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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 11.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 77%

Market (DraftKings)

Kentucky -35.5

Edge: Eastern Kentucky +35.5 (24.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern Kentucky
703717
KentuckyKentucky
0714728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1014-1021-1728-17
KentuckyEastern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENEKKENEKKENEKKENEKKENEKKENEKKENEKEKKENEKKENEKKENEKKENPUNT34ydTD630ydDOWNS1125ydPUNT415ydPUNT525ydTO211ydTO4-3ydTO324ydPUNT733ydMISS756ydPUNT416ydPUNT617ydTD124ydEND19ydFG1071ydTD972ydPUNT618ydTD485ydTD975ydTD665ydPUNT410ydEND748yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Kentucky and Kentucky
StatisticEastern KentuckyKentucky
Passing19-2924-38
Pass Yards219299
Rush Yards92115
Total Yards311414
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-125-11
Penalties4-3710-70
Possession27:5332:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Kentucky
passing
Parker McKinney
19/29, 219 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Braedon Sloan
7 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Bryant Johnson
2 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Devin Leary
24/38, 299 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
12 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Tayvion Robinson
6 REC, 136 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 50 yds , return for no gain to the UK 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the UK 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the UK 38

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 35

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the UK 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 6 yds to the UK 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 11 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the UK 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.10

Parker McKinney run for 14 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIS, Ray rush to the right for a gain of 21 yards to the EKU49 (CHEELEY, Nic). PENALTY UKY Holding on KATTUS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the UKY30 to the UKY20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 1 yd to the UK 21

2nd & 19Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.56

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 20 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Ray Davis run for 13 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the EKU 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Leary pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 3 yds to the EKU 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 6 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the EKU 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 9Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.70

Devin Leary sacked by Albert Nunes for a loss of 12 yards to the EKU 45

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.31

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 9 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the UK 38

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Joshua Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Parker McKinney run for no gain to the UK 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 6 yds to the UK 13

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +0.82

JuTahn McClain run for 15 yds to the UK 28 JuTahn McClain fumbled, recovered by UK JuTahn McClain for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the UK 30

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Devin Leary pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 3 yds to the UK 32

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Braedon Sloan run for 9 yds to the EKU 22

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.21

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKU 24 Braedon Sloan fumbled, recovered by UK Alex Afari Jr.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the EKU 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 6 yds to the EKU 17

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EKU 27

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -2.80

Devin Leary pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Parker McKinney pass intercepted

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 6 yds to the UK 10

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.29

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKU 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Joshua Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKU 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jackson Hensley for 13 yds to the EKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.13

Parker McKinney pass complete to Bryant Johnson for 40 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the UK 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Patrick Nations 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 16 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 50 yds, downed at the EKU 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 6

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 12

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Parker McKinney run for 10 yds to the EKU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.99

Parker McKinney sacked by Trevin Wallace for a loss of 7 yards to the EKU 15

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 21

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Parker McKinney run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKU 20

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the EKU 30

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 34

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the EKU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 6 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 3 yds to the EKU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.32

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 20 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the UK 37

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.91

Braedon Sloan run for 28 yds to the UK 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the UK 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the UK 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Patrick Nations 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 11 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.67

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 25 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.55

Barion Brown run for 26 yds to the EKU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the EKU 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Tayvion Robinson 6 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Marques Cox) to the EKU 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the EKU 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Parker McKinney pass complete to Bryant Johnson for 13 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 15

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 14

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on EVANS, Cornelius enforced (Cornelius Evans) to the EKU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the EKU 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 13 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the EKU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.80

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 39 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Parker McKinney run for 6 yds to the UK 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MCKINNEY, Parker pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HORN, Jaycob broken up by PHILLIPS, Andru at the UKY0. PENALTY UKY Offsides on WALKER, Deone enforced 5 yards from the UKY20 to the UKY15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Joshua Carter run for 1 yd to the UK 14

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 3 yds to the UK 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the UK 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the UK 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Barion Brown run for 8 yds to the EKU 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the EKU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the EKU 24

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.34

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (Marvion Field) to the EKU 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Parker McKinney pass complete to Hunter Brown for 14 yds to the EKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 45

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.56

Parker McKinney sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the EKU 35

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Ray Davis run for 9 yds to the EKU 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the EKU 38

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Justice Dingle II) to the EKU 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the EKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Marques Cox) to the EKU 39

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the EKU 36

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.33

Ramon Jefferson run for 16 yds to the EKU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ramon Jefferson run for 4 yds to the EKU 16

Situational Analysis

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play