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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 15.1

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 78%

Market (Bovada)

Mississippi State -9

Edge: Mississippi State -9 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
ArizonaArizona
07710024
Mississippi StateMississippi State
14073731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-014-721-1424-2124-24
Mississippi StateArizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSARIMSMSARITO1275ydTO434ydTD450ydTO31ydTD26ydTO36ydPUNT36ydTO1976ydMISS1136ydTD377ydEND1-2ydPUNT3-4ydTD430ydTD1075ydPUNT39ydPUNT524ydPUNT731ydTD980ydFG557ydTO531ydPUNT31ydFG557ydEND1-2ydTD225ydUncategorized49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arizona and Mississippi State
StatisticArizonaMississippi State
Passing33-4713-17
Pass Yards340162
Rush Yards91145
Total Yards431307
Turnovers51
3rd Down4-133-11
Penalties5-559-90
Possession32:2227:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arizona
passing
Jayden de Laura
32/46, 342 YDS, 2 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Jayden de Laura
8 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tetairoa Mcmillan
8 REC, 161 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Will Rogers
13/17, 162 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
24 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lideatrick Griffin
5 REC, 83 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 8 yds to the MSST 33

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 14 yds to the MSST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Simeon Price run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 6 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 44

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.23

Seth Davis run for 15 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 25

3rd & 6Penalty0 yds

ROGERS, Will pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOSLEY, Jordan thrown to the ARI1. PENALTY ARI Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Isaiah enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ARI11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 11

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jo'Quavious Marks run for no gain to the ARIZ 11

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 7 yds to the ARIZ 4

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.02

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 4 yds Justin Robinson fumbled, recovered by ARIZ

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 8 yds to the ARIZ 28

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Mississippi State Penalty, Personal Foul (Esaias Furdge) to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 5 yds to the MSST 46

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.18

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 21 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 23

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.14

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 26

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

DJ Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 26

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Lideatrick Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 46

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 48

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andrew Osteen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 8 yds to the ARIZ 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 8 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rayshon Luke run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.62

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 10 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 7 yds to the MSST 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the MSST 43

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Jayden de Laura run for 13 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 33

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds to the MSST 22

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 8 yds to the MSST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the MSST 8

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the MSST 6

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-12 ydsPPA -4.41

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for a loss of 12 yards Jacob Cowing fumbled, recovered by MSST Hunter Washington

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the MSST 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSST 45

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Flowe) to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jo'Quavious Marks run for no gain to the ARIZ 34

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 29

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jeffery Pittman run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 26

4th & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MARKS, Jo'quavious rush to the left for a gain of 14 yards to the ARI0, TOUCHDOWN MSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:38 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MSU Holding on SMITH, Cole enforced 10 yards from the ARI14 to the ARI24 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Davis run for no gain to the ARIZ 24

2nd & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Seth Davis run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 14

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.27

Will Rogers sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 9 yards to the ARIZ 23

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Kyle Ferrie 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the ARIZ 29

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana thrown to the MSU22. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on FURDGE, Esaias enforced 15 yards to the ARI44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.43

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 55 yds to the MSST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:02) [NH] Kneel down by ROGERS, Will at MSU23 (team loss of 2).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, False Start (Jonah Savaiinaea) to the ARIZ 17

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 19

3rd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 18

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 28

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 21

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 15 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 1 yd to the ARIZ 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 11 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the ARIZ 37

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the left complete for 7 yards to MCMILLAN, Tetairoa caught at the ARI44 and advanced to the ARI44 (RICHARDSON, Decamerion). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ARI37 to the ARI42. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the right complete for 12 yards to LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana caught at the ARI49 and advanced to the MSU46 (BANKS, Marcus;NICHOLSON, DeCarlos). PENALTY ARI Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BAKER, Josh enforced 5 yards from the ARI42 to the ARI37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 21 yds to the MSST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jayden de Laura run for 10 yds to the MSST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Rayshon Luke run for 9 yds to the MSST 23

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.42

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the MSST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Seth Davis run for 4 yds to the MSST 25

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Davis run for 5 yds to the MSST 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeffery Pittman run for no gain to the MSST 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the ARIZ 39

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Michael Wiley run for 12 yds to the MSST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the MSST 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Jacob Cowing pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the MSST 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Rogers pass complete to Simeon Price for 8 yds to the MSST 20

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 13 yds to the MSST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the MSST 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 9 yds to the MSST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jeffery Pittman run for 1 yd to the MSST 49

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.18

Will Rogers sacked by Jacob Manu for a loss of 6 yards to the MSST 43

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 37 yds, downed at the ARIZ 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 4 yds to the ARIZ 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 5 yds to the ARIZ 29

4th & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 1 yd to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.40

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 28 yds to the MSST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 27 yds to the MSST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 5 yds to the MSST 10

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden de Laura sacked by Jett Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 11

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Taylor) to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 17

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 16

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jo'Quavious Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Kyle Ferrie 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 8 yds to the ARIZ 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jayden de Laura run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Cowing run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 46

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

DE LAURA, Jayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COWING, Jacob thrown to the MSU30. PENALTY MSU Holding on RICHARDSON, Decamerion enforced 10 yards from the ARI46 to the MSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.59

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 42

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Mike Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.40

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 49 yds to the MSST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.89

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSST 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the MSST 18

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 19

4th & 2Field Goal Good+36 yds

Tyler Loop 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:05) [NH] Kneel down by ROGERS, Will at MSU23 (team loss of 2).

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROGERS, Will scrambles up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the ARI18 (WARD, Isaiah). PENALTY MSU Holding on LOSOYA, Steven enforced 10 yards from the ARI25 to the ARI35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROGERS, Will scrambles up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the ARI18 (WARD, Isaiah). PENALTY MSU Holding on LOSOYA, Steven enforced 10 yards from the ARI25 to the ARI35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 6 yds to the ARIZ 29

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.65

Will Rogers pass complete to Jeffery Pittman for 29 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
31 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
19 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play