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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 0.9

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 48%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina +2.5

Edge: North Carolina +2.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
770317
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
71014031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1014-1714-2414-3117-31
North CarolinaSouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCPUNT3-2ydTD970ydTD875ydDOWNS1354ydPUNT3-1ydFG1342ydTD572ydTD575ydPUNT617ydEND1-1ydDOWNS46ydTD653ydPUNT3-7ydTD855ydPUNT413ydTO540ydFG1261ydTO20ydDOWNS820ydPUNT413ydDOWNS848ydPUNT424ydDOWNS730ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and North Carolina
StatisticSouth CarolinaNorth Carolina
Passing30-3924-32
Pass Yards353269
Rush Yards-2168
Total Yards351437
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-148-13
Penalties6-357-49
Possession27:2332:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Spencer Rattler
30/39, 353 YDS
rushing
Dakereon Joyner
12 CAR, 23 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Legette
9 REC, 178 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Drake Maye
24/32, 269 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
British Brooks
15 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Kobe Paysour
7 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Xavier Legette run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for no gain to the SC 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 8 yds to the UNC 38

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

British Brooks run for 5 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 8 yds to the SC 49

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.64

British Brooks run for 15 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tychaun Chapman run for 7 yds to the SC 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.58

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 18 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Rush+3 yds

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the SC 6

2nd & 0Rush+5 yds

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the SC 1

3rd & 0Rushing Touchdown+1 yds

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD South Carolina Penalty, 12 Men on the Field ( Yards) declined (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SC 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 16 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.41

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 37 yds to the UNC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the UNC 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds to the UNC 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 14 yds to the UNC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Rushing Touchdown+4 yds

Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Mitch Jeter kickoff for 58 yds , George Pettaway return for 16 yds to the UNC 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the UNC 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 13 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Drake Maye pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 4 yds to the UNC 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.49

Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 6 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 6 yds to the SC 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 4 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Omarion Hampton run for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 46

2nd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.85

Drake Maye run for 16 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the SC 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drake Maye pass complete to George Pettaway for no gain to the SC 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 6 yds to the SC 23

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.16

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin Blackwell

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 20

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the SC 26

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.69

Spencer Rattler sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNC 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the UNC 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 13 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the SC 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the SC 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kobe Paysour

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the SC 29

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Penalty, False Start (Corey Gaynor) to the SC 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.30

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 18 yds to the SC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Penalty, False Start (J.J. Jones) to the SC 21

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the SC 26

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 6 yds to the SC 20

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Andre Greene Jr.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin Blackwell

4th & 14Field Goal Good+37 yds

Ryan Coe 37 yd FG GOOD

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Legette return for 28 yds to the SC 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 yds

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 29 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 20 yds to the UNC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Juju McDowell run for no gain to the UNC 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.58

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 22 yds to the UNC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Rushing Touchdown+1 yds

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+1 yds

North Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the UNC 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 5 yds to the UNC 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.82

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 28 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the SC 34

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +5.50

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 34 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the SC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.92

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 19 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 43

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Antwane Wells Jr.) to the SC 38

2nd & 17Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the SC 44 South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (O'Mega Blake) to the SC 34

2nd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 12 yds to the SC 46

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Spencer Rattler sacked by Cedric Gray and Beau Atkinson for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trey Knox

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the UNC 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean Brown

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean Brown

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 5 yds to the SC 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

British Brooks run for 1 yd to the SC 47

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the SC 44

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.47

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.25

Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 37 yds to the SC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Rushing Touchdown+1 yds

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 25

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.30

Spencer Rattler sacked by Amari Gainer for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 16 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 4 yds to the SC 35

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.09

Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the SC 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the SC 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.04

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 5 yds to the SC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Andre Greene Jr.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +7.00

Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

North Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Copenhaver) to the UNC 20

2nd & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 68 yds , Xavier Legette return for 15 yds to the SC 27

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Spencer Rattler run for 15 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SC 46

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.76

Spencer Rattler sacked by Beau Atkinson for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 4 yds to the UNC 29

3rd & 1Rush+29 yds

British Brooks run for 29 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

British Brooks run for 2 yds to the SC 40

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -1.38

Drake Maye pass intercepted O'Donnell Fortune return for 5 yds to the SC 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 6 yds to the SC 36

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Juju McDowell run for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 31

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to O'Mega Blake

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 10 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.68

Spencer Rattler sacked by Desmond Evans for a loss of 9 yards to the SC 44

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Jakai Moore) to the SC 39

2nd & 24Penalty+10 yds

Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC holding (Holloway, Tayon) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.19

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 33 yds to the UNC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 5 yds to the UNC 13 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Don Chapman) to the UNC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Pass Reception-1 yds

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 7

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the UNC 5

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.08

Spencer Rattler sacked by Tomari Fox for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 8

4th & 0Field Goal Good+26 yds

Mitch Jeter 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 25

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+17 ydsPPA -3.85

Drake Maye pass intercepted Kajuan Banks return for 17 yds to the UNC 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Legette, Xavier, PENALTY SOCAROLINA illegal formation 5 yards to the UNC43, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Juju McDowell

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.13

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 14 yds to the UNC 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the UNC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Payton Mangrum for 12 yds to the UNC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 3 yds to the UNC 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.27

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for no gain to the UNC 13

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.19

Spencer Rattler sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 12 yards to the UNC 25 South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Spencer Rattler) to the UNC 25

4th & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the UNC 18

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

British Brooks run for 10 yds to the UNC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

British Brooks run for no gain to the UNC 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin Blackwell

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 3 yds to the UNC 31

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the SC 30

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Rattler, Spencer pass complete to Legette, Xavier for 12 yards to the SOCAROLINA42, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Fugar, Sidney) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA20, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 9 yds to the SC 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.52

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 24 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 12 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 24 yds to the UNC 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.60

Spencer Rattler sacked by Amari Gainer for a loss of 10 yards to the UNC 21

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

3rd & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.05

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 22

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.38

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.60

British Brooks run for 16 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNC 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the SC 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 yds

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 5 yds to the SC 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 9 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Spencer Rattler run for 15 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Spencer Rattler sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 10 yards to the SC 27

2nd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 32

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 37

4th & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.22

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the SC 38

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 40

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 41

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays