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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tarleton State by 5

Home Win Probability

Tarleton State 62%

Market (consensus)

Tarleton State +4

Edge: Tarleton State +4 (9.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
7701428
Tarleton State
737623

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-77-1410-1417-1417-2123-28
Tarleton StateAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSACTSACTSACTSACACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACTSACMISS1460ydTD180ydTD1075ydTO30ydPUNT614ydTD1092ydFG1441ydMISS951ydPUNT617ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydTD665ydTO422ydPUNT33ydTD863ydPUNT628ydPUNT520ydPUNT39ydTD476ydTD1175ydEND632yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Tarleton State
StatisticAbilene ChristianTarleton State
Passing25-3616-27
Pass Yards389181
Rush Yards68209
Total Yards457390
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-137-16
Penalties7-637-65
Possession28:0931:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
24/34, 385 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Rovaughn Banks Jr.
8 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Tristan Golightly
7 REC, 117 YDS
Tarleton State
passing
Beau Allen
16/27, 181 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Derrel Kelley III
18 CAR, 114 YDS
receiving
Derrel Kelley III
5 REC, 77 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.05

Derrel Kelley III run for 24 yds to the trlst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the AblCh 47

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.13

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the AblCh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Derrel Kelley III run for 9 yds to the AblCh 36

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.27

Ontario Douglas run for 7 yds to the AblCh 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Ontario Douglas run for 12 yds to the AblCh 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the AblCh 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Beau Allen pass complete to Ontario Douglas for 4 yds to the AblCh 8

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.33

Beau Allen run for 1 yd to the AblCh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-10 yds

DOUGLAS, Ontario rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the ACU1 (MOFFETT, Elijah;PLUMLEY, Dorian). PENALTY TAR Illegal use of the hands on HAYNES, Blake enforced 10 yards from the ACU7 to the ACU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Ontario Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 17Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Beau Allen sacked by Damion Hart for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 19

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Adrian Guzman 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Davion Johnson for 80 yds for a TD, (Blair Zepeda KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Derrel Kelley III run for 18 yds to the trlst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the trlst 49

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the AblCh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Derrel Kelley III run for 9 yds to the AblCh 37

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.28

Derrel Kelley III run for 6 yds to the AblCh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Braelon Bridges run for 2 yds to the AblCh 29

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Braelon Bridges run for 8 yds to the AblCh 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ontario Douglas run for 4 yds to the AblCh 17

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Ontario Douglas run for 8 yds to the AblCh 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Ontario Douglas run for 9 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jermiah Dobbins for 3 yds to the AblCh 43

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.45

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 40

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the AblCh 47

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the AblCh 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the AblCh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 4 yds to the AblCh 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for no gain to the AblCh 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Rovaughn Banks Jr. for 9 yds to the AblCh 17

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 9 yds to the AblCh 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AblCh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the AblCh 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 4 yds to the trlst 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.25

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 23 yds to the trlst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 2 yds to the trlst 22

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.42

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 22 yds for a TD TARLETON ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Kemp) declined, (Blair Zepeda KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Blair Zepeda kickoff for 51 yds , Deangelo Rosemond return for 21 yds to the TARLETONST 44 ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Roland Williams III) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ontario Douglas run for 6 yds to the AblCh 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the AblCh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 15 yds to the AblCh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ontario Douglas run for 3 yds to the AblCh 21

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ontario Douglas run for 6 yds to the AblCh 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Beau Allen run for no gain to the AblCh 15

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Ontario Douglas run for 2 yds to the AblCh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Beau Allen run for no gain to the AblCh 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Beau Allen pass complete to Antwoine Ware for 5 yds to the AblCh 8

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the AblCh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ontario Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

GUZMAN, Adrian field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at ACU11], score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, TAR Delay Of Game enforced 5 yards from the ACU4 to the ACU9. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Adrian Guzman 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Anthony Smith run for 7 yds to the AblCh 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 23 yds to the trlst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Smith run for 1 yd to the trlst 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Colt Cooper for 3 yds to the trlst 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.99

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 19 yds to the trlst 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MCIVOR, Maverick scrambles to the left for no gain to the TAR22, out of bounds. PENALTY ACU Holding on MOORE, Reese enforced 10 yards from the TAR22 to the TAR32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, False Start (Rafiti Ghirmai) to the trlst 37

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Jermiah Dobbins run for 8 yds to the trlst 29

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jermiah Dobbins run for 5 yds to the trlst 24

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Blair Zepeda 41 yd FG MISSED

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Davion Johnson for 1 yd to the AblCh 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 14 yds to the AblCh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 2 yds to the AblCh 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 43 yds, downed at the trlst 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the trlst 22

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Derrel Kelley III run for 1 yd to the trlst 23

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 48 yds , Kendall Catalon returns for 2 yds to the AblCh 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jermiah Dobbins run for 5 yds to the AblCh 36

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

DOBBINS, Jermiah rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the ACU40 (COLLINS, Bryson). PENALTY Before the snap, ACU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ACU36 to the ACU31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ethan Long pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ethan Long pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 4 yds to the AblCh 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 30 yds, downed at the trlst 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Beau Allen run for 1 yd to the trlst 36

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the trlst 31

3rd & 14Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.57

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 54 yds to the AblCh 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

ALLEN, Beau pass to the right incomplete intended for COOPER, Darius thrown to the ACU0. PENALTY ACU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS III, Roland enforced 13 yards to the ACU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Ontario Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ontario Douglas run for 2 yds to the AblCh 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Beau Allen pass complete to Shawn McFarland for 1 yd for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jermiah Dobbins for 5 yds to the AblCh 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 8 yds to the AblCh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 9 yds to the AblCh 47

2nd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -3.41

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the trlst 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+17 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 59 yds , Kendall Catalon returns for 17 yds to the AblCh 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the AblCh 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 14 yds to the trlst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 14 yds to the trlst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 9 yds to the trlst 25

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 7 yds to the trlst 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 19

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.02

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kobe Clark for 19 yds for a TD, (Blair Zepeda KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Beau Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the trlst 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.34

Beau Allen pass complete to Antwoine Ware for 30 yds to the AblCh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the AblCh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ontario Douglas run for 3 yds to the AblCh 43

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Beau Allen sacked by Darius Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the AblCh 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kendall Catalon at the AblCh 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 15

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 9 yds to the AblCh 24

3rd & 2Penalty+10 yds

MCIVOR, Maverick pass up the middle complete for 5 yards to SMITH, Anthony caught at the ACU29 and advanced to the ACU29 (RICHARD, Garrett;COLLINS, Bryson). PENALTY TAR Holding on JONES, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the ACU24 to the ACU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the AblCh 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Logan Burke punt for 41 yds , Patrick Jones returns for 10 yds to the trlst 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Derrel Kelley III run for no gain to the trlst 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 9 yds to the trlst 42

4th & 1Punt+39 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the AblCh 24 , returns for no gain to the AblCh 24

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, False Start (Tristan Golightly) to the AblCh 19

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jermiah Dobbins for 7 yds to the AblCh 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+72 ydsPPA +5.82

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Tristan Golightly for 72 yds to the trlst 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Anthony Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blair Zepeda KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Beau Allen run for 1 yd to the trlst 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 14 yds to the trlst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Beau Allen pass complete to Antwoine Ware for no gain to the trlst 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 6 yds to the trlst 46

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the AblCh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

ALLEN, Beau pass to the right incomplete intended for WARE, Antwoine thrown to the ACU35. PENALTY ACU Holding on KELLY, Izaiah enforced 10 yards from the ACU49 to the ACU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Deangelo Rosemond run for 4 yds to the AblCh 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Beau Allen pass complete to Fred Brown II for 11 yds to the AblCh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.48

Beau Allen pass complete to Shawn McFarland for 17 yds to the AblCh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jaden Smith 7 Yd pass from Beau Allen (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 25 yds , Tristan Golightly return for 1 yd to the AblCh 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 4 yds to the AblCh 45

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 11 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 5 yds to the trlst 39

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 3 yds to the trlst 36

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 10 yds to the trlst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

[NHSG] Kneel down by MCIVOR, Maverick at TAR27 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play