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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Colorado 33%

Market (Bovada)

Colorado -3

Edge: Nebraska +3 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
007714
ColoradoColorado
013101336

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-013-020-723-729-736-736-14
ColoradoNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBCOLNEBTO838ydPUNT1230ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydPUNT520ydPUNT614ydMISS964ydPUNT31ydTO1-5ydFG46ydTO3-2ydTD130ydPUNT513ydFG650ydDOWNS741ydTD466ydTD1075ydPUNT3-6ydFG855ydTO325ydTD965ydDOWNS930ydTD655ydDOWNS520ydTO52ydTD657yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Colorado
StatisticNebraskaColorado
Passing11-2232-44
Pass Yards119396
Rush Yards22258
Total Yards341454
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-139-18
Penalties6-409-80
Possession29:4130:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Jeff Sims
9/15, 106 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gabe Ervin
17 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Billy Kemp
5 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Colorado
passing
Shedeur Sanders
31/42, 393 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dylan Edwards
9 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Xavier Weaver
10 REC, 170 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jeff Sims run for no gain to the NEB 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.76

Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 17 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.31

Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 21 yds to the COLO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 33

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 2 yds to the COLO 31

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -2.78

Jeff Sims run for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 35 Jeff Sims fumbled, recovered by COLO Arden Walker

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the COLO 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dylan Edwards run for no gain to the COLO 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.36

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 9 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the COLO 34

2nd & 24Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 14 yds to the COLO 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.90

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 11 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan Edwards run for 5 yds to the NEB 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NEB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Colorado Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Shedeur Sanders) to the NEB 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 35 yds for a touchback

2nd & 23Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Shedeur Sanders run for 14 yds to the NEB 30

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (Jack Bailey) to the NEB 35

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jeff Sims pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 3 yds to the NEB 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 5 yds to the NEB 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the NEB 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 6 yds to the NEB 13

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 9 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 25

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Ethan Piper) to the NEB 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the NEB 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Cameron Lenhardt for a loss of 3 yards to the COLO 40

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.18

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Cameron Lenhardt for a loss of 6 yards to the NEB 41

3rd & 16Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Nick Henrich for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 43

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 34 yds, downed at the NEB 9

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.58

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 26 yds to the NEB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for no gain to the NEB 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.64

Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 18 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the COLO 43

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.93

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 13 yds to the COLO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the COLO 24

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 25

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Luke Lindenmeyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 27 Luke Lindenmeyer fumbled, recovered by NEB Luke Lindenmeyer

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Tristan Alvano 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the COLO 27

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the COLO 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 29

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -1.22

Jeff Sims run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 19 Jeff Sims fumbled, recovered by COLO Jordan Domineck

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 6 yds to the NEB 13

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for no gain to the NEB 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 yds

Jace Feely 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 5 yds to the NEB 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 28

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 23

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.21

Jeff Sims pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 30 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 9 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Nebraska Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) to the NEB 37

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.10

Jeff Sims sacked by Leonard Payne Jr. and Taijh Alston for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 30

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the NEB 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 25 yds, downed at the COLO 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Shedeur Sanders run for 2 yds to the COLO 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.57

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 22 yds to the NEB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the NEB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 10 yds to the NEB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Sy'veon Wilkerson for 4 yds to the NEB 13

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jace Feely 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 4 yds to the COLO 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.10

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 40 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the NEB 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 5 yds to the NEB 31

3rd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the NEB 33

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.45

Jimmy Horn Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the NEB 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Jeff Sims sacked by Taijh Alston for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 43

2nd & 17Rushing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +6.36

Jeff Sims run for 57 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the COLO 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 9 yds to the COLO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.13

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 41 yds to the NEB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (Tar'Varish Dawson) to the NEB 27

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the NEB 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 8 yds to the NEB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the NEB 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.26

Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 12 yards to the NEB 13

2nd & 22Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jeff Sims pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 7 yds to the COLO 41

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (Travis Hunter) to the COLO 36

2nd & 8Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.14

Dylan Edwards run for 34 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 19 yds to the NEB 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the NEB 7

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SANDERS, Shedeur pass up the middle incomplete intended for HUNTER, Travis thrown to the NEB0. PENALTY NEB Pass Interference on HARTZOG, Malcolm enforced 5 yards to the NEB2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 1 yd to the NEB 1

3rd & 1Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.18

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Riley Van Poppel and Luke Reimer for a loss of 10 yards to the NEB 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jace Feely 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Marcus Washington) to the NEB 20

1st & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.77

Jeff Sims run for 17 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 16 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.39

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 15 fumbled, recovered by COLO Bishop Thomas for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the NEB 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the COLO 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (Jack Bailey) to the COLO 42

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the COLO 44

2nd & 13Penalty-15 yds

Colorado Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Landon Bebee) to the COLO 41

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.63

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 17 yds to the NEB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 7 yds to the NEB 35

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Anthony Hankerson run for 14 yds to the NEB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 13 yds to the NEB 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Tar'Varish Dawson 8 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Rahmir Johnson run for 9 yds to the NEB 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Rahmir Johnson run for 6 yds to the NEB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the NEB 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.47

Heinrich Haarberg run for 10 yds to the COLO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 1 yd to the COLO 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the COLO 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the COLO 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 39 yds to the NEB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.16

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 10 yards to the NEB 22

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 16 yds to the NEB 6

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Shedeur Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD (Jace Feely KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Rahmir Johnson run for 11 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 9 yds to the NEB 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the NEB 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Charlie Offerdahl run for 6 yds to the NEB 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Staub pass complete to Willie Gaines for 3 yds to the NEB 36

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Ryan Staub pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.09

Ryan Staub sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the NEB 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Heinrich Haarberg pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Heinrich Haarberg run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.01

Rahmir Johnson run for 44 yds to the COLO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLO 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLO 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Heinrich Haarberg pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play