALTY Before the snap, MTS False Start on PORCHER, Sterling enforced 5 yards from the MIZ8 to the MIZ13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.93

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Justin Olson for 13 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 16

2nd & 8Safety0 ydsPPA -2.07

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTSU 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.75

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 11 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jacqui Graham) to the MTSU 48

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 10 yds to the MIZ 42

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MTSU 49

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 46

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

COOK, Brady pass to the left complete for 33 yards to WEASE, Theo caught at the MTS46 and advanced to the MTS21 (BRUMFIELD, Sam). PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on BURDEN, Luther enforced 15 yards to the MIZ31 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 21Penalty+15 yds

COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WEASE, Theo thrown to the MTS37. PENALTY MTS Pass Interference on ROSS, Teldrick enforced 15 yards to the MIZ46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.13

Brady Cook sacked by Damonte Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the MIZ 46

2nd & 21Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

[NH] Kneel down by MIZ at MIZ40 (team loss of 6).

3rd & 27Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

[NH] Kneel down by MIZ at MIZ39 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th