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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 23

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 92%

Market (Bovada)

Texas A&M -38

Edge: New Mexico +38 (15.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
073010
Texas A&MTexas A&M
72871052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-728-735-735-1042-1049-1052-10
Texas A&MNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTATANMTANMTANMTANMTANMPUNT1042ydTD785ydPUNT53ydTD545ydTD688ydTD667ydPUNT30ydTD538ydTO3-7ydTD537ydPUNT48ydEND728ydPUNT3-6ydFG1251ydTD970ydPUNT618ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT3-4ydTD655ydDOWNS742ydFG940ydEND28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Texas A&M
StatisticNew MexicoTexas A&M
Passing16-2824-34
Pass Yards131277
Rush Yards91134
Total Yards222411
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-133-7
Penalties10-1149-88
Possession34:2025:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Dylan Hopkins
15/24, 115 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jacory Merritt
11 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeremiah Hixon
6 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Conner Weigman
18/23, 236 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Amari Daniels
7 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Evan Stewart
8 REC, 115 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Josh DeBerry
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the UNM 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.76

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 5 yds to the TA&M 45

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 40

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Christian Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 41

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington

4th & 12Punt+1 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 27 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TA&M 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 18

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Conner Weigman run for 17 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Weigman, Conner pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 5 yards to the TEXASAM40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Noa Pola-Gates) to the UNM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 21 yds Evan Stewart fumbled, recovered by TA&M Bryce Foster for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the UNM 15

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.77

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 7 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the UNM 37

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Washington, Christian rush for 1 yard to the NEWMEXICO38, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding (Matautia, Shancco) 10 yards to the NEWMEXICO27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 1 yd to the UNM 27

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Luke Wysong

4th & 18Punt+18 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (15 Yards) to the UNM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the UNM 38

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the UNM 36

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.59

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 35 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hixon, Jeremiah rush for loss of 7 yards to the NEWMEXICO5, PENALTY TEXASAM face mask (Stewart, Shemar) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 9 yds to the UNM 36

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Christian Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 40

2nd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.11

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 22 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 11 yds to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 27 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 37

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Weigman, Conner pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the UNM 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.02

Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.70

Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the UNM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rueben Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 34

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.70

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 34 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington

4th & 10Punt+44 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds to the TA&M 33 , Ainias Smith returns for 44 yds to the UNM 23 Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Martrell Harris Jr.) to the UNM 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.36

Amari Daniels run for 27 yds to the UNM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the UNM 8

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the UNM 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Washington run for no gain to the UNM 21

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hopkins, Dylan rush for 7 yards to the NEWMEXICO28, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding (James, CJ) 10 yards to the NEWMEXICO11, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Christian Washington for 3 yds to the UNM 14

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.35

Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted by Josh DeBerry return for no gain to the UNM 37

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Conner Weigman run for 14 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the UNM 14

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.40

Rueben Owens run for 5 yds to the UNM 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jake Johnson

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 33

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the UNM 36

3rd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Christian Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 33

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 33 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TA&M 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Weigman, Conner pass complete to Thomas, Noah for 40 yards to the NEWMEXICO18, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Owens, Rueben) 10 yards to the TEXASAM32, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Conner Weigman pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.49

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 22 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the UNM 30

3rd & 6Blocked Field Goal+48 yds

Randy Bond 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tavian Combs

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 5 yds to the TA&M 28

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Conner Weigman sacked by Syaire Riley for a loss of 9 yards to the TA&M 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the UNM 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 5 yds to the UNM 43

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.16

Sherod White run for 9 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Dylan Hopkins sacked by Josh DeBerry for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 45

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Sherod White run for 2 yds to the UNM 47

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Dylan Hopkins run for 13 yds to the TA&M 40

4th & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 2 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the TA&M 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shemar Turner) to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

Hopkins, Dylan pass incomplete to Davis, Ryan, PENALTY TEXASAM unnecessary roughness (Chappell, Tyreek) 7 yards to the TEXASAM8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.

1st & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 11

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 yds

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the TA&M 10

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 yds

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to D.J. Washington

4th & 13Field Goal Good+27 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rueben Owens run for 3 yds to the TA&M 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 9 yds to the UNM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.00

Conner Weigman pass complete to Ainias Smith for 27 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the UNM 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 8 yds to the UNM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Rueben Owens run for no gain to the UNM 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 8 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the UNM 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the UNM 12

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to D.J. Washington for 6 yds to the UNM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the UNM 23

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Sherod White run for 1 yd to the UNM 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for no gain to the TA&M 26

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.35

Max Johnson sacked by Kyler Drake for a loss of 15 yards to the TA&M 11 Texas A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Max Johnson) to the TA&M 11

2nd & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the TA&M 16

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

4th & 20Punt+49 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 49 yds , Luke Wysong returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 34

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.66

Dylan Hopkins sacked by Shemar Turner for a loss of 6 yards to the UNM 28

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Christian Washington for 2 yds to the UNM 30

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+25 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TA&M 30 for a 1ST down New Mexico Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (15 Yards) to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Johnson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 9 yds to the UNM 49

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 46

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Thomas, Noah, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Rueben Owens run for 14 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 11 yds to the UNM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the UNM 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 12 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Dorian Lewis run for 9 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Dorian Lewis run for 8 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.18

DC Tabscott pass complete to Duece Jones for 16 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Roughing Passer (Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy) to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

DC Tabscott pass incomplete to Caleb Medford

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Dorian Lewis run for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 38

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

DC Tabscott pass incomplete to Ryan Davis

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

DC Tabscott pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the TA&M 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+8 yds

Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Melin Ohrstrom, Theo, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Pola-Gates, Noa) 8 yards to the TEXASAM48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

David Bailey run for 13 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the UNM 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Max Johnson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 8 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the UNM 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jahdae Walker

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the UNM 22

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Randy Bond 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dorian Lewis run for 1 yd to the UNM 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Dorian Lewis run for 7 yds to the UNM 28

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
73%
15 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play