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← Back to GamesDec 23, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Houston 67%

Market (consensus)

Houston -5

Edge: Houston -5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 23, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
790016
HoustonHouston
0671023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-106-1313-1616-1623-16
HoustonLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUHOULOUHOULOUHOULOUHOULOULOUHOULOUHOULOUHOULOUHOULOUHOULOUTD1575ydPUNT724ydPUNT520ydDOWNS716ydFG739ydPUNT36ydFG43ydTD980ydDOWNS1482ydUncategorized00ydTD1370ydTO210ydDOWNS831ydPUNT410ydFG931ydTO1075ydPUNT419ydPUNT511ydTD692ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Houston
StatisticLouisianaHouston
Passing21-3018-28
Pass Yards194229
Rush Yards133134
Total Yards327363
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-113-14
Penalties5-647-60
Possession27:4432:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Chandler Fields
17/25, 169 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chris Smith
15 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Lance LeGendre
5 REC, 56 YDS
Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
18/28, 229 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Clayton Tune
11 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
KeSean Carter
3 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 27

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Chandler Fields run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Chris Smith run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Chandler Fields run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Chandler Fields pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 13 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the Houst 30

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 31

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the Houst 30

4th & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.53

Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 10 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance Legendre for 8 yds to the Houst 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Chandler Fields pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the Houst 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chris Smith run for no gain to the Houst 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 4 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Houst 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 34

4th & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.04

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Bernard) to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.55

Clayton Tune sacked by Kendre' Gant for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 49

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds , Eric Garror returns for 3 yds to the LaLaf 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.49

Chandler Fields pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 18 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 19 yds, downed at the Houst 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37

2nd & 6Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.64

Clayton Tune run for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 13 yds to the LaLaf 32

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.80

Brandon Campbell run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Chandler Fields pass complete to Dalen Cambre for 15 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Dre'lyn Washington run for 16 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.69

Dre'lyn Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 38

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 4 yds to the Houst 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance Legendre for 9 yds to the Houst 25

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Sedrick Williams) to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 yds

Kenneth Almendares 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Clayton Tune pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 2 yds to the Houst 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Peyton Sawyer

4th & 4Punt+33 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 33 yds to the Houst 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chandler Fields run for 3 yds to the Houst 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Lance Legendre

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Kenneth Almendares 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 12 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the Houst 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 6 yds to the Houst 40

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +2.44

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds Nathaniel Dell fumbled, recovered by Houst for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Tune, Clayton pass incomplete to Dell, Nathaniel, PENALTY HOUSTON holding 10 yards to the HOUSTON36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.42

Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 30 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.44

Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 33 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance Legendre for 15 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chandler Fields run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Peter LeBlanc run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Terrence Williams run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Chandler Fields run for 8 yds to the Houst 37

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chris Smith run for no gain to the Houst 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.43

Chandler Fields pass complete to Lance Legendre for 21 yds to the Houst 11 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Personal Foul (5 Yards) to the Houst 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Neal Johnson

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+22 yds

Kenneth Almendares 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 12 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 6 yds to the Houst 48

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.93

Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to KeSean Carter

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.94

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 7

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Chandler Fields pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 16 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -2.44

Chris Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 36 Chris Smith fumbled, recovered by Houst Sedrick Williams

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Stacy Sneed run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 4 yds to the LaLaf 27

4th & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Clayton Tune pass complete to Matt Byrnes for 13 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 15

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 14

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 5

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

Brandon Campbell run for no gain to the LaLaf 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 10 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 5 yds to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.78

Chandler Fields run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24 LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-12 Yards) to the LaLaf 12

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrence Williams for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15

3rd & 10Punt+25 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Peyton Sawyer returns for 25 yds to the LaLaf 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 11 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Clayton Tune pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 14 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 13

1st & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 9

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Clayton Tune sacked by Ja'Marian Peterson and Jourdan Quibodeaux for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 13

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Matthew Golden for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Clayton Tune run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Kyle Ramsey 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 29

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.15

Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Zeon Chriss pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 13 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the Houst 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the Houst 47

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the Houst 43

4th & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.31

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.51

Zeon Chriss run for 25 yds to the Houst 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.58

Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the Houst 4 Chris Smith fumbled, recovered by Houst Donavan Mutin

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 12 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the Houst 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the Houst 25

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Lance Legendre for 3 yds to the Houst 42

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Terrence Williams run for 9 yds to the Houst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Terrence Williams for no gain to the Houst 33

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Neal Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Peyton Sawyer at the Houst 8

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.19

Clayton Tune run for 33 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Tune, Clayton pass incomplete to Manjack IV, Joseph, PENALTY HOUSTON holding 10 yards to the HOUSTON31, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-10 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Houst 21

1st & 30Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.17

Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 41 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the LaLaf 27 Ta'Zhawn Henry fumbled, recovered by Houst Patrick Paul

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Clayton Tune run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
44%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
60%
5 plays