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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Texas by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Florida International 42%

Market (Bovada)

Florida International +10.5

Edge: Florida International +10.5 (6.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North TexasNorth Texas
101071239
Florida InternationalFlorida International
71021846

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-1017-2038-3338-39
Florida InternationalNorth Texas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NTNTNTNTFINTFINTFINTFINTNTFINTFINTFIFIFINTNTFINTFINTFINTFINTFITD1174ydTO512ydUncategorized330ydTD1174ydTD375ydUncategorized515ydTO617ydFG1055ydPUNT618ydUncategorized2-2ydTO10ydTD270ydPUNT516ydFG1063ydTD675ydPUNT37ydFG629ydPUNT618ydPUNT35ydTD875ydTD671ydDOWNS729ydTD366ydPUNT36ydTD658ydTD1084ydTO10ydTD430ydTD875ydDOWNS653ydPUNT617yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Texas and Florida International
StatisticNorth TexasFlorida International
Passing21-3520-32
Pass Yards301291
Rush Yards247223
Total Yards548514
Turnovers33
3rd Down5-143-12
Penalties3-356-55
Possession32:1627:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Texas
passing
Chandler Rogers
11/15, 201 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Stone Earle
8 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Damon Ward Jr.
4 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
Florida International
passing
Keyone Jenkins
20/32, 291 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kejon Owens
10 CAR, 101 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kris Mitchell
7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNT 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.42

Stone Earle pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 14 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 25 Ikaika Ragsdale fumbled, recovered by UNT Ikaika Ragsdale

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.19

Stone Earle pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 16 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.79

Stone Earle pass complete to Roderic Burns for no gain to the UNT 41

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Stone Earle sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the UNT 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Stone Earle pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 6 yds to the UNT 48

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Isaiah Johnson run for 9 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Stone Earle pass complete to Kaylon Horton for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 44

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Stone Earle run for 7 yds to the FIU 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Ja'Mori Maclin, broken up by Larry Preston

4th & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 12 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Roderic Burns, broken up by Donovan Manuel

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Stone Earle pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 25 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 38 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 9 yds to the UNT 28

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.27

Shomari Lawrence run for 28 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the UNT 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Keyone Jenkins run for 1 yd to the UNT 30

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Keyone Jenkins run for 3 yds to the UNT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the UNT 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 38 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down

No play data available
2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.46

Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the UNT 16 Shomari Lawrence fumbled, recovered by UNT Phil Hill

3rd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.82

Stone Earle run for 25 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the FIU 46

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Stone Earle pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 13 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Ja'Mori Maclin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Stone Earle pass complete to Blair Conwright for 1 yd to the FIU 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Noah Rauschenberg 47 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 8 yds to the FIU 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds , Roderic Burns returns for no gain to the UNT 13

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.04

Stone Earle pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNT 15

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.90

Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+40 ydsPPA -7.76

Hezekiah Masses 40 Yd Interception Return (Chase Gabriel Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the UNT 32

2nd & 5Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.95

Stone Earle pass intercepted for a 1ST down Florida International Penalty, personal foul (Travonte O'Neal) to the UNT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -2.77

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UNT 46 North Texas Penalty, personal foul (Blair Conwright) to the UNT 31

2nd & 23Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the UNT 35

3rd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the UNT 40

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Stone Earle pass complete to Landon Sides for 5 yds to the UNT 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 14 yds to the UNT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.36

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 17 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the UNT 12

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Ross Fournet

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Chase Gabriel 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Jackson McDonald

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 11 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the FIU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 13 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.56

Oscar Adaway III 6 Yd Run (Noah Rauschenberg Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the UNT 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the UNT 29

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Oscar Adaway III run for 11 yds to the UNT 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Stone Earle run for 8 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.20

Stone Earle run for 34 yds to the FIU 15 for a 1ST down

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Artez Hooker for 3 yds to the FIU 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Kris Mitchell

4th & 15Field Goal Good+49 yds

Noah Rauschenberg 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Stone Earle pass complete to Roderic Burns for 17 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the FIU 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Stone Earle pass incomplete to Roderic Burns, broken up by CJ Christian

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.39

Stone Earle sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 31

2nd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.12

Florida International Penalty, Offensive holding (Phillip Houston) to the FIU 33

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Jalen Bracey

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Keyone Jenkins run for 10 yds to the FIU 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FIU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds to the FIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the FIU 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Shomari Lawrence

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 2 yds to the FIU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Kejon Owens run for 7 yds to the UNT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Kejon Owens run for 21 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Lucas Matias kickoff for 55 yds , Kaylon Horton return for 19 yds to the UNT 29

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 8 yds for a TD (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -2.49
1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the FIU 49

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.54

Kejon Owens run for 47 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UNT 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adam Jacklin punt for 30 yds

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the UNT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Lucas Matias kickoff for 65 yds , Kaylon Horton return for 16 yds to the UNT 16

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chandler Rogers run for 14 yds to the UNT 30 North Texas Penalty, Offensive holding (Landon Sides) to the UNT 20

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the UNT 23

4th & 3Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +4.56

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Damon Ward for 59 yds to the FIU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 19

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Isaiah Johnson run for 11 yds to the FIU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Roderic Burns

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Damon Ward 10 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Chandler Rogers 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jordan Smart

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the FIU 24

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Kejon Owens 6 Yd Run (Keyone Jenkins Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 27 yds to the UNT 48 for a 1ST down

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the UNT 42

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Lucas Matias kickoff for 66 yds , Kaylon Horton return for 24 yds to the UNT 38

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.83

pass incomplete to Trey Cleveland

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31
2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kejon Owens run for 4 yds to the FIU 26

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30
4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 22

Situational Analysis

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Florida International

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
20 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays