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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston Christian by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Houston Christian 60%

Market (consensus)

Houston Christian +7

Edge: Houston Christian +7 (11.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Nicholls
337619
Houston Christian
0014317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-614-1317-16
Houston ChristianNicholls

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICHCNICNICNICHCNICHCNICHCHCNICHCNICHCNICUncategorized833ydFG1147ydUncategorized33ydMISS1666ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1369ydTO39ydFG77ydMISS950ydEND10ydTO10ydTD1178ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydTD680ydTO425ydPUNT38ydTD527ydFG1045ydPUNT739ydPUNT622ydFG1474ydFG649yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nicholls and Houston Christian
StatisticNichollsHouston Christian
Passing20-3127-38
Pass Yards217280
Rush Yards19272
Total Yards409352
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-183-12
Penalties2-166-61
Possession39:1920:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nicholls
passing
Leonard Kelly
20/31, 217 YDS
rushing
Julien Gums
22 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
K.J. Franklin
8 REC, 82 YDS
Houston Christian
passing
Justin Fomby
27/38, 280 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Livingston
12 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Vernon Harrell
6 REC, 86 YDS

Play-by-Play

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Fudge Woods run for 8 yds to the HstnB 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deon Cormier for 8 yds to the HstnB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Justin Fomby pass complete to Adrian Green for 2 yds to the HstnB 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.66

Justin Fomby pass complete to Vernon Harrell for 9 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Justin Fomby run for 1 yd to the NicSt 47

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

RJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NicSt 42

4th & 11Field Goal Good+27 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 6 yds to the NicSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Julien Gums run for 8 yds to the HstnB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to K.J. Franklin

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.80

Leonard Kelly pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 22 yds to the HstnB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the HstnB 20

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.93

Leonard Kelly run for 19 yds to the HstnB 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Leonard Kelly run for a loss of 4 yards to the HstnB 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the HstnB 4

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Leonard Kelly sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the HstnB 11

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brady Buell punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

RJ Smith run for 3 yds to the HstnB 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Collin Guggenheim run for 9 yds to the NicSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NicSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NicSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NicSt 39

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.42

Leonard Kelly run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to K.J. Franklin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Neno Lemay for 5 yds to the HstnB 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.04

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 14 yds to the HstnB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the HstnB 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Tank McMath

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 3 yds to the HstnB 23

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Julien Gums run for 5 yds to the HstnB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the HstnB 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis, broken up by Zae Smith

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Lee Negrotto, broken up by Anthony Harris

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 30 yd FG MISSED

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Brady Buell punt for 48 yds , Marquese Albert returns for 3 yds to the NicSt 27

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Karl Reynolds run for a loss of 4 yards to the HstnB 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 12 yds to the HstnB 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47
4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.06

Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis, broken up by Devion Hargrove

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Terry Matthews for 12 yds to the NicSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the NicSt 41

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Julien Gums run for 7 yds to the NicSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the HstnB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 20 yds to the HstnB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis, broken up by Devion Hargrove

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the HstnB 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis

4th & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 16 yds to the HstnB 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the HstnB 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Lee Negrotto

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Leonard Kelly run for 5 yds to the HstnB 4

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Fomby pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nate Livingston run for 4 yds to the HstnB 8

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nate Livingston run for 5 yds to the HstnB 13

4th & 5Field Goal Good+21 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Julien Gums run for 5 yds to the HstnB 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the HstnB 3

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.53

Leonard Kelly run for 2 yds to the HstnB 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the HstnB 2

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Julien Gums for a loss of 3 yards to the HstnB 5

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.97

Justin Fomby sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the NicSt 44

3rd & 21Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Justin Fomby pass complete to Nate Livingston for 16 yds to the NicSt 28

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Alberto Arroyo 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Fomby pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 13 yds to the HstnB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Justin Fomby pass complete to Darrion Sherfield for 8 yds to the HstnB 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Justin Fomby pass complete to RJ Smith for 13 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

RJ Smith run for 9 yds to the NicSt 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Fomby pass complete to RJ Smith for 2 yds to the NicSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Deon Cormier

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Julien Gums run for 7 yds to the HstnB 35

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Collin Guggenheim run for 7 yds to the NicSt 27 Collin Guggenheim fumbled, recovered by HstnB Taurean Muhammad

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Lasseigne KICK), (Gavin Lasseigne KICK), (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 20 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 7 yds to the NicSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Collin Guggenheim run for 6 yds to the HstnB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Collin Guggenheim run for 8 yds to the HstnB 37

2nd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Leonard Kelly sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the HstnB 42

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the HstnB 38

4th & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.50

Collin Guggenheim run for 25 yds to the HstnB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30
2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Neno Lemay for 8 yds to the HstnB 5

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Leonard Kelly run for 3 yds to the HstnB 2 for a 1ST down

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brady Buell punt for 42 yds

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Fomby pass incomplete to Adrian Green, broken up by Zack Bernard

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

pass incomplete to Vernon Harrell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Dany'e Brooks

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Tank McMath

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Justin Fomby pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 40 yds for a TD, (Alberto Arroyo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nate Livingston run for 7 yds to the HstnB 27

2nd & 3Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.43

HOUSTON CHRISTI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the HstnB 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Vernon Harrell

3rd & 13Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +4.10

Justin Fomby pass complete to Vernon Harrell for 43 yds to the NicSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON CHRISTI Penalty, false start (Vernon Harrell) to the NicSt 45

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

RJ Smith run for 5 yds to the NicSt 40

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.52

Marquese Albert run for 4 yds to the HstnB 41 Marquese Albert fumbled, recovered by HstnB Isaiah Cash

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 2 yds to the HstnB 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 16 yds to the HstnB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Marquese Albert run for 7 yds to the HstnB 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brady Buell punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deuce McMillan for a loss of 3 yards to the HstnB 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Justin Fomby pass complete to Vernon Harrell for 9 yds to the HstnB 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Justin Fomby pass complete to Vernon Harrell for 2 yds to the HstnB 49

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deon Cormier for 5 yds for a TD, (Alberto Arroyo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Nate Livingston run for 9 yds to the NicSt 18

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Livingston run for 3 yds to the NicSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Branden Walker

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nate Livingston run for 4 yds to the NicSt 11

3rd & 6Penalty+6 yds

NICHOLLS ST Penalty, illegal use of hands (Neno Lemay) to the NicSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 10 yds to the NicSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Neno Lemay for 24 yds to the HstnB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94
2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the HstnB 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.80

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Neno Lemay for 16 yds to the HstnB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the HstnB 25

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Leonard Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the HstnB 27

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Leonard Kelly sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the HstnB 35

4th & 17Field Goal Good+52 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 52 Yd Field Goal

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Brady Buell punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nate Livingston run for 9 yds to the HstnB 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Livingston run for 4 yds to the HstnB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.21

Justin Fomby pass complete to Desmond Young for 35 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

RJ Smith run for 3 yds to the NicSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -3.36

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deon Cormier HOUSTON CHRISTI Penalty, illegal block (RJ Smith) to the NicSt 39

2nd & 22Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deon Cormier for 3 yds to the NicSt 36

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

pass incomplete to Karl Reynolds

4th & 1Punt+56 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 56 yds HOUSTON CHRISTI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the HstnB 1

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.95

NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Neno Lemay) to the NicSt 10

1st & 20Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Julien Gums run for 14 yds to the NicSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Julien Gums run for 9 yds to the NicSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Julien Gums run for 8 yds to the NicSt 41

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33
3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Leonard Kelly run for 1 yd to the NicSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Adrian Green

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Fomby pass complete to Nate Livingston for 3 yds to the NicSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Livingston run for 3 yds to the NicSt 25

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Alberto Arroyo 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nate Livingston run for 4 yds to the HstnB 5

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Nate Livingston run for 3 yds to the HstnB 8

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deon Cormier for 4 yds to the HstnB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Fomby pass complete to Karl Reynolds for 5 yds to the HstnB 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Justin Fomby pass complete to Vernon Harrell for 12 yds to the HstnB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Justin Fomby pass complete to Nate Livingston for 13 yds to the HstnB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Fomby pass complete to Adrian Green for 3 yds to the HstnB 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Justin Fomby pass complete to Deon Cormier for 2 yds to the HstnB 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.35

Justin Fomby pass complete to Vernon Harrell for 11 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Justin Fomby pass complete to RJ Smith for 11 yds to the NicSt 31 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Tank McMath for 13 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Tank McMath for 2 yds to the NicSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Tank McMath, broken up by Jordan Oliver for a 1ST down HOUSTON CHRISTI Penalty, roughing passer (Jalyx Hunt) to the HstnB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Terry Matthews for a 1ST down HOUSTON CHRISTI Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Devion Hargrove) to the HstnB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Leonard Kelly pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 4 yds to the NicSt 29

1st & 10Field Goal Good+43 yds

Gavin Lasseigne 43 Yd Field Goal

Situational Analysis

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
50%
30 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
14 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play