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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 15.4

Home Win Probability

SMU 83%

Market (Bovada)

SMU -21

Edge: Louisiana Tech +21 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
007714
SMUSMU
14170738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284217-024-031-738-738-14
SMULouisiana Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMULTSMULTSMULTLTSMULTSMULTLTSMUSMULTSMULTSMULTSMULTSMULTSMUPUNT815ydPUNT43ydPUNT3-4ydMISS640ydTD167ydTD2-2ydPUNT3-1ydFG941ydPUNT628ydTD1198ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT532ydPUNT36ydTD492ydTD475ydMISS1343ydPUNT33ydMISS1056ydDOWNS731ydDOWNS627ydDOWNS722ydTD1346ydTD865ydEND14yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana Tech and SMU
StatisticLouisiana TechSMU
Passing21-3323-38
Pass Yards241248
Rush Yards28209
Total Yards269457
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-147-19
Penalties5-546-42
Possession26:0133:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana Tech
passing
Hank Bachmeier
21/33, 241 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Charvis Thornton
8 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Koby Duru
3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense
SMU
passing
Preston Stone
23/37, 248 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
LJ Johnson Jr.
14 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Hudson
2 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaylan Knighton run for 12 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SMU 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 5 yds to the SMU 44

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SMU 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Preston Stone pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.84

Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 45

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, False Start (Roderick Daniels Jr.) to the SMU 40

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.54

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 14 yds to the LT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Alexander Kilgore for a loss of 5 yards to the LT 16

2nd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 1 yd to the LT 17

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.09

Hank Bachmeier sacked by JaQwondis Burns for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 10

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Preston Stone run for 1 yd to the SMU 38

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SMU 43

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(08:07) STONE, Preston pass deep up the middle complete for 35 yards to BAILEY, Jake caught at the LAT25 and advanced to the LAT22 (RANDLE, Brevin), clock 07:57. PENALTY SMU Holding on PARR, Logan enforced 10 yards from the SMU43 to the SMU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the LT 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charvis Thornton run for 5 yds to the LT 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.78

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 31 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the SMU 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the SMU 33

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Buck Buchanan 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 67 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 23

2nd & 12Interception Return Touchdown+16 ydsPPA -7.04

Kori Roberson 16 Yd Interception Return (Collin Rogers Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Keith Willis Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the SMU 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.50

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 14 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

(01:10) STONE, Preston pass up the middle incomplete intended for KNIGHTON, Jaylan thrown to the LAT25, clock 01:09. PENALTY LAT Pass Interference on HEARD, Myles enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the LAT25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the LT 25

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Jaylan Knighton run for 12 yds to the LT 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 15

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 17

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+34 yds

Collin Rogers 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacob Fields run for 5 yds to the LT 29

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

SMU Penalty, Illegal Shift (5 Yards) to the LT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jacob Fields run for 2 yds to the LT 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LT 36

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(12:11) BACHMEIER, Hank pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MAXWELL, Kyle thrown to the SMU43, clock 12:12. PENALTY SMU Pass Interference on WOODS, Charles enforced 15 yards to the SMU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Charvis Thornton run for 3 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Charvis Thornton run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 46 yds, downed at the SMU 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SMU 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SMU 9

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the SMU 10

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 53 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the SMU 10 Louisiana Tech Penalty, Chop Block (Myles Heard) to the SMU 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Preston Stone run for 7 yds to the SMU 22

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.16

Preston Stone pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 43 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LT 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the LT 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LT 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the LT 9

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Preston Stone pass complete to Nolan Matthews-Harris for 9 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Nelson Paul for a loss of 6 yards to the LT 29

2nd & 16Sack0 ydsPPA -0.25

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Jordan Miller and Kori Roberson for 0 yards to the LT 29

3rd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Charvis Thornton for 4 yds to the LT 33

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Delay Of Game (Myles Heard) to the LT 28

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Charvis Thornton run for 8 yds to the LT 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.90

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 24 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Charvis Thornton run for no gain to the SMU 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jonathan McGill at the SMU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Preston Stone pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 3 yds to the SMU 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the LT 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+67 ydsPPA +4.15

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 67 yds to the LT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Preston Stone pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.76

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 25 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 22 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Koby Duru for no gain to the LT 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +6.21

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Koby Duru for 53 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

SMU Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the SMU 2

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the SMU 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Preston Stone run for 3 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for no gain to the SMU 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Preston Stone pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Brevin Randle) to the LT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the LT 44

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the LT 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the LT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LT 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Collin Rogers 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the LT 38

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the LT 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Preston Stone pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 3 yds to the SMU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 15 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 14 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 12 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.27

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the LT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LT 16

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 3 yards to the LT 19

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Collin Rogers 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Alexander Kilgore for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 13

2nd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.47

Hank Bachmeier run for 13 yds to the LT 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 19 yds to the LT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Charvis Thornton for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 43

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the LT 43

3rd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Charvis Thornton run for 8 yds to the SMU 49

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Preston Stone pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 17 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the LT 33

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the LT 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the LT 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the LT 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LT 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Koby Duru for 2 yds to the LT 28

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SMU Penalty, Offsides (Elijah Chatman) to the LT 33

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.21

Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the LT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Elijah Roberts for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 31

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LT 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 11 yds to the LT 46

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Charvis Thornton run for no gain to the LT 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Preston Stone pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Preston Stone pass complete to Romello Brinson for 7 yds to the LT 39

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.20

Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the LT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the LT 32

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the LT 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 5 yds to the LT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 1 yd to the LT 21

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

STONE, Preston pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BAILEY, Jake thrown to the LAT0, clock 03:43. PENALTY LAT Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Cecil enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the LAT6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 5 yds to the LT 1

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Kerley for no gain to the LT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Keith Willis Jr. for 3 yds to the LT 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.04

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Matthew McCallister for 17 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the SMU 43

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Keith Willis Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.96

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Julien Lewis for 37 yds to the SMU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Keith Willis Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zane Minors run for 4 yds to the SMU 29

Situational Analysis

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
21 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
11%
9 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
31 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
42%
19 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
75%
4 plays