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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2023Week 1
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 82%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -7

Edge: Minnesota -7 (7.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
007310
MinnesotaMinnesota
0301013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-73-1010-10
MinnesotaNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINNEBMINPUNT928ydPUNT632ydFG1367ydTO733ydMISS1238ydTO1158ydEND1-3ydTD235ydPUNT34ydPUNT62ydTO758ydFG1380ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydPUNT814ydTO421ydTD1053ydTO529ydFG622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Minnesota
StatisticNebraskaMinnesota
Passing11-1924-44
Pass Yards114196
Rush Yards18155
Total Yards295251
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-118-17
Penalties7-553-25
Possession29:1830:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Jeff Sims
11/19, 114 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Jeff Sims
19 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Alex Bullock
3 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
24/44, 196 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sean Tyler
10 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Daniel Jackson
9 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the MINN 26

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 9 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds, downed at the NEB 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the NEB 5

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NEB 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 6

1st & 15Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.64

Jeff Sims run for 26 yds to the NEB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 31

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the NEB 31

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 26

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Jeff Sims pass complete to Alex Bullock for 7 yds to the NEB 33

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 60 yds , returns for no gain to the MINN 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.99

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 20 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the MINN 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for no gain to the MINN 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.76

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the NEB 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 6 yds to the NEB 18

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.06

Daniel Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the NEB 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Dragan Kesich 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the NEB 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jeff Sims pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for no gain to the NEB 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.07

Jeff Sims pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 10 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MINN 49

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -1.59

Jeff Sims pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MINN 30

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on REIMER, Luke enforced (Luke Reimer) to the MINN 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.57

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.79

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Dragan Kesich 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the NEB 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.36

Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Ethan Piper) to the MINN 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jeff Sims pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 7 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Jeff Sims pass complete to Alex Bullock for 15 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the MINN 11

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 7 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the MINN 1

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.47

Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NH] Kneel down by KALIAKMANIS, Athan at UMN17 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the MINN 34

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.50

Alex Bullock 34 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Tristan Alvano Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the MINN 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for no gain to the MINN 23

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the NEB 42

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Jeff Sims sacked by Jalen Logan-Redding and Danny Striggow for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 37

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NEB 43

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.97

Jeff Sims sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 13 yards to the NEB 30

4th & 22Penalty+15 yds

BUSCHINI, Brian punt 41 yards to the UMN29, fair catch by REDDING, Quentin. PENALTY UMN Personal Foul on GERLACH, Joey enforced 15 yards from the NEB30 to the NEB45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the MINN 48

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.11

Jeff Sims sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 8 yards to the NEB 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, downed at the MINN 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 31

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Targeting on ROBINSON, Ty enforced (Ty Robinson) to the NEB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 20 yds to the NEB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the NEB 24

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.81

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 27 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 42

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Jaylen Lloyd run for 9 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for 17 yds to the MINN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 33

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the MINN 25

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the MINN 14

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.00

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 6 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 4 yds to the MINN 4

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Nate Boerkircher) to the MINN 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jeff Sims run for no gain to the MINN 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Tristan Alvano 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jeff Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for no gain to the NEB 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 45 yds, downed at the MINN 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the MINN 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 6 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Blaise Gunnerson for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the MINN 33

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.64

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Nash Hutmacher for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 31

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 34

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Jeff Sims pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 6 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.63

Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the MINN 47 Anthony Grant fumbled, recovered by MINN Aidan Gousby

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the NEB 44

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Cameron Lenhardt) to the NEB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 15 yds to the NEB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.69

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the NEB 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the MINN 46

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -3.02

Jeff Sims pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the NEB 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 5 yds to the NEB 32

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 35

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Aireontae Ersery) to the NEB 40

3rd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the NEB 29

4th & 2Field Goal Good+47 yds

Dragan Kesich 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
15%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play