Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 10, 2022Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 10.4

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 71%

Market (Bovada)

South Dakota State -19

Edge: Holy Cross +19 (8.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Holy Cross
777021
South Dakota State
61502041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-76-1414-1421-2128-2135-21
South Dakota StateHoly Cross

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSHCSDSHCSDSHCSDSHCSDSHCHCHCSDSHCSDSHCSDSHCSDSMISS1359ydTD475ydFG831ydPUNT3-5ydFG547ydTD1275ydTD867ydPUNT624ydPUNT34ydTD25ydDOWNS840ydTD1183ydPUNT36ydMISS1355ydTD978ydPUNT713ydTD768ydDOWNS4-2ydUncategorized32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Holy Cross and South Dakota State
StatisticHoly CrossSouth Dakota State
Passing14-2711-21
Pass Yards149156
Rush Yards228216
Total Yards377372
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-135-12
Penalties3-153-11
Possession31:2927:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Holy Cross
passing
Matthew Sluka
13/26, 122 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Matthew Sluka
25 CAR, 204 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Coker
5 REC, 63 YDS
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
11/21, 156 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Isaiah Davis
20 CAR, 154 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaxon Janke
4 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds to the SDkSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Tucker Kraft for 5 yds to the SDkSt 34

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Isaiah Davis run for 15 yds to the SDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the HCrss 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the HCrss 45

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the HCrss 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the HCrss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 10 yds to the HCrss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Landon Wolf

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the HCrss 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Tucker Kraft

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Hunter Dustman 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Ayir Asante

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the HCrss 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 15 yds to the HCrss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Matthew Sluka run for 56 yds for a TD (Derek Ng KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Isaiah Davis run for 13 yds to the HCrss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the HCrss 22

2nd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.48

Mark Gronowski sacked by Jake Reichwein for a loss of 6 yards to the HCrss 28

3rd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.23

Mark Gronowski run for 14 yds to the HCrss 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the HCrss 11

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mark Gronowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Tucker Kraft

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 yds

Hunter Dustman 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Peter Oliver run for 1 yd to the HCrss 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Matthew Sluka run for a loss of 7 yards to the HCrss 17 Cam McNair run for 1 yd to the HCrss 17

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 37 yds , Jadon Janke returns for 1 yd to the SDkSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.67

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 44 yds to the HCrss 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the HCrss 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Landon Wolf

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Hunter Dustman 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the HCrss 16

2nd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.15

Matthew Sluka run for 9 yds to the HCrss 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 15 yds to the HCrss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for 11 yds to the SDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Peter Oliver run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Ayir Asante

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jordan Forrest run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 43

4th & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.63

Matthew Sluka run for 7 yds to the SDkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Peter Oliver run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthew Sluka run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 32

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 27

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.79

Tyler Purdy pass complete to Sean Morris for 27 yds for a TD (Derek Ng KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 29 yds to the HCrss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the HCrss 25

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Davis run for 12 yds to the HCrss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Tucker Kraft

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the HCrss 12

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Mark Gronowski run for 9 yds to the HCrss 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds for a TD (I. Davis Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Matthew Sluka run for 7 yds to the HCrss 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Peter Oliver run for 6 yds to the HCrss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Byron Shipman for 10 yds to the HCrss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Matthew Sluka run for 1 yd to the HCrss 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Spencer Gilliam

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jadon Janke at the SDkSt 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mark Gronowski run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 49 yds , Jared Kreimer returns for no gain to the HCrss 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the HCrss 32

2nd & 5Interception Return Touchdown+37 ydsPPA -8.17

Matthew Sluka pass intercepted for a TD Jason Freeman return for 37 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Matthew Sluka run for 7 yds to the HCrss 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 12 yds to the HCrss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 12 yds to the SDkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Jalen Coker for 9 yds to the SDkSt 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Spencer Gilliam

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Derek Ng 52 yd FG MISSED

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Peter Oliver run for 5 yds to the HCrss 22

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the HCrss 26

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the HCrss 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.47

Matthew Sluka sacked by DyShawn Gales for a loss of 6 yards to the HCrss 25

2nd & 16Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.89

Matthew Sluka run for 21 yds to the HCrss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Matthew Sluka run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 38

2nd & 6Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.46

Matthew Sluka run for 36 yds to the SDkSt 2 for a 1ST down SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Face Mask (1 yards) (DyShawn Gales) to the SDkSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Peter Oliver run for no gain to the SDkSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Peter Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD (Derek Ng KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for no gain to the SDkSt 38 SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 39 yds, downed at the HCrss 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Ayir Asante for 10 yds to the HCrss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Peter Oliver run for 1 yd to the HCrss 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for 9 yds to the HCrss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Matthew Sluka run for 2 yds to the HCrss 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matthew Sluka run for no gain to the HCrss 45

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.06

Matthew Sluka run for 17 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyler Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDkSt 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Tyler Purdy for 6 yds to the SDkSt 33

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Peter Oliver run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Peter Oliver run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 22

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Derek Ng 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 19 yds to the SDkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Isaiah Davis run for 18 yds to the HCrss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Isaiah Davis run for 7 yds to the HCrss 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaiah Davis run for 9 yds to the HCrss 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the HCrss 20

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (Zach Heins) to the HCrss 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Tucker Kraft for 12 yds to the HCrss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SO DAKOTA ST Penalty, False Start (John O'Brian) to the HCrss 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.20

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 18 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matthew Sluka run for 4 yds to the HCrss 39

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.64

Matthew Sluka run for 12 yds to the SDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the SDkSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matthew Sluka run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 34

2nd & 5Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.42

Matthew Sluka sacked by Ryan Van Marel for a loss of 13 yards to the SDkSt 47

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

HOLY CROSS Penalty, False Start (Damon Donalds) to the HCrss 48

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

4th & 23Punt+15 yds

Patrick Haughney punt for 35 yds , Jadon Janke returns for 15 yds to the SDkSt 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Isaiah Davis run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 40

2nd & 2Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.60

Isaiah Davis run for 27 yds to the HCrss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Zach Heins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 9 yds to the HCrss 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the HCrss 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mark Gronowski run for 4 yds to the HCrss 18

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.68

Mark Gronowski run for 18 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Sluka, Matthew pass incomplete to Morris, Sean, PENALTY HOLYCROSS holding 10 yards to the HOLYCROSS15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.23

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for 11 yds to the HCrss 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Matthew Sluka pass incomplete to Jalen Coker

4th & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA +0.26

Matthew Sluka pass complete to Grady Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the HCrss 23 HOLY CROSS Penalty, Illegal Touching (Grady Smith) to the HCrss 23

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Landon Wolf for no gain to the HCrss 23

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the HCrss 22

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the HCrss 21

Situational Analysis

Holy Cross

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play