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← Back to GamesDec 10, 2022Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 5.5

Home Win Probability

Montana State 60%

Market (Bovada)

Montana State -9

Edge: William & Mary +9 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
William & Mary
00000
Montana State
101728055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-024-027-041-055-0
Montana StateWilliam & Mary

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20W&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MMSW&MW&MMSW&MMSPUNT33ydPUNT38ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydFG757ydPUNT38ydTD483ydPUNT38ydTD268ydPUNT411ydTD874ydTO528ydFG612ydEND19ydTD19ydPUNT32ydTD334ydPUNT34ydTD453ydTD74ydPUNT3-8ydTO239ydDOWNS647ydPUNT730yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing William & Mary and Montana State
StatisticWilliam & MaryMontana State
Passing6-178-11
Pass Yards28145
Rush Yards85309
Total Yards113454
Turnovers11
3rd Down0-131-6
Penalties7-937-55
Possession25:3625:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

William & Mary
passing
Darius Wilson
6/17, 28 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Bronson Yoder
18 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Lachlan Pitts
1 REC, 14 YDS
Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
7/9, 106 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaiah Ifanse
11 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Treyton Pickering
1 REC, 42 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the WmMry 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean Kendrick

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the WmMry 26

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 52 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 8 yds to the MntSt 30 MONTANA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MntSt 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Elijah Elliott run for 1 yd to the MntSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Elijah Elliott run for 6 yds to the MntSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd to the MntSt 28

4th & 2Punt-2 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 48 yds , Caylin Newton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 17

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Bronson Yoder run for 7 yds to the WmMry 24

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Darius Wilson sacked by Callahan O'Reilly for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 22

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Darius Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WmMry 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the WmMry 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tommy Mellott run for no gain to the WmMry 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Willie Patterson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the WmMry 22

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bronson Yoder run for no gain to the WmMry 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Malachi Imoh

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MntSt 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the MntSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.11

Isaiah Ifanse run for 20 yds to the WmMry 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.87

Isaiah Ifanse run for 26 yds to the WmMry 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Elijah Elliott run for 8 yds to the WmMry 11

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 12

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Isaiah Ifanse run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Blake Glessner 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Darius Wilson run for 9 yds to the WmMry 34

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Bronson Yoder run for a loss of 4 yards to the WmMry 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 3 yds to the WmMry 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 50 yds, downed at the MntSt 17

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Isaiah Ifanse run for 14 yds to the MntSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.87

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 42 yds to the WmMry 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the WmMry 22

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.67

Tommy Mellott run for 22 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bronson Yoder run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Malachi Imoh run for 4 yds to the WmMry 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean Kendrick

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (5 Yards) to the WmMry 33

4th & 2Punt+14 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 49 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 14 yds to the MntSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete to Willie Patterson

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.45

Isaiah Ifanse run for 68 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Wilson run for 5 yds to the WmMry 32

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Paul Brott) to the WmMry 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the WmMry 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Lachlan Pitts

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 38 WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hunter Klein) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 36 yds , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MntSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Willie Patterson for 12 yds to the MntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Ifanse run for 6 yds to the MntSt 44

2nd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.94

Tommy Mellott sacked by Isaiah Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the MntSt 40

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Isaiah Ifanse run for 9 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Tommy Mellott run for 24 yds to the WmMry 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Derryk Snell run for 2 yds to the WmMry 25

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Mellott, Tommy pass pass intended for Snell, Derryk intercepted by Spencer, Malcolm at the WILLMMARY3, Spencer, Malcolm return 0 yards to the WILLMMARY3, PENALTY WILLMMARY pass interference (Osborne, Quinn) 15 yards to the WILLMMARY10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MONTANAST.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the WmMry 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Malachi Imoh run for 11 yds to the WmMry 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Darius Wilson pass complete to Lachlan Pitts for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Malachi Imoh run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 48

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bronson Yoder run for 5 yds to the MntSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+30 ydsPPA -1.65

Darius Wilson pass intercepted Simeon Woodard return for 30 yds to the WmMry 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Marqui Johnson run for 1 yd to the WmMry 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 11 yds to the WmMry 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Mellott sacked by Nate Lynn for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ravi Alston for 7 yds to the WmMry 27

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.89

Tommy Mellott sacked by Nate Lynn for a loss of 5 yards to the WmMry 32

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Blake Glessner 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Bronson Yoder run for 9 yds to the WmMry 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Isaiah Ifanse run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Darius Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for 3 yds to the WmMry 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Trey McDonald

4th & 8Punt+21 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 43 yds for a 1ST down , Taco Dowler returns for 21 yds to the WmMry 48 for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Personal Foul (Alex Washington) to the WmMry 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the WmMry 29

2nd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.92

Sean Chambers run for 28 yds to the WmMry 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the WmMry 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Bronson Yoder run for 3 yds to the WmMry 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Lachlan Pitts

4th & 6Punt+21 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 58 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 21 yds to the MntSt 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the WmMry 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 9 yds to the WmMry 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 8 yds to the WmMry 32 for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the WmMry 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & -5Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Blake Glessner kickoff for 44 yds , DreSean Kendrick return for 9 yds to the WmMry 15. MONTANA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jaharie Martin) to the WmMry 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Wilson run for 5 yds to the WmMry 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Bronson Yoder

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bronson Yoder run for 4 yds to the WmMry 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.93

Darius Wilson run for 2 yds to the WmMry 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean Kendrick

2nd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.52

Darius Wilson sacked by Ty Okada for a loss of 13 yards to the WmMry 28

3rd & 23Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 6 yds to the WmMry 34

4th & 17Punt+79 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 45 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 79 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26

2nd & 9Rush-12 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Mayo run for a loss of 12 yards to the WmMry 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for 3 yds to the WmMry 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Will Whitehurst punt for 48 yds , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MntSt 17 MONTANA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MntSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Sean Chambers pass complete to Coy Steel for 39 yds to the WmMry 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.99

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the WmMry 31 Sean Chambers fumbled, recovered by WmMry Mike Malone

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.31

Bronson Yoder run for 27 yds to the MntSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Bronson Yoder run for 13 yds to the MntSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Bronson Yoder run for a loss of 3 yards to the MntSt 32

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the MntSt 31

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Darius Wilson run for 9 yds to the MntSt 22

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.34

Darius Wilson pass incomplete to JT Mayo

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Austin, Sean pass complete to Lonergan, Ryan for 11 yards to the MONTANAST33, PENALTY MONTANAST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the MONTANAST17, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Coon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 16

2nd & 16Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.28

Garrett Coon run for 22 yds to the MntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Garrett Coon run for 8 yds to the MntSt 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Garrett Coon run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Garrett Coon run for 7 yds to the WmMry 43

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Garrett Coon run for no gain to the WmMry 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Sean Austin pass incomplete to Ryan Lonergan

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the WmMry 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Caylin Newton at the WmMry 16

Situational Analysis

William & Mary

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
64%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th