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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 20.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 90%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas -38.5

Edge: Kent State +38.5 (18.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
33006
ArkansasArkansas
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-614-621-628-6
ArkansasKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSARKKSARKKSKSARKKSARKKSARKARKKSARKKSARKKSARKPUNT513ydPUNT36ydFG1151ydPUNT615ydTD10ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-12ydFG1052ydTD875ydPUNT627ydEND212ydDOWNS47ydPUNT3-16ydTD1291ydPUNT620ydTD1573ydDOWNS1070ydEND1161yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Arkansas
StatisticKent StateArkansas
Passing11-1713-19
Pass Yards174136
Rush Yards26172
Total Yards200308
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-129-14
Penalties5-394-34
Possession27:4432:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Michael Alaimo
11/17, 174 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gavin Garcia
18 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Trell Harris
4 REC, 78 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
13/19, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
AJ Green
15 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Isaac Teslaa
3 REC, 51 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 8 yds to the KENT 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the KENT 41

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 43

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Michael Alaimo sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 38

4th & 13Punt+8 yds

Josh Smith punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 29

4th & 13Punt+8 yds

Josh Smith punt for 41 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 8 yds to the ARK 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon Wilson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon Wilson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the KENT 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.31

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 22 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 4 yds to the KENT 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 11 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the ARK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KSU False Start (Obidegwu,Jimto) 5 yards from ARK24 to ARK29. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the ARK 28

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the ARK 23

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.24

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 30

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.24

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 30

4th & 16Field Goal Good+48 yds

Andrew Glass 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds to the ARK 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 2 yds to the ARK 24

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.28

KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jaedon Wilson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 27

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+25 ydsPPA -8.07

Antonio Grier 25 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the KENT 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Alaimo run for 2 yds to the KENT 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 35

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the ARK 37

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

KJ Jefferson sacked by Matt Harmon for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 30

4th & 17Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ARK Delay Of Game 5 yards from ARK30 to ARK25. NO PLAY.

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Gavin rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KSU26 (Gregory,Eric) PENALTY ARK Personal Foul (Jeffcoat,Trajan) 15 yards from KSU28 to KSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 47

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Gavin Garcia run for 10 yds to the ARK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 12 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the ARK 27

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the ARK 27

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Alaimo,Michael pass complete short left to McCray,Chrishon for 8 yards to the ARK19, out of bounds at ARK19 PENALTY ARK Holding (Grier,Antonio) 10 yards from ARK27 to ARK17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 14

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.00

Michael Alaimo sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 20

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Xavier Williams run for no gain to the ARK 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the ARK 14

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.00

Michael Alaimo sacked by John Morgan III for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 20

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Xavier Williams run for no gain to the ARK 20

4th & 13Field Goal Good+38 yds

Andrew Glass 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 34

2nd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.47

AJ Green run for 23 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

AJ Green run for 2 yds to the KENT 45

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Luke Hasz

3rd & 12Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.35

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 36 yds to the KENT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the KENT 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the KENT 1

3rd & 1Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY ARK Delay Of Game 4 yards from KSU01 to KSU05. NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the KENT 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the KENT 34

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Gavin Garcia run for 15 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Michael Alaimo sacked by Jaheim Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the KENT 44

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Gavin Garcia run for 8 yds to the ARK 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 14

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 23

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the ARK 26 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for no gain to the ARK 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the ARK 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the ARK 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the ARK 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Michael Alaimo) to the ARK 48

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the ARK 9

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 9 yds to the ARK 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARK 25

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the ARK 30

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.45

KJ Jefferson run for 18 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.38

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 31 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the KENT 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 3 yds to the KENT 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.19

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 12 yds to the KENT 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the KENT 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Chrishon McCray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Justin Holmes for 13 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 16 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the ARK 46

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the ARK 44

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.99

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the KENT 45

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the ARK 34

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for 7 yds to the ARK 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.60

KJ Jefferson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 40

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 7 yds to the ARK 47

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

KJ Jefferson run for 9 yds to the KENT 44

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dominique Johnson run for 2 yds to the KENT 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.92

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 10 yds to the KENT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the KENT 26

2nd & 7Penalty+14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,KJ pass incomplete deep right to TeSlaa,Isaac PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Nicholl,Rocco) 14 yards from KSU26 to KSU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the KENT 9

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the KENT 31

2nd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Michael Alaimo sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.69

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 33 yds to the ARK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ARK 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Michael Alaimo pass incomplete to Luke Floriea

3rd & 11Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.78

Michael Alaimo pass complete to Trell Harris for 36 yds to the ARK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ARK 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the ARK 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Alaimo run for no gain to the ARK 1

4th & 1Rush+4 yds

Gavin Garcia run for 4 yds to the ARK 5

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

AJ Green run for 8 yds to the ARK 13

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 22

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the ARK 25

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST down Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryce Sheppert) to the ARK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the KENT 49

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Rashod Dubinion run for 5 yds to the KENT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Rashod Dubinion run for 9 yds to the KENT 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dominique Johnson run for 5 yds to the KENT 37

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the KENT 34

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
0%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays