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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Valparaiso by 10.3

Home Win Probability

Valparaiso 72%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Indiana Wesleyan
307717
Valparaiso
3140320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-310-317-317-1020-17
ValparaisoIndiana Wesleyan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWVALIWFG866ydFG1153ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT38ydTD586ydPUNT3-15ydTD544ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT37ydPUNT622ydEND1-2ydPUNT543ydTD680ydPUNT519ydPUNT55ydPUNT39ydTO1773ydPUNT417ydTD420ydFG640ydMISS1038yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana Wesleyan and Valparaiso
StatisticIndiana WesleyanValparaiso
Passing26-4016-25
Pass Yards273194
Rush Yards25146
Total Yards298340
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-174-12
Penalties5-544-37
Possession31:5528:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana Wesleyan
passing
Xander Stokes
26/40, 273 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
D Williams
6 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
M Stephens-Pep
8 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
Valparaiso
passing
Michael Appel Jr.
13/20, 150 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Aaron Dawson
22 CAR, 147 YDS
receiving
Solomon Davis
2 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Xander Stokes pass complete to Perrion McClinton for 4 yds to the IndW 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

M Stephens-Pep run for 5 yds to the IndW 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Xavier Gordon run for 9 yds to the IndW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +1.95

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 47 yds to the Valpo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

D Williams run for 4 yds to the Valpo 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Xander Stokes run for 2 yds to the Valpo 4

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Xander Stokes sacked by Colin Graves and Max Franco for a loss of 5 yards to the Valpo 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ethan Collins 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Aaron Dawson run for 9 yds to the Valpo 36

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Aaron Dawson run for 13 yds to the Valpo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the IndW 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the IndW 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Charlie Maxwell for 6 yds to the IndW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Aaron Dawson run for 11 yds to the IndW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Matt Ross for 9 yds to the IndW 19

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the IndW 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Grguric

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

APPEL rush for loss of 2 yards to the INDIANAW20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VALPO holding (PIERSON) 12 yards to the INDIANAW30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Barret Labus for 10 yds to the IndW 20

3rd & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Brian Bartholomew 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Daniel Weems run for 2 yds to the IndW 24

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

IND WESLEYAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IndW 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Xavier Gordon

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Xavier Gordon, broken up by Keyon Turner

4th & 13Punt+7 yds

Ethan Collins punt for 39 yds , Josh Becton returns for 7 yds to the Valpo 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the IndW 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the IndW 43

3rd & 2Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.83

TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Valpo 45

4th & 14Punt+21 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 46 yds , Justin Johnson returns for 21 yds to the IndW 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for a loss of 1 yard to the IndW 29

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Xander Stokes run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndW 25 Xander Stokes fumbled, forced by Sam Hafner, recovered by IndW Luke Watson

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.53

Xander Stokes pass complete to D Williams for 13 yds to the IndW 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ethan Collins punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Valpo 14

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Aaron Dawson run for 12 yds to the Valpo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Valpo 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Dominic Grguric for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 26

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Dominic Grguric for 16 yds to the Valpo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Solomon Davis for 58 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

D Williams run for no gain to the IndW 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 6 yds to the IndW 31

3rd & 4Penalty-14 yds

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 1 yard to the INDIANAW32 (TURNER, K.), PENALTY INDIANAW pass interference (Xavier Gordon) 14 yards to the INDIANAW17, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.06

Xander Stokes sacked by Ben Hines and Kurt Kessen for a loss of 7 yards to the IndW 10

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Ethan Collins punt for 34 yds , Josh Becton returns for no gain to the IndW 44 Josh Becton fumbled, recovered by Valpo Keyon Turner

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Dominic Grguric for 13 yds to the IndW 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the IndW 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Bingham

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Solomon Davis for 6 yds to the IndW 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Mason Kaplan run for 20 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 2 yds to the IndW 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 6 yds to the IndW 35

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Xavier Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndW 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ethan Collins punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Valpo 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Dominic Grguric for 4 yds to the Valpo 43

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.01

Michael Appel Jr. sacked by Neil Campbell for a loss of 8 yards to the Valpo 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Barret Labus for 3 yds to the Valpo 38

4th & 11Punt+11 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 61 yds , Jacquez Carter returns for 11 yds to the IndW 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Xander Stokes pass complete to Xavier Gordon for 5 yds to the IndW 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Xavier Gordon

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Xander Stokes pass complete to D Williams for 2 yds to the IndW 19

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ethan Collins punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Valpo 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Barret Labus for 4 yds to the Valpo 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Braden Contreras

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.95

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Braden Contreras for 18 yds to the IndW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Bingham, broken up by Neil Campbell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Barret Labus for 5 yds to the IndW 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Matt Ross, broken up by Justin Johnson

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, delay of game (Evan Matthes) to the IndW 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jacquez Carter at the IndW 9

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndW 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Matt Ross

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Aaron Dawson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndW 36

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Grguric

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Aaron Dawson run for 8 yds to the Valpo 29

2nd & 2Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.61

Aaron Dawson run for 38 yds to the IndW 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

D Williams run for 2 yds to the IndW 22

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.59

Xander Stokes sacked by James Doerer and Max Franco for a loss of 8 yards to the IndW 14

3rd & 16Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 18 yds to the IndW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for a loss of 4 yards to the IndW 28

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Perrion McClinton

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +7.18

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for 72 yds for a TD (Ethan Collins KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KAPLAN pass incomplete to ROSS, PENALTY VALPO holding (TEAM) 10 yards to the VALPO12, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the Valpo 19

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Dominic Grguric for 14 yds to the Valpo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Valpo 36

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.11

Mason Kaplan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Valpo 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 8 yds to the Valpo 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

D Williams run for 5 yds to the IndW 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 7 yds to the IndW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.67

Xander Stokes sacked by Kurt Kessen and Kevin Spelman for a loss of 9 yards to the IndW 23

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Xander Stokes run for no gain to the IndW 23

3rd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Xander Stokes pass complete to D Williams for 2 yds to the IndW 25

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ethan Collins punt for 45 yds, downed at the Valpo 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the Valpo 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aaron Dawson run for 4 yds to the Valpo 39

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete to Matt Ross

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IndW 14

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for no gain to the IndW 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for 22 yds to the IndW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Jacquez Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 9 yds to the IndW 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Xander Stokes run for 3 yds to the IndW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Xander Stokes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Xander Stokes pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.08

Xander Stokes run for 15 yds to the Valpo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for no gain to the Valpo 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to M Stephens-Pep

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for 9 yds to the Valpo 28

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.13

Xander Stokes run for 1 yd to the Valpo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Xander Stokes pass complete to Xavier Gordon for 9 yds to the Valpo 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Xander Stokes pass complete to Perrion McClinton for 7 yds to the Valpo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Gordon run for no gain to the Valpo 13

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.16

Xavier Gordon run for no gain to the Valpo 13 Xavier Gordon fumbled, forced by Kevin Spelman, recovered by Valpo James Doerer

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Aaron Dawson run for 14 yds to the Valpo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Valpo 28

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mason Kaplan run for no gain to the Valpo 28

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Mason Kaplan run for 2 yds to the Valpo 30

4th & 7Punt+59 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 49 yds , Justin Johnson returns for 59 yds to the Valpo 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

D Williams run for 1 yd to the Valpo 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Xander Stokes pass complete to Jacquez Carter for 4 yds to the Valpo 15

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

IND WESLEYAN Penalty, delay of game (Xander Stokes) to the Valpo 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Xander Stokes pass complete to Perrion McClinton for 12 yds to the Valpo 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Daniel Weems run for 8 yds for a TD PENALTY INDIANAW unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY VALPO unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY. (Ethan Collins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Mason Kaplan pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 22 yds to the Valpo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the IndW 49

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

KAPLAN pass incomplete to CONTRERAS, PENALTY INDIANAW pass interference (Justin Johnson) 15 yards to the INDIANAW34, 1ST DOWN VALPO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the IndW 33

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mason Kaplan run for no gain to the IndW 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mason Kaplan pass incomplete to Jordan Bingham

4th & 9Field Goal Good+50 yds

Dawson Pierson 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to M Stephens-Pep

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Xander Stokes pass complete to M Stephens-Pep for 15 yds to the IndW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Jacquez Carter

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Xander Stokes sacked for loss of 5 yards to the INDIANAW35 (HAFNER), PENALTY VALPO holding (DABO) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN INDIANAW, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Xander Stokes pass complete to Xavier Gordon for 9 yds to the Valpo 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Xavier Gordon

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

D Williams run for 4 yds to the Valpo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Xavier Gordon, broken up by Keyon Turner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Perrion McClinton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Xander Stokes pass incomplete to Jacquez Carter, broken up by Caleb Rao

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Ethan Collins 54 yd FG MISSED

Situational Analysis

Indiana Wesleyan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
20%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th