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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 13.6

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 81%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky -25.5

Edge: Ball State +25.5 (11.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
707014
KentuckyKentucky
32014744

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-717-723-730-1444-14
KentuckyBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENBSKENBSKENBSBSKENBSKENBSKENBSKENBSBSKENBSKENBSFG551ydPUNT39ydPUNT524ydTD1373ydTD1170ydTD744ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS727ydTO23ydFG42ydPUNT3-1ydFG426ydPUNT928ydTD789ydTD1075ydDOWNS1174ydPUNT518ydMISS1028ydTD666ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Kentucky
StatisticBall StateKentucky
Passing22-3018-31
Pass Yards223241
Rush Yards72113
Total Yards295354
Turnovers21
3rd Down9-174-9
Penalties4-267-51
Possession38:1621:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
15/21, 165 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marquez Cooper
15 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Ty Robinson
5 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Devin Leary
18/31, 241 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
14 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dane Key
5 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 44 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the BALL 24

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 yds

Alex Raynor 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Layne Hatcher run for 4 yds to the BALL 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 60 yds, downed at the UK 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 8

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.75

Ray Davis run for 26 yds to the UK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 35

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 30

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hayden Dawahare punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the BALL 27

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HATCHER, Layne pass to the right complete for 3 yards to MAGWOOD, Qian caught at the BSU27 and advanced to the BSU30 (HAYES, Josaih). PENALTY UKY Holding on SAUNDERS, Kahlil enforced 10 yards from the BSU27 to the BSU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST down

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Kiael Kelly run for 13 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 9 yds to the UK 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the UK 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the UK 32

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (Josaih Hayes) to the UK 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Layne Hatcher run for 1 yd to the UK 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Layne Hatcher run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the UK 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.38

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.00

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 27 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 16 yds to the BALL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the BALL 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty+1 yds

LEARY, Devin pass short to the right incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on RILEY, Jordan enforced 1 yards to the BSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ray Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

HATCHER, Layne pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Ty thrown to the BSU40. PENALTY UKY Roughing the Passer on WEAVER, J.J. enforced 15 yards from the BSU26 to the BSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.75

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 22 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the UK 36

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 40

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.58

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds for a TD Tanner Koziol fumbled, recovered by UK Jalen Geiger for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 25

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Layne Hatcher sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the UK 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the BALL 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Devin Leary pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 10 yds to the BALL 33

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -2.58

Devin Leary pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 3 yds Malcolm Gillie fumbled, recovered by UK Jordan Lovett

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the BALL 29

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

Alex Raynor 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Layne Hatcher sacked by Kahlil Saunders for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 15

2nd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.23

Vaughn Pemberton run for 11 yds to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.23

Vaughn Pemberton run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

LEARY, Devin pass to the right incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the BSU42. PENALTY UKY Illegal Touch-Pass on BROWN-STEPHENS, Anthony enforced 0 yards from the UKY45 to the UKY45, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.65

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 26 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+46 yds

Alex Raynor 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 8 yds to the BALL 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 4 yds to the BALL 46

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.50

Kadin Semonza run for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 48 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by BALL Kadin Semonza

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rico Barfield run for 5 yds to the UK 39

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.41

Kadin Semonza sacked by Kahlil Saunders and Trevin Wallace for a loss of 8 yards to the UK 47

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lucas Borrow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for no gain to the UK 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.46

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 15 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 27

2nd & 13Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Ray Davis run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LEARY, Devin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on MALRY, Aljareek enforced 15 yards to the BSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.09

Devin Leary pass complete to Brenden Bates for 30 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Dane Key 5 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 3 yds to the BALL 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.19

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 24 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the UK 45

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the UK 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.64

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 20 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kadin Semonza run for no gain to the UK 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kadin Semonza run for 3 yds to the UK 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 12 yds to the UK 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Barion Brown 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Alex Raynor Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the BALL 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.43

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 17 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rico Barfield run for 4 yds to the UK 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.98

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 27 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

KELLY, Kiael pass to the right intercepted by HAMM, Shane at the UKY0 intended for ROBINSON, Ty. Hamm return for 0 yards to the UKY0, End of Play. PENALTY UKY Pass Interference on CHILDRESS, Zion enforced 11 yards to the UKY2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 2

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Ball State Penalty, False Start (Jon Mucciolo) to the UK 7

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the UK 2

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.15

Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the UK 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds to the UK 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Devin Leary sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 16

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the UK 19

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Devin Leary run for no gain to the UK 19

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ball State Penalty, False Start (Ahmad Edwards) to the BALL 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kadin Semonza run for 4 yds to the BALL 37

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 14 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rico Barfield run for 5 yds to the UK 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.73

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 7 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the UK 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+51 yds

Jackson Courville 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 18 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the BALL 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 14 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.54

Ray Davis 30 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
17%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
43%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
30%
20 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
70%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play