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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Missouri 78%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri -28

Edge: South Dakota +28 (15.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota
030710
MissouriMissouri
14140735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-321-328-328-1035-10
MissouriSouth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISSDMISSDMISSDMISSDMISSDMISSDSDMISSDMISSDMISSDMISSDPUNT522ydPUNT32ydTD652ydPUNT34ydTD738ydPUNT3-1ydMISS624ydFG1247ydTD1481ydPUNT37ydTD683ydEND19ydDOWNS1741ydMISS741ydPUNT623ydTO410ydTD329ydPUNT48ydPUNT52ydTD978ydEND522yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota and Missouri
StatisticSouth DakotaMissouri
Passing15-2520-26
Pass Yards148226
Rush Yards46211
Total Yards194437
Turnovers01
3rd Down2-136-10
Penalties6-577-56
Possession30:5829:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
15/25, 148 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Travis Theis
17 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Jack Martens
8 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
17/21, 172 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cody Schrader
18 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luther Burden III
7 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 5 yds to the MIZ 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 5 yds to the MIZ 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDAK 15

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for no gain to the SDAK 17

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Cody Schrader run for 13 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 3 yds to the SDAK 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the SDAK 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Luther Burden III run for 2 yds to the SDAK 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SDAK 18

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.04

Mekhi Miller 18 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Harrison Mevis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the SDAK 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.25

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds to the SDAK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

COOK, Brady pass up the middle complete for 0 yards to BURDEN, Luther caught at the USD21 and advanced to the USD18 (HILLIS, Stephen). PENALTY Before the snap, USD Illegal Substitution on FRYAR, Parker enforced 5 yards from the USD18 to the USD13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Nathaniel Peat run for 13 yds Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDAK 21

1st & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the SDAK 14

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the SDAK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the SDAK 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDAK 25

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Aidan Bouman sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. and Nyles Gaddy for a loss of 7 yards to the SDAK 18

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDAK 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the SDAK 45

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.01

Nathaniel Peat run for 10 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 8 yds to the SDAK 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Harrison Mevis 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 6 yds to the SDAK 38

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the SDAK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 19 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 10 yds to the MIZ 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 11 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

run for no gain to the MIZ 12

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

BOUMAN, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for BELL, Carter thrown to the MIZ0. PENALTY MIZ Holding on ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MIZ12 to the MIZ6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Travis Theis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 10

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -2.33

Travis Theis run for a loss of 14 yards to the MIZ 24 Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by SDAK

3rd & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Aidan Bouman run for 1 yd to the MIZ 23

4th & 23Field Goal Good+40 yds

Will Leyland 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the MIZ 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 4 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 37

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Cody Schrader run for 12 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SCHRADER, Cody rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the USD41 (TILLMON, Roman;SHORTER, Dennis). PENALTY MIZ Holding on FOSTER, Javon enforced 10 yards from the MIZ49 to the MIZ39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the MIZ 34

1st & 25Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the MIZ 34

2nd & 25Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Targeting on SHORTER, Dennis enforced (Dennis Shorter) to the SDAK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Cody Schrader run for 13 yds to the SDAK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SDAK 18

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the SDAK 12

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the SDAK 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the SDAK 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

MEVIS, Harrison PAT kick attempt missed (wide right). PENALTY USD Offsides on HARDEN, Myles enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the USD3 to the USD2. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDAK 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 15 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 30 yds to the SDAK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.05

Brady Cook sacked by Brendan Webb and Micah Roane for a loss of 6 yards to the SDAK 44

2nd & 16Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.44

Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 19 yds to the SDAK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

COOK, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for MILLER, Mekhi thrown to the USD10. PENALTY USD Holding on REAVES, Dominic enforced 10 yards from the USD25 to the USD15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Brady Cook run for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Travis Theis run for 9 yds to the SDAK 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Mike Mansaray run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 13

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 14 yds to the SDAK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mike Mansaray run for no gain to the SDAK 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.23

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 12 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mike Mansaray run for no gain to the SDAK 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 7 yds to the SDAK 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

run for 2 yds to the SDAK 48

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.35

Mike Mansaray run for 4 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 3 yds to the MIZ 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 6 yds to the MIZ 39

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.84

Mike Mansaray run for 3 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Travis Theis run for no gain to the MIZ 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.94

Aidan Bouman sacked by Marvin Burks Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the MIZ 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Horn run for 6 yds to the MIZ 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.54

Sam Horn pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 31 yds to the SDAK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Horn run for no gain to the SDAK 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mookie Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDAK 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sam Horn pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Harrison Mevis 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mike Mansaray run for 6 yds to the SDAK 26

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike Mansaray run for 4 yds to the SDAK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 12 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Aidan Bouman run for 1 yd to the SDAK 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 35 yds

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 28

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the MIZ 37

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Armand Membou) to the MIZ 32

2nd & 12Penalty+10 yds

South Dakota Penalty, Illegal Block (Shahid Barros) to the SDAK 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 23 yds to the MIZ 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mike Mansaray run for no gain to the MIZ 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Mike Mansaray for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37

2nd & 3Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.13

Sam Horn run for a loss of 7 yards to the MIZ 32

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.73

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 39 Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mookie Cooper) to the MIZ 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Horn pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 8 yds to the MIZ 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 15 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Aidan Bouman run for 1 yd to the SDAK 37

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

BOUMAN, Aidan pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to BELL, Carter caught at the USD42 and advanced to the USD42 (NORWOOD, Dreyden). PENALTY USD Face mask on ELLINGSON, Caden enforced 15 yards from the USD37 to the USD22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tyler Ebel punt for 49 yds , Luther Burden III returns for no gain to the MIZ 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 26

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 30

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.42

Cody Schrader run for 42 yds to the SDAK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the SDAK 21

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.70

Nathaniel Peat run for 13 yds to the SDAK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 12

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 15

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.54

Sam Horn pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aidan Bouman run for 3 yds to the SDAK 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 12 yds to the SDAK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the SDAK 42

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nate Thomas run for 5 yds to the SDAK 47

Situational Analysis

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
26%
23 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
31%
16 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
42%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
78%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th