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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 13.9

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 80%

Market (Bovada)

Georgia State -3

Edge: Georgia State -3 (10.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UConnUConn
0001414
Georgia StateGeorgia State
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-028-735-14
Georgia StateUConn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSGSUCOGSUCOUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOGSUCOPUNT37ydPUNT66ydTD482ydTO946ydTO518ydMISS617ydPUNT925ydPUNT919ydPUNT31ydTD646ydPUNT3-6ydTD963ydEND1-1ydPUNT416ydTD1592ydPUNT518ydPUNT621ydTD1076ydPUNT35ydDOWNS710ydTD139ydTD880ydPUNT37ydTO28ydDOWNS43ydEND110yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UConn and Georgia State
StatisticUConnGeorgia State
Passing23-3915-26
Pass Yards276144
Rush Yards50250
Total Yards326394
Turnovers31
3rd Down10-188-17
Penalties8-652-23
Possession32:3227:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UConn
passing
Ta'Quan Roberson
19/30, 216 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Victor Rosa
10 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Brett Buckman
9 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
15/26, 144 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Darren Grainger
12 CAR, 142 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Cyais Credle
3 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Darren Grainger pass complete to Kris Byrd for 8 yds to the GAST 29

3rd & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Darren Grainger sacked by Jackson Mitchell and Jelani Stafford for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Joseph Fagnano run for no gain to the CONN 30

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the CONN 36

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.98

Joseph Fagnano run for 8 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Devontae Houston run for no gain to the CONN 44

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.60

Joseph Fagnano sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 8 yards to the CONN 36

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Joseph Fagnano pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GAST 20

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 16 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Darren Grainger run for 65 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the CONN 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Justin Joly for 12 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Devontae Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 37

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.77

Joseph Fagnano run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 34

3rd & 15Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.00

Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Cameron Ross for 28 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Joseph Fagnano run for 3 yds to the GAST 35

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

FAGNANO, Joe pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to HOUSTON, Devontae caught at the GSU34 and advanced to the GSU27 (HUNTER, Jontrey). PENALTY UCO Illegal Block in the Back on BROWN, Rayonte enforced 10 yards from the GSU35 to the GSU45 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Joseph Fagnano run for 2 yds to the GAST 43

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -1.09

Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 14 yds Jalen Mitchell fumbled, recovered by GAST Jeremiah Johnson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GAST 36

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

GRAINGER, Darren pass short to the right incomplete dropped by CARTER, Jacari broken up by MITCHELL, Jackson at the GSU40. PENALTY UCO Offsides on WATTS, Eric enforced 5 yards from the GSU36 to the GSU41 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.41

Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 6 yds Marcus Carroll fumbled, recovered by CONN Durante Jones

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the GAST 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Joseph Fagnano run for 2 yds to the GAST 44

3rd & 7Penalty+13 yds

FAGNANO, Joe pass to the right incomplete intended for PORTER, Geordon thrown to the GSU31. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on BROWN, Bryquice enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the GSU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Joseph Fagnano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the GAST 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Joseph Fagnano pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Joe McFadden 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 14 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the CONN 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the CONN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the CONN 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the CONN 20

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 19

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Joseph Fagnano run for 7 yds to the CONN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Joseph Fagnano pass complete to Brett Buckman for 6 yds to the CONN 33

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.27

Joseph Fagnano run for 3 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Joseph Fagnano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 32

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Joseph Fagnano pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the CONN 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 10 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.39

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 23 yds to the CONN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the CONN 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 9 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 3 yds to the CONN 29

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

HOUSTON, Devontae rush to the left for a gain of 16 yards to the UCO45 (JOHNSON, Jeremiah). PENALTY UCO Holding on OFORI-NYADU, Noel enforced 10 yards from the UCO29 to the UCO19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the CONN 20

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 15 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the CONN 47

3rd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.89

Darren Grainger run for 21 yds to the CONN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the CONN 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper GRAINGER, Darren rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UCO20 (MITCHELL, Jackson;WATTS, Eric). PENALTY GSU Holding on TIMMONS, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the UCO23 to the UCO33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.01

Darren Grainger run for 26 yds to the CONN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the CONN 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

[NH] Kneel down by ROBERSON, Ta'Quan at UCO13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 16 yds to the CONN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HOUSTON, Devontae rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UCO46 (VENEZIALE, Jordan). PENALTY UCO Holding on WALKER, Yakiri enforced 10 yards from the UCO41 to the UCO31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the CONN 32

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Ta'Quan Roberson run for no gain to the CONN 32

3rd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 9 yds to the CONN 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 10

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

UConn Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tui Faumuina-Brown) to the GAST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 15 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 8 yds to the GAST 47

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 47

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 14 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the CONN 29

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the CONN 25

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the CONN 21

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the CONN 14

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the CONN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the CONN 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the CONN 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 7 yds to the CONN 43

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Devontae Houston run for no gain to the CONN 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 31 yds, downed at the GAST 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 32

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.32

Jacari Carter run for a loss of 8 yards to the GAST 34

2nd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 1 yd to the GAST 35

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GAST 41

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

UConn Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the GAST 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 33 yds , returns for no gain to the CONN 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 16 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 3 yds to the CONN 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.59

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 10 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Rosa for 5 yds to the GAST 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 12 yds to the GAST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 7 yds to the GAST 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.06

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 12 yds to the GAST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 11 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.58

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 14 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UConn Penalty, False Start (Brett Buckman) to the CONN 38

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.22

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 1 yd to the CONN 39

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Marcus Carroll run for 39 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UConn Penalty, False Start (Chase Lundt) to the CONN 15

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 4 yds to the CONN 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.38

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Geordon Porter for 20 yds to the CONN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Louis Hansen for 18 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the GAST 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.35

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 6 yds to the GAST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 32 yds for a TD (Joe McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

KZ Adams run for 6 yds to the GAST 21

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the GAST 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kade Loggins punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brett Buckman at the CONN 29

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the CONN 37

2nd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -2.21

Ta'Quan Roberson pass intercepted

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

KZ Adams run for 1 yd to the CONN 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 8

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

KZ Adams run for 5 yds to the CONN 3

4th & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.08

KZ Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the CONN 5

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Victor Rosa run for 10 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
36%
11 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays