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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 23.3

Home Win Probability

Alabama 92%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -39.5

Edge: Middle Tennessee +39.5 (16.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
00707
AlabamaAlabama
1414141456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-035-042-049-756-7
AlabamaMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTMTALAMTALAMTALAMTALAMTALAMTALAMTALAALAMTALAMTALAALAMTALAMTALATD1168ydPUNT3-5ydTD663ydPUNT32ydTD1147ydPUNT713ydPUNT66ydMISS1055ydPUNT615ydTO623ydTD242ydPUNT3-12ydTD147ydPUNT415ydEND319ydTD675ydPUNT31ydTD234ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydTD1077ydTO310ydTD633ydPUNT611ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Alabama
StatisticMiddle TennesseeAlabama
Passing24-3517-24
Pass Yards133226
Rush Yards78205
Total Yards211431
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-1610-13
Penalties9-842-19
Possession30:5729:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
21/32, 127 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jekail Middlebrook
8 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Jaiden Credle
4 REC, 25 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
13/18, 194 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jalen Milroe
7 CAR, 48 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Isaiah Bond
5 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MTSU 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.90

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 21 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jacob Coleman for 10 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the ALA 32

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Bryce Bailey for 3 yds to the ALA 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to AJ Toney for 7 yds to the ALA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the ALA 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the ALA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the ALA 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Braxton Crouse run for 1 yd to the ALA 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Bryce Bailey for 7 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to DJ England-Chisolm

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for no gain to the MTSU 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(14:25) PENALTY MT False Start (Peasant,Frank) 5 yards from MT 25 to MT 20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Frank Peasant

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 59 yds for a 1ST down , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 1 yd to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.92

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 15 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the MTSU 41

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.96

Jase McClellan run for 20 yds to the MTSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Jalen Milroe run for 21 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass complete deep right to Metcalf,Elijah for 27 yards to the ALA48, out of bounds at ALA48 PENALTY MT Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Kelly,Wilson) 5 yards from MT 25 to MT 20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 3 yds to the MTSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 4 yds to the MTSU 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Javonte Sherman

4th & 8Punt+21 yds

Trey Turk punt for 41 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 21 yds to the MTSU 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the MTSU 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 4 yds to the MTSU 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the MTSU 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 5 yds to the MTSU 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.32

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 9 yds to the MTSU 15

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.28

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 7 yds to the MTSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the MTSU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the MTSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Justin Olson for 6 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MT False Start (Graham,Jacqui) 5 yards from MT 36 to MT 31. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.48

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 14 yds to the MTSU 45

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the MTSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Nicholas Vattiato run for 6 yds to the ALA 48

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass incomplete short left to Willis,Holden PENALTY MT Chop Block (Kelly,Wilson) 15 yards from ALA48 to MT 37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 9 yds to the MTSU 46

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.99

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Quandarrius Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the MTSU 38

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jase McClellan run for 7 yds to the ALA 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.00

Jalen Milroe sacked by Johnathan Butler for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 11

2nd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Malik Benson for 5 yds to the ALA 16

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Malik Benson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTSU 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Frank Peasant run for 9 yds to the MTSU 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Braxton Crouse

3rd & 1Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.84

Nicholas Vattiato run for 30 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 4 yds to the ALA 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 4 yds to the ALA 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 4 yds to the ALA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Vattiato,Nicholas pass incomplete short right to England-Chisolm,DJ PENALTY ALA Roughing The Passer (Oatis,Jaheim) 9 yards from ALA18 to ALA09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Jeremy Tate Jr.

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.69

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Chris Braswell for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 14 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MTSU Devin Hayes , return for 0 yards

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Kalani Norris

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Zeke Rankin 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the ALA 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 9 yds to the ALA 29

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.34

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 4 yds to the ALA 41

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Milroe sacked by Parker Hughes for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kellen Stewart at the MTSU 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 6 yds to the MTSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 1 yd to the MTSU 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 8 yds to the MTSU 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Milroe,Jalen pass incomplete deep left to Bond,Isaiah PENALTY MT Pass Interference (Fluellen,Tra) 15 yards from MT 42 to MT 27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Penalty+14 yds

(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Milroe,Jalen rush right for 1 yard loss to the MT 28 (Kinley,Richard) PENALTY MT Horse Collar Tackle (Kinley,Richard) 14 yards from MT 27 to MT 13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jalen Milroe run for 13 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Braxton Crouse

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.60

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Deontae Lawson for a loss of 12 yards to the MTSU 13

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Frank Peasant

4th & 22Punt+6 yds

Trey Turk punt for 40 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 6 yds to the MTSU 47

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 47 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jekail Middlebrook run for 11 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the MTSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jekail Middlebrook run for 2 yds to the MTSU 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Jeremy Tate Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the ALA 17

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Roydell Williams run for 11 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the ALA 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

3rd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.29

Jalen Milroe run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the MTSU 48

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.58

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 48 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 64 yds , DJ England-Chisolm return for no gain to the MTSU 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTSU 6

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete to Frank Peasant

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the MTSU 9

4th & 9Punt+33 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 58 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 33 yds to the MTSU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 5 yds to the MTSU 29

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.86

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 29 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 3 yds to the MTSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Kalani Norris for 2 yds to the MTSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 3 yds to the MTSU 29

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Trey Turk punt for 51 yds , returns for 5 yds to the ALA 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the ALA 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the ALA 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Jalen Hale

4th & 5Penalty-55 yds

(06:39) Burnip,James punt 55 yards to the MT 15 PENALTY MT Illegal Block in Back offsetting ALA Kick Catch Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Scott Payne kickoff for 65 yds , Kendrick Law return for 23 yds to the ALA 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.35

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Amari Niblack for 20 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 2 yds to the ALA 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the MTSU 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.71

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the MTSU 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Jalen Hale

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

(10:38) PENALTY MT Offside (Smith,Damonte) 5 yards from MT 38 to MT 33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Justice Haynes run for 16 yds to the MTSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Justice Haynes run for 8 yds to the MTSU 9

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.13

Tyler Buchner run for 9 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Riles run for 3 yds to the MTSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

DJ Riles pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 4 yds to the MTSU 32

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA +1.22

DJ Riles pass complete to Jacob Coleman for 3 yds Jacob Coleman fumbled, recovered by ALA Kendrick Blackshire

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Richard Young run for 11 yds to the MTSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Richard Young run for 2 yds to the MTSU 20

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Richard Young run for 3 yds to the MTSU 17

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Ty Simpson run for 11 yds to the MTSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Ty Simpson pass complete to Jalen Hale for 5 yds to the MTSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ty Simpson run for 1 yd for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Conor Talty kickoff for 61 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 14 yds to the MTSU 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyle Lowe run for 2 yds to the MTSU 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jekail Middlebrook run for 6 yds to the MTSU 26

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyle Lowe pass complete to AJ Toney for 1 yd to the MTSU 28

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Raymond Banner run for 2 yds to the MTSU 30

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MT False Start (Wilson,Simon) 5 yards from MT 30 to MT 25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Raymond Banner run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Miles Tillman punt for 51 yds , Isaiah Bond returns for 1 yd to the ALA 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Richard Young run for 3 yds to the ALA 14

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Richard Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 13

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
4th

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th