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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 7.5

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 68%

Market (Bovada)

Mississippi State -31.5

Edge: SE Louisiana +31.5 (24.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SE Louisiana
07007
Mississippi StateMississippi State
31772148

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-717-720-734-741-748-7
Mississippi StateSE Louisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSSLMSSLMSSLMSSLMSSLMSSLMSSLMSSLSLMSSLMSSLMSPUNT521ydPUNT530ydFG1256ydPUNT36ydPUNT520ydTO19ydTD336ydTD1679ydTD1075ydPUNT34ydFG629ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS1151ydPUNT616ydTD682ydTD30ydPUNT36ydTD685ydPUNT34ydTD472ydDOWNS837ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SE Louisiana and Mississippi State
StatisticSE LouisianaMississippi State
Passing16-2820-29
Pass Yards125227
Rush Yards83298
Total Yards208525
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-155-11
Penalties5-251-15
Possession28:5831:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SE Louisiana
passing
Eli Sawyer
11/19, 85 YDS
rushing
Harlan Dixon
8 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Harlan Dixon
4 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Ian Goodly
0.5 TFL
Mississippi State
passing
Will Rogers
20/29, 227 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
19 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jo'quavious Marks
4 REC, 59 YDS
defense
Nathaniel Watson
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the MSST 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 13 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 3 yds to the MSST 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jo'Quavious Marks run for no gain to the MSST 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Harlan Dixon run for 14 yds to the SELA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Zachary Clement pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 16 yds to the SELA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.75

Zachary Clement run for a loss of 9 yards to the SELA 40 Zachary Clement fumbled, recovered by SELA Zachary Clement

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Harlan Dixon run for 6 yds to the SELA 46

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Zachary Clement pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 8 yds Harlan Dixon fumbled, recovered by SELA Harlan Dixon

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

SE Louisiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SELA 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 36 yds, downed at the MSST 15

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Mike Wright run for 16 yds to the MSST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.31

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 10 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 15 yds to the SELA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Lideatrick Griffin run for no gain to the SELA 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Will Rogers pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 11 yds to the SELA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Creed Whittemore run for 4 yds to the SELA 20

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.42

Will Rogers sacked by Khamron Ford for a loss of 9 yards to the SELA 29

4th & 15Field Goal Good+47 yds

Kyle Ferrie 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zachary Clement pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zachary Clement pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SELA 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Zachary Clement pass complete to Darius Lewis for 11 yds to the SELA 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 9 yds to the MSST 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Davis run for 2 yds to the MSST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the MSST 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 2 yds to the MSST 31

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the MSST 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darius Lewis at the SELA 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.07

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Jacob Logan for 9 yds fumbled, forced by Nathaniel Watson, recovered by MSST Nathaniel Watson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 3 yds to the SELA 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.30

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 32 yds to the SELA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SELA 16

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Harlan Dixon run for no gain to the SELA 16

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SELA 11

3rd & 20Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.52

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 28 yds to the SELA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Xavier Hill for 5 yds to the SELA 44

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Harlan Dixon run for no gain to the SELA 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.48

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Darius Lewis for 12 yds to the MSST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Harlan Dixon run for 14 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 6 yds to the MSST 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Harlan Dixon run for 3 yds to the MSST 21

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Deantre Jackson run for 8 yds to the MSST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Deantre Jackson run for 3 yds to the MSST 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.48

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Da'shun Hugley for 7 yds to the MSST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 1 yd to the MSST 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Zachary Clement pass complete to Jacob Logan for 2 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 14 yds to the MSST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the MSST 40

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.28

Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 9 yds to the SELA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 3 yds to the SELA 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the SELA 38

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.85

Jeffery Pittman run for 5 yds to the SELA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 33 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 4 yds to the SELA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 4 yds to the MSST 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.78

Will Rogers pass complete to Antonio Harmon for 17 yds to the SELA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the SELA 33

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the SELA 31

4th & 2Field Goal Good+49 yds

Kyle Ferrie 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Marlon Hauck kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the SELA 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zachary Clement pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 3 yds to the SELA 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zachary Clement pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.18

Zachary Clement sacked by Nathaniel Watson for a loss of 11 yards to the SELA 33

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 3 yds to the MSST 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 9 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.64

Will Rogers pass complete to Jacoby Bellazar for 13 yds to the SELA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the SELA 39

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 10 yds to the SELA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Lideatrick Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELA 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 8 yds to the SELA 23

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.17

Will Rogers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 4 yds to the SELA 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 4 yds to the SELA 31

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Harlan Dixon run for 11 yds to the SELA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 2 yds to the SELA 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.93

Eli Sawyer sacked by Nathaniel Watson and Jaden Crumedy for a loss of 5 yards to the SELA 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 43 yds, downed at the MSST 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Seth Davis run for 4 yds to the MSST 22

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Mike Wright run for 11 yds to the MSST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.88

Mike Wright run for 53 yds to the SELA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jeffery Pittman run for 9 yds to the SELA 5

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jeffery Pittman run for no gain to the SELA 5

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Eli Sawyer sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SELA 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 3 yds to the SELA 22

4th & 10Blocked Punt Touchdown+11 ydsPPA -6.69

Avery Sledge 11 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cyrus Zuell run for 5 yds to the SELA 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Cyrus Zuell run for 1 yd to the SELA 31

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zachary Clement run for no gain to the SELA 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 54 yds, downed at the MSST 15

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.93

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 37 yds to the SELA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the SELA 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 5 yds to the SELA 41

3rd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.61

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 23 yds to the SELA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 12 yds to the SELA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Harlan Dixon run for 3 yds to the SELA 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zachary Clement pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Mike Williams run for 1 yd to the SELA 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Dunlap punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Simeon Price run for 6 yds to the MSST 34

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keyvone Lee run for 4 yds to the MSST 47

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.63

Creed Whittemore run for 53 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 12 yds to the SELA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 4 yds to the SELA 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Eli Sawyer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.45

Bauer Sharp run for 13 yds to the SELA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cyrus Zuell run for 2 yds to the SELA 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cyrus Zuell run for 4 yds to the MSST 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Darius Lewis for 2 yds to the MSST 47

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Brennan Lanclos) to the SELA 48

4th & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.41

Eli Sawyer pass complete to Rodeo Graham Jr. for 5 yds to the MSST 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

(01:08) [NH] Kneel down by WRIGHT, Mike at MSU46 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

[NH] Kneel down by WRIGHT, Mike at MSU45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

SE Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
6 plays
0%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
78%
9 plays
73%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play