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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 8.2

Home Win Probability

BYU 68%

Market (Bovada)

BYU -20

Edge: Sam Houston +20 (11.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sam HoustonSam Houston
00000
BYUBYU
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-014-0
BYUSam Houston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUSHBYUPUNT3-5ydTD850ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT412ydPUNT34ydDOWNS621ydPUNT416ydPUNT23ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT541ydPUNT57ydPUNT520ydPUNT30ydEND2-1ydDOWNS4-1ydTO214ydPUNT69ydTO941ydTD1155ydPUNT35ydPUNT635ydPUNT418ydPUNT37ydPUNT521ydPUNT521ydTO61ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sam Houston and BYU
StatisticSam HoustonBYU
Passing18-3320-33
Pass Yards147145
Rush Yards38112
Total Yards185257
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-145-16
Penalties7-478-66
Possession28:2731:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sam Houston
passing
Keegan Shoemaker
18/33, 147 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
John Gentry
8 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
Noah Smith
3 REC, 44 YDS
defense
BYU
passing
Kedon Slovis
20/33, 145 YDS
rushing
LJ Martin
16 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Darius Lassiter
4 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Zach Hrbacek run for 7 yds to the SHSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay Rockwell

3rd & 3Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.89

Keegan Shoemaker sacked by Tyler Batty for a loss of 12 yards to the SHSU 20

4th & 15Punt+14 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the SHSU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keelan Marion for 3 yds to the SHSU 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.87

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 16 yds to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the SHSU 24

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Aidan Robbins run for 10 yds to the SHSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds to the SHSU 5

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Kedon Slovis run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Smith run for 5 yds to the SHSU 30

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Zach Hrbacek run for 4 yds to the SHSU 11

3rd & 24Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Keegan Shoemaker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 15

4th & 20Punt+4 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 47 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 4 yds to the BYU 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 18 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keelan Marion

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete short left to Smith,Deion for 12 yards to the SHSU28 (Williams,Trevor) PENALTY BYU Illegal Block in Back (Lapuaho,Weylin) 10 yards from SHSU40 to SHSU50. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Parker Kingston run for 4 yds to the SHSU 46

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Noah Smith at the SHSU 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

John Gentry run for 4 yds to the SHSU 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Shane Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah Smith

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 42 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 3 yds to the BYU 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Mason Fakahua for 11 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the SHSU 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kedon Slovis run for 4 yds to the SHSU 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 2 yds to the SHSU 32

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.54

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Keelan Marion

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BYU Delay Of Game (Haws,Caden) 5 yards from SHSU32 to SHSU37. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.14

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Shane Johnson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 2 yds to the SHSU 48

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Shane Johnson for 1 yd to the SHSU 48

4th & 12Punt+25 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 37 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Preston Rex) to the BYU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the BYU 30

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete short right to Rex,Isaac for 13 yards to the BYU43 (Gaither,Kavian) PENALTY BYU Illegal Block in Back declined BYU Illegal Touch-Pass (Rex,Isaac). NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Noah Smith returns for 10 yds to the SHSU 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the SHSU 26

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Phillips run for 3 yds to the SHSU 29

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Keegan Shoemaker run for 4 yds to the SHSU 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for no gain to the BYU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Deion Smith for 1 yd to the BYU 23

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the BYU 22

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 8 yds to the BYU 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 48 yds , Noah Smith returns for no gain to the SHSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Charles Crawford III for 18 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Malik Phillips for 20 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Charles Crawford III run for no gain to the BYU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 3 yds to the BYU 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay Rockwell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Mason Fakahua for 4 yds to the BYU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Mason Fakahua for 7 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Mata'ava Ta'ase

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Deion Smith run for 4 yds to the BYU 27

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 65 yds , Zach Hrbacek returns for no gain to the SHSU 6

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 65 yds , Zach Hrbacek returns for no gain to the SHSU 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

John Gentry run for 7 yds to the SHSU 10

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 4 yds to the SHSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 1 yd to the SHSU 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for 8 yds to the SHSU 23

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

John Gentry run for no gain to the SHSU 23

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Parker Kingston for 5 yds to the BYU 41

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BYU Delay Of Game (Slovis,Kedon) 5 yards from BYU41 to BYU36. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zach Hrbacek run for no gain to the SHSU 11

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

K. Shoemaker takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Christian Pavon kickoff for 65 yds , Parker Kingston return for 21 yds to the BYU 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the BYU 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 5 yds to the BYU 26

3rd & 5Penalty-13 yds

Shotgun Slovis,Kedon pass complete short to Roberts,Chase for 8 yards to the BYU34 (Weaver,Caleb) PENALTY BYU Illegal Use Of Hands (Suamataia,Kingsley) 13 yards from BYU26 to BYU13. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 12 yds to the BYU 25

4th & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Ryan Rehkow run for 5 yds to the BYU 20

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Shoemaker,Keegan pass incomplete deep left to Adeyi,Ife broken up by Garrett,Kamden QB hurried by Batty,Tyler, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Garrett,Kamden) 15 yards from BYU20 to BYU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Hrbacek run for 1 yd to the BYU 6

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.47

Keegan Shoemaker pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 1 yd to the BYU 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 11 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-8 Yards) to the BYU 24

1st & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 8 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Mason Fakahua for 5 yds to the BYU 37

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Noah Smith returns for 9 yds to the SHSU 19

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Noah Smith returns for 9 yds to the SHSU 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 6

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the SHSU 8

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.73

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 24 yds to the SHSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Gentry run for 5 yds to the SHSU 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Shane Johnson

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.02

Keegan Shoemaker run for 7 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the SHSU 46

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Keegan Shoemaker pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the SHSU 49

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the SHSU 47

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.63

LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the SHSU 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds to the SHSU 31

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.12

LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the SHSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Chase Roberts for 10 yds to the SHSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the SHSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kedon Slovis run for no gain to the SHSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kedon Slovis run for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 5 yds to the SHSU 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Zach Hrbacek for no gain to the SHSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Ife Adeyi

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 6 yds to the BYU 22

3rd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.39

LJ Martin run for 21 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 22 yds to the SHSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.79

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to John Gentry for no gain to the SHSU 37

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the SHSU 38

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Shane Johnson

4th & 14Punt+1 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 49 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 1 yd to the BYU 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 15

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Chase Roberts

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 64 yds, fair catch by Trey Fields at the SHSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Ife Adeyi for 5 yds to the SHSU 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jay Rockwell for 9 yds to the SHSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Zach Hrbacek for 1 yd to the SHSU 30

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Keegan Shoemaker run for 8 yds to the SHSU 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Malik Phillips run for 2 yds to the SHSU 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 6

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 20

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 21

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 25

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 57 yds , Trey Fields returns for 9 yds to the SHSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah Smith

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 15 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah Smith

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Jay Rockwell

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete to Noah Smith

4th & 19Interception0 ydsPPA +0.35

Keegan Shoemaker pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

K. Slovis takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Sam Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play